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memphis grizzlies vs dallas mavericks prediction 12/11/2023 sport preview

Memphis Grizzlies vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction & Betting Tips 12/11/2023

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Memphis Grizzlies vs Dallas Mavericks 12/11/2023
  • Take the Mavericks on the moneyline
  • The Mavericks should also cover at -2.5
  • Our NBA model projects 212 points, and we suggest taking the under

Memphis Grizzlies vs Dallas Mavericks Preview

The Mavericks and Grizzlies are set to face off at 8:00 ET on NBA. The Grizzlies will host the game at FedExForum in Memphis, TN.

The Mavericks come into this Southwest division matchup as the favorite to pick up the win. Currently, the over/under for the game is at 227.5 points. Check out BetCoco for Memphis Grizzlies – Dallas Mavericks odds

Memphis Grizzlies vs Dallas Mavericks Head-to-Head and Key Stats

Last season, the Mavericks and Grizzlies did not face off head-to-head. When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Grizzlies have the leg up at 2-1. However, against the spread the Mavericks went 2-1. The over/under record in these matchups was 1-2 on an average of 219 points per game.

  • Dallas has played well in their previous three road games, going 2-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 105 points per game while allowing 106. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-1.
  • Across the Grizzlies last ten home games, the team averaged 109 points per game while allowing 111. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 6-4, while going 5-5 straight-up.
  • Going back to their previous three games as the underdog, Memphis has an ATS mark of 2-1 while going 1-2 straight up.
  • As the betting favorite, the Mavericks have an ATS mark of just 7-3 in their last ten games. Dallas posted a straight up mark of 7-3 in these matchups.

Memphis Grizzlies vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction

Coming into their matchup against the Grizzlies, the Mavericks have an overall record of 13-8. In their last three games, the Mavericks are 2-1. When playing on the road, the Mavericks have gone 7-4 compared to 6-4 at home.

Presently, Dallas boasts an ATS record of 11-10, which is above .500 against the spread. As the favorite this season, Dallas is 10-6 vs. the spread while going 1-4 as the underdog.

The over/under record for the Mavericks stands at 15-6-0 so far this season. They have an average over/under line of 233.8 in their games, and their differential vs. the over/under line this season is 2.9.

The Mavericks offense is coming off a game where they scored 125 points against the Trail Blazers. They posted a field goal percentage of 51.6% and connected on 12 threes. Leading the Mavericks in scoring vs. the Trail Blazers was Luka Doncic with his 32 points. Dante Exum also added 23 points for the Mavericks.

Coming into the game, the Mavericks’ defense is giving up an average of 116.7 points per game. So far, they have given up more points than the NBA league average in 61.9% of their games.

In terms of two point field goal attempts, the Mavericks defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 55.2% while allowing 35.7% from downtown.

In the Western Conference, the Grizzlies are 13th and 4th in the Southwest Division. Overall, they are 6-15 and are hoping to beat the Mavericks.

Memphis’ ATS record sits below .500 (9-12). In their last three road games, Memphis has successfully covered the spread, and they hold an ATS record of 6-5 on the road in contrast to 3-7 at home.

The Grizzlies come in with an over/under record of 8-13-0 for the current season. The average over/under line in their games stands at 222.1, and they have a -3.7 differential against the over/under line for this season.

In their recent matchup, the Grizzlies offense ended with 103 points against the Timberwolves. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 43% and made 15 threes. Leading the team in scoring is Desmond Bane, who is averaging 24.6 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, Jaren Jackson Jr. also maintains a PPG average of 19.9 heading into game.

Coming into the game, the Grizzlies’ defense has finished two straight games with an increased number of points allowed. Overall, they are 11th in the league at 112.1 points per game allowed.

So far this season, the Grizzlies’ defense has struggled with fouls, averaging 6th in fouls per contest. On average, opponents are getting to the line 23.9 times per game vs. Memphis.

Our prediction for this game is that the Mavericks will come out on top with a projected score of 113-99.

Memphis Grizzlies vs Dallas Mavericks Betting Tips

  • Take the Mavericks on the moneyline
  • The Mavericks should also cover at -2.5
  • Our NBA model projects 212 points, and we suggest taking the under

Memphis Grizzlies Injury Report

  • Marcus Smart – Ankle – Out
  • Steven Adams – Knee – Out
  • Luke Kennard – Knee – Out
  • Ja Morant – Suspension – Out
  • Brandon Clarke – Achilles – Out
  • Jake LaRavia – Eye – Questionable

Dallas Mavericks Injury Report

  • Kyrie Irving – Foot – Out
  • Maxi Kleber – Toe – Out
  • Grant Williams – Knee – Out
  • Josh Green – Elbow – Out

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