Houston Rockets vs Milwaukee Bucks Preview
Planning on watching today’s Bucks and Rockets game? Catch the action at Toyota Center in Houston, TX, as the Rockets hosts this showdown at 8:00 ET on Spac.
The Bucks are favored in this non-conference showdown. The game’s over/under is currently at 238.5 points. Check out BetCoco for Houston Rockets – Milwaukee Bucks odds
Houston Rockets vs Milwaukee Bucks Head-to-Head and Key Stats
The Bucks and Rockets did not have any head-to-head matchups last season. But over the last three times playing each other, the Bucks have a record of 2-1. The Bucks also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1. These games averaged a combined total of 222 points per game leading to an over/under record of 2-1.
- In their last three games away from home, the Bucks have a straight up record of 2-1 while going 1-2 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 124 points per game in these contests.
- Across their ten previous home games, Houston has an ATS mark of 5-4-1. Their straight up record in these matchups was 3-7 while averaging 112 points per game.
- The last five games that Houston was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 1-4 while going 1-4 straight up.
- Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the favorite, the Bucks have a straight up record of 7-3. Their record vs the spread in these games was 4-6.
Houston Rockets vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction
In the Eastern Conference, the Bucks are in 2nd place and sit 1st in the Central Division on a record of 25-10. When playing non-conference teams, Milwaukee has gone a perfect 5-0 for the season.
When playing on the road, the Bucks have a scoring margin of +3.7 points per game compared to +6.2 at home. This season, Milwaukee’s road record is 9-7, and they have gone 8-8 ATS on the road.
Out of their 35 games, the Bucks have been the favorite 34 times and have a record of 25-9 straight up in those games. However, they have failed to cover the spread in three straight games. Their overall ATS record is 15-20.
So far, 19 of Milwaukee’s games have had lower over/under lines than today’s line of 238.5 points. The Bucks have gone 11-8 in their previous games with higher over/under lines than 238.5 (average over/under line is 238.8 this season). Their over/under record for the season is 22-13.
In their most recent game, the Bucks put up 125 points against the Spurs and shot 53.3% from the field while hitting 12 threes. Looking at the last three games, the Bucks have an EFG of 55.6%, which is slightly lower than their season-long EFG of 58% (2nd). Over their last five games, the Bucks are shooting 36.9% from three, which ranks 16th in the league.
Coming into the game, the Bucks will be looking to improve their defense, as they are currently giving up 119.7 points per game (24th). When it comes to defending inside the arc, the Bucks squad is permitting opposing teams to shoot at a clip of 55.3% inside the arc, and they’re also giving up 33.0% from downtown.
With an overall record of 17-16, the Rockets will look to pick up a win at home today as they host the Bucks. Houston is currently 3.5-point underdogs at home.
When playing teams outside of the Western Conference, the Rockets have struggled this season, going just 3-10 in these matchups. Against other West teams, Houston is 14-10 for 9th place.
The Rockets have dropped three straight games as the underdog and have gone 11-10 against the spread in this role for the season. On average, they have been the underdog by 1.2 points per game and have a scoring margin of -5.3 on the road.
So far, the over/under results for Houston and their games have been slightly tilted towards the under, sitting at 14-19. Today’s line of 238.5 is just above their average over/under line of 221.9. Only one of their games has had a higher over/under line than 238.5 this season.
In their most recent game vs. the Timberwolves, the Rockets offense put up 95 points. When looking at their overall shooting numbers, they finished with a 40% field goal percentage and made 12 three-pointers. Alperen Sengün is the team’s leading scorer, averaging 21.5 PPG, while Jalen Green is right behind him at 17.5 PPG.
At present, the Rockets’ defense is ranked 2nd, allowing 109.9 points per game. In terms of two point field goal attempts, the Rockets defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 53.5% while allowing 32.7% from downtown.
Coming in as 5.5 point favorites, our projections have the Bucks picking up a 116-115 win.
Houston Rockets vs Milwaukee Bucks Betting Tips
- Take the Bucks on the moneyline
- On the spread, we like Rockets (+5.5)
- Our NBA model projects 231 points, and we suggest taking the under
Houston Rockets Injury Report
- Victor Oladipo – Knee – Out
- Dillon Brooks – Abdomen – Questionable
- Tari Eason – Leg – Questionable
Milwaukee Bucks Injury Report
- Jae Crowder – Groin – Out
