Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors Preview
At 6:00 ET, the Western Conference matchup between the Golden State Warriors and the Memphis Grizzlies will tip off at the FedExForum. The Warriors (-343) are favored by 8 over the Grizzlies (+267) and the over/under line is set at 226.5.
Golden State is currently 12th in the Western Conference with an 18-21 record, while Memphis is 13th at 14-25. The Grizzlies have dropped two straight games.
Check out BetCoco for Memphis Grizzlies – Golden State Warriors odds
Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors Head-to-Head and Key Stats
Last season, the Warriors and Grizzlies did not face off head-to-head. When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Grizzlies have the leg up at 2-1. The Grizzlies also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 3-0. These games averaged a combined total of 245 points per game leading to an over/under record of 2-1.
- Across their last five road contests, Golden State has a 3-2 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 2-3, while averaging 120 points per game.
- The Grizzlies are 3-2 ATS in their last home games and 3-2 straight-up.
- Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the underdog, the Grizzlies have a straight up record of 6-4. Their record vs the spread in these games was 6-4.
- The last five games that Golden State was favored, they have an ATS mark of 1-4 while going 2-3 straight up.
Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors Prediction
Golden State’s O/U record for the season is 23-15-1, and the over has hit in each of their last four games. Today’s O/U line of 226.5 is lower than their season average of 231 points per game.
In their most recent game, the Warriors lost to the Bucks by a score of 129-118. They were 13.5-point underdogs going into the game, giving them an ATS win and a 2-game ATS win streak.
Against the Western Conference, the Warriors are 11-16 compared to 7-5 against non-conference opponents. This puts them in 12th place in the West, and they are 5th in the Pacific Division with an 18-21 record.
On the road, Golden State is 7-10 straight-up and 11-6 ATS. Their ATS record as the favorite is 7-15, and they have gone 14-8 as the favorite this season.
Coming into today’s game, the Warriors have an average scoring margin of +1.1 points per game on the road. As the favorite, they have gone 4-13 straight-up and 7-15 ATS.
This season, the Warriors are 9th in the NBA in scoring at 117.4 points per game. However, they have been even better on the road, averaging 119.6 points per game (5th).
So far, the Warriors have outscored the NBA scoring average in 56.4% of their games. In terms of pace, Golden State is 15th in the league at 99.1 possessions per game.
When it comes to shooting, the Warriors are 23rd in field goal percentage at 46%. However, they are one of the top three-point shooting teams in the league, making an average of 14.8 threes per game (4th).
So far, the Warriors’ defense is ranked 22nd in the league at 118.2 points per contest. In their previous game, the Warriors’ defense struggled against the Bucks, giving up 129 points on a field goal percentage of 48%.
In their 106-94 loss to the Knicks, the Grizzlies were 10.5-point underdogs. The combined scoring output of 200 was well below the O/U line of 219.
Memphis has lost two straight games and is currently 13th in the Western Conference with a record of 14-25. In the Southwest Division, they are in 4th place.
As the underdog, the Grizzlies are 8-18 this season, and they are 11-15 ATS as the underdog. Today, they are getting 8 points against the Warriors.
On average, Memphis games have finished with 221.4 points per game, and today’s O/U line of 226.5 is slightly higher than their average of 224.9.
Against the spread, the Grizzlies are 16-23 on the season and have lost two straight ATS. At home, their ATS record is 4-14, compared to 12-9 on the road.
Despite being 13th in pace, the Grizzlies are 29th in scoring at 108.1 points per game. At home, they are last in the NBA at 104.6 points per game.
Memphis is 29th in field goal percentage at 44% and 28th in two-point shooting. However, they are 5th in three-point attempts and 9th in made threes.
So far this season, the Grizzlies have outscored the NBA scoring average in just 25.6% of their games. They are 26th in free throw attempts and 22nd in offensive rebounds.
At present, the Grizzlies’ defense is ranked 14th, allowing 113.4 points per game. When it comes to forced turnovers, the Grizzlies are forcing 13.8 per game, which is 21st in the league. They also come into the game sitting 5th in blocked shots at 6.2 per game.
With a 8-point advantage on the spread, our projections favor the Warriors to secure a 114-110 victory.
Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors Betting Tips
- Take the Warriors on the moneyline
- On the spread, we like Grizzlies (+8)
- Our NBA model projects 224 points, and we suggest taking the under
Memphis Grizzlies Injury Report
- Derrick Rose – Hamstring – Out
- Marcus Smart – Finger – Out
- Steven Adams – Knee – Out
- Jaren Jackson Jr. – Right Knee – Questionable
- Ja Morant – Shoulder – Out
- Brandon Clarke – Achilles – Out
- Desmond Bane – Ankle – Out
- Santi Aldama – Knee – Questionable
- Jake LaRavia – Ankle – Out
Golden State Warriors Injury Report
- Chris Paul – Hand – Out
- Gary Payton II – Hamstring – Out
- Moses Moody – Calf – Out
