Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat Preview
Tip-off for today’s Eastern Conference matchup between the Heat and Pacers at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis is scheduled for 5:00 ET. The Pacers (-119) are currently favored by 1.5 points over the Heat (-101) and the over/under line is sitting at 224.5.
Indiana is 6th in the Eastern Conference with a record of 44-34, while Miami is 7th at 43-34. The Pacers are 3rd in the Central Division, and the Heat are 2nd in the Southeast.
Check out BetCoco for Indiana Pacers – Miami Heat odds
Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat Head-to-Head and Key Stats
The Heat and Pacers did not have any head-to-head matchups last season. But over the last three times playing each other, the Heat have a record of 2-1. However, against the spread the Pacers went 2-1. The over/under record in these matchups was 3-0 on an average of 258 points per game.
- Across their ten previous road games, Miami has an ATS mark of 7-3. Their straight up record in these matchups was 6-4 while averaging 105 points per game.
- In their last five games at home, the Pacers have a straight up record of 2-3 while going 2-3 vs. the spread. The team averaged 122 points per game in this stretch.
- Going back to their previous ten games as the underdog, Miami has an ATS mark of 6-4 while going 4-6 straight up.
- In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Pacers have a strong straight up record of 2-1. In addition, their ATS record was 2-1 in these scenarios.
Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat Prediction
Today, the Heat will look to extend their road winning streak to four games as they take on the Pacers. So far this season, the Heat are 23-16 on the road, and they are 22-14 ATS on the road.
In their last game, the Heat defeated the Rockets by a score of 119-104. The O/U line for that game was 217 points. Miami was favored by 3.5 points going into the game.
Miami’s O/U record for the season is 31-46, and the over has hit in their last five games. On average, their games have finished with 218.3 points.
In the Eastern Conference, the Heat are currently in 7th place with a record of 43-34. Within the Southeast Division, they are in 2nd place. Today, they are 1.5-point underdogs.
This season, the Heat have gone 37-37 ATS, including a 22-14 ATS record on the road. As underdogs, they are 16-16 ATS on the road and 11-21 straight-up.
When it comes to scoring, the Heat are 27th in the NBA at 109.9 points per game. On the road, they are averaging 107.7 points per game (28th).
So far, Miami has outscored the NBA scoring average in just 37.7% of their games, and they are 29th in pace at 95.7 possessions per game.
Overall, the Heat are shooting 46% from the field (23rd), and they are 28th in two-point field goal percentage at 52%. From beyond the arc, Miami is making 12.4 threes per game (18th) at a 37% clip (13th).
In the current season, the Heat defense has excelled, sitting 3rd in the NBA by allowing 108.4 points per game. When it comes to defending inside the arc, the Heat squad is permitting opposing teams to shoot at a clip of 55.1% inside the arc, and they’re also giving up 35.8% from downtown.
Indiana’s ATS record this season is 42-34, and they have covered the spread in three straight home games. As the favorite, the Pacers are 19-21 ATS at home and 23-13 ATS as the favorite overall. Today, they are favored by 1.5 points.
The Pacers’ O/U record for the season is 39-39, and their games have averaged 243 points per game. In their last game against the Thunder, the teams combined for 238 points, and the O/U line was 235.5.
Indiana’s win over the Thunder improved their overall record to 44-34, which is currently 6th in the Eastern Conference. Against the East, they are 29-19 compared to 15-15 against the West.
At home, the Pacers have an average scoring margin of +6.1 points per game. This season, their home record is 24-15. In comparison, their road record is 20-19.
So far this season, 76 of Indiana’s 78 games have had higher O/U lines than 224.5. Overall, their games have averaged 241.6 points per game.
The Pacers have the top-ranked offense in the NBA, averaging 122.8 points per game. At home, they are averaging 124.9 points per game.
Indiana is also the league leader in field goal percentage at 50%. They are 3rd in pace at 101.2 possessions per game.
When it comes to three-point shooting, the Pacers are 9th in three-point percentage at 37% but are only 15th in three-point attempts.
So far, the Pacers’ defense is ranked 27th in the league at 120.2 points per contest. When it comes to forced turnovers, the Pacers are forcing 12.3 per game, which is 12th in the league. They also come into the game sitting 8th in blocked shots at 5.9 per game.
Looking at our projections, the Pacers are expected to take down the Heat by a score of 113-111.
Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat Betting Tips
- Take the Pacers on the moneyline
- The Pacers should also cover at -1.5
- Our NBA model projects 224 points, and we suggest taking the under
Indiana Pacers Injury Report
- Jalen Smith – Ankle – Questionable
- Tyrese Haliburton – Back – Questionable
- Bennedict Mathurin – Shoulder – Out
Miami Heat Injury Report
- Josh Richardson – Shoulder – Out
