Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets Preview
The Miami Heat (-320) will host the Charlotte Hornets (+253) at the Kaseya Center in Miami. The Heat are 8-point favorites and the over/under line is set at 222 points. The Hornets have dropped four straight games and are 13th in the Eastern Conference, while the Heat are seventh in the East.
This division matchup is scheduled to tip off at 6:00 ET and will be broadcast on BSSU.
Check out BetCoco for Miami Heat – Charlotte Hornets odds
Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets Head-to-Head and Key Stats
Last season, the Hornets and Heat did not face off head-to-head. When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Heat have the leg up at 3-0. Against the spread, each team went 1-1-1 and finished with an over/under mark of 2-1. These games averaged a combined 221 points per contest.
- Across the Hornets last three road games, the team averaged 100 points per game while allowing 114. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 1-2, while going 1-2 straight-up.
- In their last ten games at home, the Heat have a straight up record of 5-5 while going 5-5 vs. the spread. The team averaged 107 points per game in this stretch.
- In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Hornets have a straight up record of 1-4 and an ATS mark of 1-3-1.
- As the betting favorite, the Heat have an ATS record of 2-1 in their last three games. In these matchups, their straight up record was 2-1.
Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets Prediction
Charlotte is 8-28 this season and currently sits in 13th place in the Eastern Conference. In the Southeast Division, they are 4th. The Hornets have lost four straight games.
On the road, the Hornets are 4-15 this season, and they are 7-12 ATS. As the underdog, their ATS record is 13-18, and they have gone 2-2 vs. the spread on the road.
This season, Charlotte has been the underdog in all but three of their games. They are 7-26 as the underdog and 13-18 vs. the spread. As the underdog, they have an ATS scoring differential of -11.9 points per game.
In their most recent game, the Hornets lost to the Spurs by a score of 135-99. The O/U line for that game was 237, and Charlotte was getting 2 points. This drops their ATS record to 13-21 for the season.
Charlotte’s O/U record for the season is 18-18, and their games have averaged 229.4 points per game. Today’s O/U line of 222 is lower than 28 of their previous games, and the team has hit the under in two straight games.
So far this season, the Hornets have struggled offensively, ranking just 28th in scoring at 108.9 points per game. In terms of three-point shooting, they are 21st in the NBA at 35%.
When it comes to getting to the free-throw line, the Hornets are last in the league in both attempts and makes at 19.4 and 15.4 per game, respectively. In terms of pace, they are 20th in the NBA.
Heading into this game, the Hornets have been held below their scoring average in 61.1% of their games. In their last two games, they have scored less than their season average.
So far, the Hornets’ defense is ranked 25th in the league at 120.5 points per contest. The Charlotte defense has allowed opponents to shoot 39.4% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 50.0% of their field goal attempts vs. Charlotte.
Miami is favored by 8 points today against the Hornets. The Heat have gone 2-0 against the spread as the favorite and have covered in two straight games as the favorite.
In their last game, the Heat defeated the Magic by a score of 99-96. They were favored by 2 points and have an ATS record of 18-19 for the season.
Miami has an O/U record of 18-20 this season, and their games have averaged a combined 224.1 points per game. Today’s O/U line is set at 222 points.
Against Eastern Conference teams, the Heat are 16-10 this season and are currently in 7th place in the East. In the Southeast Division, they are in first place with a record of 22-16.
On the season, Miami is 18-19 against the spread and has gone 11-8 ATS on the road and 7-11 ATS at home. As the favorite, they are 10-10 ATS and 16-5 straight-up.
At home, the Heat are scoring 116.1 points per game, which is 16th in the NBA. Overall, they are 25th in scoring at 112.5 points per game. In terms of pace, Miami is 28th in the league.
When it comes to shooting, the Heat are 19th in field goal percentage at 46%. However, they are one of the top three-point shooting teams in the NBA, hitting 38% of their attempts (3rd). In terms of free throws, Miami is 6th in made free throws (19.9) and 9th in attempts.
So far this season, the Heat have outscored the NBA scoring average in 42.1% of their games. In terms of assists, they are 16th in the league. On the offensive glass, Miami is 26th in the NBA.
The Heat’s defense is presently ranked 6th in the league, allowing an average of 111.6 points per contest. On two point field goal attempts, the Heat’s defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 56.3% and allowing 36.6% from beyond the arc.
Based on our analysis, we foresee the Heat winning the game with a predicted score of 115-102.
Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets Betting Tips
- Take the Heat on the moneyline
- The Heat should also cover at -8
- Our NBA model projects 217 points, and we suggest taking the under
Miami Heat Injury Report
- Kyle Lowry – Hand – Probable
- Jimmy Butler – Toe – Doubtful
- Kevin Love – Knee – Questionable
- Tyler Herro – Shoulder – Questionable
- Dru Smith – Knee – Out
Charlotte Hornets Injury Report
- Gordon Hayward – Calf – Out
- Frank Ntilikina – Left Tibia – Questionable
- P.J. Washington – Foot – Doubtful
- Cody Martin – Groin – Questionable
- Mark Williams – Back – Out
- Brandon Miller – Back – Doubtful
