Indiana Pacers vs Denver Nuggets Preview
At 7:00 ET, the Indiana Pacers will host the Denver Nuggets in a non-conference matchup. The Nuggets are favored by 3.5 points and are currently on a two-game winning streak. The Pacers, on the other hand, have lost two straight and are 7th in the Eastern Conference.
BSIN will have the TV coverage for this game, which will be played at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis.
Check out BetCoco for Indiana Pacers – Denver Nuggets odds
Indiana Pacers vs Denver Nuggets Head-to-Head and Key Stats
The Nuggets and Pacers did not have any head-to-head matchups last season. But over the last three times playing each other, the Nuggets have a record of 3-0. However, against the spread the Pacers went 2-1. The over/under record in these matchups was 2-1 on an average of 237 points per game.
- Across the Nuggets last five road games, the team averaged 115 points per game while allowing 116. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 1-4, while going 3-2 straight-up.
- In their last five games at home, the Pacers have a straight up record of 1-4 while going 2-2-1 vs. the spread. The team averaged 113 points per game in this stretch.
- In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Pacers have a straight up record of 1-2 and an ATS mark of 1-1-1.
- Although the Nuggets have a strong straight up record in their last five games as the betting favorite, they have not done as well vs the spread going 2-3.
Indiana Pacers vs Denver Nuggets Prediction
The Nuggets are 30-14 on the season and have won two straight games. In the Western Conference, they are currently in 3rd place.
On the road, Denver is 13-10 straight-up and 8-15 against the spread. As the favorite, they have a record of 28-11 and are favored by 3.5 points today.
Against the spread, the Nuggets are 19-24 overall and have failed to cover in their last two games as the favorite. Their O/U record for the season is 17-26-1, and their last two games have gone under the posted total.
In their most recent game, the Nuggets beat the Wizards by a score of 113-104. The O/U line for that game was 238 points, and Denver was favored by 12.5 points going into the game.
This season, the Nuggets have played in just five games with higher over/under lines than today’s line of 243.5. On average, their games have finished with 226.8 points.
This season, the Nuggets are averaging 115.9 points per game, which is 14th in the NBA. However, when playing on the road, they are averaging 111.7 points per game.
Denver is one of the most efficient teams in the league when it comes to two-point shooting, as they are making 56% of their attempts (4th). However, they are just 27th in three-point shooting at 37%.
Coming into this game, the Nuggets are 30th in the NBA in pace at 96.4 possessions per game. In terms of assists, they are 4th in the league at 29.3 per game.
On defense, the Nuggets come into the game ranked 6th in the league in points allowed at 110.9 per game. Over their last three games, the team is allowing 110 points per contest (9th). The Denver defense has allowed opponents to shoot 36.2% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 46.6% of their field goal attempts vs. Denver.
Indiana’s last two games have gone under the O/U line, and their games this season have averaged 248.1 points per game compared to today’s line of 243.5. The team’s O/U record for the season is 26-17.
Against the spread, Indiana is 24-18 for the season and 12-9 at home and on the road. As the underdog, they are 14-9 vs. the spread, and they have failed to cover in their last two games as the favorite.
In their last game, the Pacers lost to the Suns by a score of 117-110. The O/U line for that game was 246 points, and Indiana was a 7-point underdog going into the game. The ATS result was a push.
Currently, the Pacers are 3.5-point underdogs against the Nuggets. In the Eastern Conference, they are in 7th place with a record of 24-19. Against other Eastern Conference teams, Indiana is 20-11 and 9-2 against Central Division opponents.
When it comes to scoring, the Pacers are the top team in the league at 125 points per game. At home, they are even better, averaging 127.6 points per game. So far, they have outscored the NBA scoring average in 72.1% of their games.
Indiana’s offense is built on their ability to get to the rim, as they lead the league in two-point field goal percentage at 58%. Overall, they are shooting 50% from the field, which is also the best mark in the NBA. In terms of pace, the Pacers are 3rd in the league at 102.1 possessions per game.
When it comes to three-point shooting, Indiana is 5th in the league in made threes at 14.3 per game. So far, they have hit 38% of their attempts from beyond the arc. In terms of free throws, the Pacers are 19th in the league in makes and 21st in attempts.
Facing Denver, the Pacers aims for a better defensive performance, given their current average of 123.1 points allowed per game (29th). The Indiana defense has allowed opponents to shoot 37.8% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 50.6% of their field goal attempts vs. Indiana.
Our projections indicate that the Nuggets should come out top with a projected score of 119-115.
Indiana Pacers vs Denver Nuggets Betting Tips
- Take the Nuggets on the moneyline
- The Nuggets should also cover at -3.5
- Our NBA model projects 234 points, and we suggest taking the under
Indiana Pacers Injury Report
- Tyrese Haliburton – Hamstring – Questionable
- Isaiah Jackson – Head – Questionable
- Andrew Nembhard – Back – Questionable
Denver Nuggets Injury Report
- Aaron Gordon – Shoulder – Probable
- Vlatko Cancar – Knee – Out
- Michael Porter Jr. – Illness – Probable
- Julian Strawther – Knee – Out
