Miami Heat vs Los Angeles Lakers Preview
Betting on today’s Lakers and Heat game? Catch the action at Kaseya Center in Miami, FL, as the Heat hosts this showdown at 7:30 ET on NBA.
The over/under for this non-conference contest is set at 222.5 points, with the Heat being the favored team playing at home against the Lakers. Check out BetCoco for Miami Heat – Los Angeles Lakers odds
Miami Heat vs Los Angeles Lakers Head-to-Head and Key Stats
The last three times that the Heat have faced off vs. the Lakers as the favorite, they have gone 2-1. It is worth noting that even though the Heat have gone 2-1 vs. the spread in the three most recent matchups vs. the Lakers, they are just 1-2 the last three times they hosted the Lakers.
- Across their three previous road games, Los Angeles has an ATS mark of 0-3. Their straight up record in these matchups was 0-3 while averaging 111 points per game.
- In their last five home games, Miami has averaged 103 points per game while allowing 109. The team’s record in this stretch was 1-4 while going 3-2.
- Spanning across their last three games as the betting underdog, the Lakers have gone 1-2 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 0-3.
- Over the team’s last three games as the favorite, the Heat struggled vs the spread going just 0-3. However, they still had a straight up mark of 2-1.
Miami Heat vs Los Angeles Lakers Prediction
Bringing in an overall record of 3-3 and a 2-1 record over their previous three games, the Lakers will face the Heat. Currently, the team is 7th in the Western Conference and 3rd in the Pacific division.
For the season thus far, Los Angeles has an overall ATS record of 1-5. On the road, the Lakers have failed to cover the spread, while holding a 1-2 record at home against the spread.
This season, the Lakers have a record of 2-4-0 in terms of over/under performances. The average over/under line in their games stands at 226.9, with a 0.6 differential compared to the over/under line this season.
This year, the Los Angeles offense ranks 17th in the NBA for points per game (111.8), 2nd for possessions per game (103), and 10th for field goal percentage (46%) in the 2023-2024 season.
Los Angeles’ comes into the game with the Lakers’ defense ranking 19th in the league, as opponents shoot a three-point percentage of 37.2. They also rank 8th in the league for allowing 20.5 free throw attempts per game, and 21st for allowing 115.7 points per game.
The Heat head into today’s action with an overall record of 2-4 and have gone 2-1 over their previous three games. Throughout their six games, the Heat have posted a 2-3 record against Eastern Conference opponents, while going 0-1 in non-conference matchups.
This season, Miami holds an ATS record of 1-5, which also includes their four game losing streak against the spread. The Heat have suffered two consecutive ATS losses when playing as underdogs, and they are 0-3 against the spread when they are the favorites.
The Heat come in with an over/under record of 3-3-0 for the current season. The average over/under line in their games stands at 220.5, and their differential vs. the over/under line this season is -1.2.
In terms of the 2023-2024 season, the Miami Heat’s offense ranks 25th in field goal percentage, 19th in free throw attempts per game, and 25th in points per game in the NBA. The team has a 45% field goal percentage, 19.2 free throw attempts per game, and scores an average of 107.3 points per game.
On defense, Miami’s average of 112 points per game ranks 16th in the league. Additionally, they rank 6th with an average of 8.5 steals per game and 30th with 3 blocked shots per game.
According to our analysis, we anticipate the Heat to win this one with a projected score of 108-106.
Miami Heat vs Los Angeles Lakers Betting Tips
- Take the Heat on the moneyline
- The Heat should also cover at -1
- Our NBA model projects 214 points, and we suggest taking the under
Miami Heat Injury Report
- Jimmy Butler – Knee – Probable
- Duncan Robinson – Wrist – Probable
- Caleb Martin – Knee – Out
- R.J. Hampton – Illness – Questionable
Los Angeles Lakers Injury Report
- Jarred Vanderbilt – Heel – Out
- Gabe Vincent – Knee – Out
- Jaxson Hayes – Ankle – Questionable
- Rui Hachimura – Concussion – Out
- Jalen Hood-Schifino – Patella – Out
