Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors Preview
At 7:30 ET, the Miami Heat (39-32) will host the Golden State Warriors (36-34) in a non-conference matchup. The Heat are favored by 1.5 points and the over/under line is set at 216.5.
Golden State is currently 10th in the Western Conference and has lost two straight games. Miami is 7th in the East and has a 2nd place standing in the Southeast Division.
Check out BetCoco for Miami Heat – Golden State Warriors odds
Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors Head-to-Head and Key Stats
The last three times that the Warriors have faced off vs. the Heat as the favorite, they have gone 2-1. In addition to going 2-1 vs. the spread in the last three head-to-head games vs. the Warriors, the Heat are 2-1 ATS the last three times they have hosted the Warriors.
- Across their five previous road games, Golden State has an ATS mark of 2-3. Their straight up record in these matchups was 2-3 while averaging 107 points per game.
- Miami has played well in their previous five home games, going 3-2 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 102 points per game while allowing 101. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-2.
- Looking back on the team’s last five games as the underdog, the Heat have a straight up record of 1-4. Their record vs the spread in these games was 2-3.
- As the betting favorite, the Warriors have an ATS mark of just 6-4 in their last ten games. Golden State posted a straight up mark of 6-4 in these matchups.
Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors Prediction
Golden State is 37-32 against the spread this season and has gone 2-2 in their last four games. They are favored by 1.5 points against the Heat and have a 37-32 ATS record for the season.
The Warriors have gone 35-34-1 on the over/under this season, with an average O/U line of 232.2 points. In their last game against the Timberwolves, the teams combined for 224 points, surpassing the O/U line of 220.5.
So far this season, the average scoring total in Warriors games is 235.2 points. Today’s O/U line is set at 216.5, with 68 of their games having higher O/U lines than that.
Golden State lost their last game to Minnesota by a score of 114-110. They were 2.5-point underdogs going into the game. The Warriors are currently 10th in the Western Conference with a record of 36-34.
As a team, the Warriors are averaging 118.3 points per game this season, which is 7th in the NBA. On the road, they are averaging 118.8 points per game, which is 3rd in the league. So far, they have outscored the NBA scoring average in 58.6% of their games.
When it comes to three-point shooting, the Warriors are 2nd in the NBA with an average of 14.8 made threes per game. Overall, they are shooting 37% from beyond the arc, which is 9th in the league. In terms of pace, Golden State is 7th in the NBA at 99.9 possessions per game.
So far, the Warriors are 21st in the NBA in free throws made per game at 16.2. In terms of assists, they are 4th in the league with an average of 29.1 per game. When it comes to two-point shooting, Golden State is 17th in the NBA at 54%.
At present, the Warriors’ defense is ranked 19th, allowing 116.8 points per game. Opponents are hitting 54.3% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 36.1% of their three-point attempts.
Miami is 39-32 this season and is currently 7th in the Eastern Conference. Against other teams in the East, they are 27-18 compared to 12-14 against the West.
As the underdog this season, the Heat have gone 11-20 and have a scoring differential of -2.3 points per game. Today, they are getting 1.5 points and have gone 16-15 vs. the spread as the underdog on the road and 13-21 at home.
On average, Miami’s games have seen a combined scoring total of 218.4 points. Today’s O/U line is set at 216.5, and the Heat have played in 54 games with higher O/U lines than that. Their record vs. the O/U this year is 26-45.
In their last game, the Heat defeated the Cavaliers by a score of 121-84. The O/U line for that game was 202.5, and Miami covered the spread as 3.5-point favorites.
The Miami Heat are 27th in the NBA in scoring this season, averaging 109.6 points per game. However, they have been better offensively at home, where they are averaging 112.2 points per game (22nd).
When it comes to pace, the Heat are 29th in the league at 95.6 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, Miami is shooting 46% from the field (23rd).
So far this season, the Heat have made an average of 12.3 three-pointers per game (19th) on 36% shooting (12th). In terms of free throws, Miami is 10th in the NBA at 18.1 made per game.
Currently, the Heat’s defense holds the 4th rank in the NBA, allowing 108.9 points per game. Opponents are hitting 55.0% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 36.3% of their three-point attempts.
Even though they are 1.5 point underdogs, we see the Heat winning this game by a score of 111-110.
Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors Betting Tips
- We like the Heat on the moneyline (+107)
- The Heat are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 221 points, we like the over
Miami Heat Injury Report
- Kevin Love – Heel – Questionable
- Josh Richardson – Shoulder – Out
- Duncan Robinson – Back – Out
- Tyler Herro – Foot – Out
- Caleb Martin – Ankle – Questionable
- Jaime Jaquez Jr. – Knee/Ankle – Questionable
Golden State Warriors Injury Report
- Trayce Jackson-Davis – Knee – Questionable
