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Los Angeles Lakers vs Phoenix Suns Prediction & Betting Tips 1/11/2024

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Selections

Los Angeles Lakers vs Phoenix Suns 1/11/2024:
  • We like the Suns on the moneyline (-104)
  • The Suns are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
  • Our NBA model projects 233 points, and we suggest taking the under

Los Angeles Lakers vs Phoenix Suns Preview

At 10:00 ET, the Los Angeles Lakers (-117) will host the Phoenix Suns (-104) in a Western Pacific Division matchup. The Lakers are currently favored by 1.5 points, and the over/under line is set at 237.5.

Phoenix enters this game on a two-game losing streak and currently sits at 19-18 overall. The Suns are 8th in the Western Conference and 3rd in the Pacific Division. As for the Lakers, they have won two straight and are 19-19 overall. Los Angeles is 9th in the West and 4th in the Pacific.

Check out BetCoco for Los Angeles Lakers – Phoenix Suns odds

Los Angeles Lakers vs Phoenix Suns Head-to-Head and Key Stats

The Lakers have been dominant over the Suns, going 5-0 in their last five head to head games. In the last five head to head games between the Suns and Lakers, the average combined point total is 221 points per game. The over/under record in these matchups is 3-2.

  • Across the Suns last ten road games, the team averaged 115 points per game while allowing 116. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 3-7, while going 5-5 straight-up.
  • Through their last ten home games, Los Angeles has an ATS record of just 4-6. However, their overall record was 3-7 while averaging 116 points per game.
  • Going back to their previous three games as the underdog, Phoenix has an ATS mark of 0-3 while going 0-3 straight up.
  • Going back to their last three games as the favorite, the Lakers have a straight up record of 1-2. But, their mark vs the spread was just 0-3.

Los Angeles Lakers vs Phoenix Suns Prediction

So far this season, the Suns have been the underdog in 11 of their 37 games. As the underdog, they have a record of 3-8 straight up and 4-7 ATS. They have also lost three straight games as the underdog.

When looking at their overall record, the Suns are 19-18 and are currently 8th in the Western Conference. In non-conference games, they are 7-4 compared to 12-14 against other Western Conference teams.

Against the spread, Phoenix is 13-24 this season and has failed to cover in their last two games. On the road, they have an ATS record of 6-9.

Phoenix’s last game was a 138-111 loss to the Clippers. They were 5-point underdogs in the game and lost by 27. The over/under line for the game was 234.5, and the teams combined for 249 points.

This season, Phoenix has an O/U record of 21-16. Their last two games have gone over the projected total, and this will be their 32nd game with an O/U line lower than 237.5. On average, their games have seen 229.7 points scored per game.

When it comes to scoring, the Suns are 16th in the NBA at 115.2 points per game. On the road, they average 112.9 points per game.

So far this season, the Suns have outscored the NBA scoring average in 45.9% of their games. In terms of field goal percentage, they are 10th in the league at 48%.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Suns are 13th in the NBA at 37%. However, they are just 25th in three-pointers made per game at 11.7.

On defense, the Suns come into the game ranked 14th in the league in points allowed at 114.5 per game. Over their last three games, the team is allowing 118.7 points per contest (9th). The Phoenix defense has allowed opponents to shoot 36.8% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 46.9% of their field goal attempts vs. Phoenix.

So far this season, the Lakers have an overall record of 19-19 and are currently 9th in the Western Conference. In non-conference play, they are 5-7 compared to 14-12 against other Western Conference teams.

At home, the Lakers have a record of 13-6 and have won two straight games at home. When playing at home, they have an average scoring margin of +5.2 points per game. Today, they are 1.5-point favorites.

Against the spread, the Lakers have a home ATS record of 8-11 and have failed to cover the spread in three straight games as the favorite. Overall, their ATS record is 16-22.

Los Angeles’ last game was a 132-131 win over the Raptors. The over/under line for the game was 237.5, and the teams combined for 263 points. This improved the Lakers’ O/U record to 20-18 this season.

When it comes to scoring, the Lakers are averaging 114 points per game at home this season (20th in the NBA). Overall, they are 19th in scoring at 114 points per game. Heading into this game, the Lakers have outscored the NBA scoring average in 36.8% of their games.

Los Angeles is one of the top teams in terms of two-point field goal percentage, hitting 55% of their shots inside the arc (10th). However, they are just 26th in three-point shooting at 35%.

So far this season, the Lakers have been getting to the free-throw line an average of 24.3 times per game (9th). In terms of pace, they are 7th in the NBA at 100.6 possessions per game.

Currently, the Lakers’ defense holds the 16th rank in the NBA, allowing 115.1 points per game. Inside the arc, the Lakers defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 52.8% and 38.4% from three-point territory.

Even though they are considered 1.5-point underdogs, our projection points to a 117-116 win for the Suns.

Los Angeles Lakers vs Phoenix Suns Betting Tips

  • We like the Suns on the moneyline (-104)
  • The Suns are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
  • Our NBA model projects 233 points, and we suggest taking the under

Los Angeles Lakers Injury Report

  • Anthony Davis – Ankle – Probable
  • LeBron James – Ankle – Questionable
  • Gabe Vincent – Knee – Out
  • Rui Hachimura – Calf – Doubtful
  • Cam Reddish – Face – Questionable

Phoenix Suns Injury Report

  • Damion Lee – Knee – Out

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