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miami heat vs indiana pacers prediction 11/30/2023 sport preview

Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers Prediction & Betting Tips 11/30/2023

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Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers 11/30/2023
  • Take the Heat on the moneyline
  • On the spread, we like Pacers (+2)
  • Our NBA model projects 231 points, and we suggest taking the under

Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers Preview

Looking to win big? The Pacers and Heat face off at 7:30 ET on NBA. The Heat are hosting the game at Kaseya Center in Miami, FL.

The over/under for this Eastern conference contest is set at 239 points, with the Heat being the favored team playing at home against the Pacers. Check out BetCoco for Miami Heat – Indiana Pacers odds

Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers Head-to-Head and Key Stats

Last season, the Pacers and Heat did not face off head-to-head. When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Heat have the leg up at 2-1. However, against the spread the Pacers went 2-1. The over/under record in these matchups was 1-2 on an average of 204 points per game.

  • In their last ten games away from home, the Pacers have a straight up record of 5-5 while going 6-4 vs. the spread. The team averaged 123 points per game in this stretch.
  • In their last five home games, Miami has averaged 107 points per game while allowing 102. The team’s record in this stretch was 2-3 while going 3-2.
  • Indiana has done well both straight up and vs the spread as the underdog, going 2-1 SU and 2-1 ATS in their last three games.
  • The Heat have played well in their last five games as the betting favorite, going 4-1 straight up and 3-1-1 against the spread.

Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers Prediction

Today, the Pacers are entering the action with an overall record of 9-7 and have achieved a 1-2 record over their last three games. Across 16 games, the Pacers have a 7-6 record when facing Eastern Conference teams, and they have a 2-1 record in non-conference games.

Indiana has an overall ATS record of 9-7 as they come into today’s game. Indiana has gone 5-5 against the spread this season when they are the favorites, and they are 4-2 when playing as underdogs.

In terms of their over/under record, the Pacers are 14-2-0 so far this season. Their played games maintain an ongoing average of 263.0 points per game, alongside an average over/under line of 238.

The Pacers offense is coming off a game in which they scored 110 points vs. the Trail Blazers. Overall their field goal percentage was 47.7% while connecting on 8 threes. Tyrese Haliburton was the leading scorer for the Pacers, putting up 33 points. In addition, Bruce Brown contributed 11 points.

So far, the Pacers’ defense is ranked 29th in the league at 124.8 points per contest.

Inside the arc, the Pacers defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 54.1% and 39.0% from three-point territory.

Facing the Pacers today, the Heat look to maintain their record above .500, which currently stands at 10-8. Across 18 games, the Heat have a 7-7 record when facing Eastern Conference teams, and they have a 3-1 record in non-conference games.

Miami has an ATS record of 8-9 for this season, which includes their current two game losing streak against the spread. When playing on the road, the Heat hold an ATS record of 7-4 in contrast to a 1-5 record against the spread when playing at home.

The Heat have achieved an over/under record of 8-10-0 so far this season. The average over/under line in their games stands at 219, and their differential vs. the over/under line this season is 0.8.

Miami’s offense had a good outing, putting up 124 points against the Bucks. They achieved a 51.1% field goal percentage and went 14/21 from the free-throw line. Leading the Heat in scoring vs. the Bucks was Bam Adebayo with his 31 points. Kyle Lowry also added 21 points for the Heat.

The Heat’s defense is presently ranked 7th in the league, allowing an average of 109.1 points per contest.

On two point field goal attempts, the Heat’s defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 54.5% and allowing 38.1% from beyond the arc.

With the Heat being favored by 2, our NFL analytics models has this one playing out 116-115 in favor of the Heat.

Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers Betting Tips

  • Take the Heat on the moneyline
  • On the spread, we like Pacers (+2)
  • Our NBA model projects 231 points, and we suggest taking the under

Miami Heat Injury Report

  • Jimmy Butler – Ankle – Questionable
  • Bam Adebayo – Hip – Probable
  • Duncan Robinson – Thumb – Probable
  • Haywood Highsmith – Back – Questionable
  • Tyler Herro – Ankle – Out
  • R.J. Hampton – Knee – Out
  • Dru Smith – Knee – Out

Indiana Pacers Injury Report

  • T.J. McConnell – Hamstring – Questionable
  • Jalen Smith – Knee – Out
  • Isaiah Jackson – Infection – Questionable

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