Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks Preview
Looking to win big? The Mavericks and Rockets face off at 8:00 ET on Spac. The Rockets are hosting the game at Toyota Center in Houston, TX.
This Southwest division matchup has an over/under of 226.5 points, and the Rockets are favored to win at home vs. the Mavericks. Check out BetCoco for Houston Rockets – Dallas Mavericks odds
Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks Head-to-Head and Key Stats
The last three times that the Mavericks have faced off vs. the Rockets as the underdog, they have gone 2-1. Against the spread, the Mavericks have the edge at 2-1 over their last three games vs. the Rockets. However, the Rockets have gone 1-2 in their last three home games vs. the Mavericks.
- Dallas has played well in their previous three road games, going 2-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 118 points per game while allowing 121. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-1.
- In their last ten games at home, the Rockets have a straight up record of 2-8 while going 5-4-1 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 112 points per game in these contests.
- The last five games that Dallas was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 1-4 while going 1-4 straight up.
- In their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Rockets have a straight up record of 9-1 and an ATS mark of 7-2-1.
Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction
In the Western Conference, the Mavericks are currently 6th overall and are 1st in the Southwest Division. Over their last three games, they have gone 1-2 and have an overall record of 16-11.
Dallas has an ATS record above .500, currently standing at 14-13 against the spread. As the favorite this season, Dallas is 12-6 vs. the spread while going 2-7 as the underdog.
The over/under record for this season for the Mavericks is 18-9-0. Their games have currently averaged 245.0 points per game and the average over/under line so far is 233.8.
In their latest game, the Mavericks offense put up 111 points against the Clippers. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 42.9% and made 14 threes. Luka Doncic is currently the leading scorer for the team, entering today’s matchup with an average of 32.7. Meanwhile, Tim Hardaway Jr. also brings a PPG average of 17.4 into the game.
The Mavericks’ defense is presently ranked 21 in the league, allowing an average of 117.7 points per contest.
In the terms of takeaways, Mavericks are causing 11.4 turnovers per game, ranking 1st in the league. They also enter the matchup ranked 26th in rejections, averaging 4.3 blocked shots each game.
The Rockets are above .500 at 13-12 and want to continue building on that as they face the Mavericks. On the road, the Rockets are 2-10 this season compared to their home record of 11-2.
In terms of the spread, Houston currently holds an ATS record of 16-8, which is above .500. The Rockets have two straight ATS losses as the underdog and are 6-1 vs. the spread as the favorite.
The Rockets have had over half of their games remain below the over/under lines, with their over/under record sitting at 10-15-0. In their games, the average over/under line is 220.8, and they maintain a -1.1 differential vs. the over/under line this season.
Coming off their recent game, the Rockets offense tallied 127 points in a matchup against the Hawks. Their field goal percentage for the game was 49.4%, and they made 16 threes. Houston’s offense is currently one of the slower paced teams in the NBA, at 97.6 possessions per game. In terms of three-point shooting, they are 16th in attempts and 18th in three-point shooting percentage.
At this time, the Rockets’ defense is positioned 2 in the NBA, permitting 108.4 points per game.
Houston’s defense is currently forcing 12.5 turnovers per game, which is 9th in the league. Additionally, they enter the game ranked 23rd in blocked shots, with an average of 4.5 rejections per game.
Despite being 8.5 point underdogs, we predict the Mavericks to come out on top with a final score of 114-105.
Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks Betting Tips
- We like the Mavericks on the moneyline (+291)
- The Mavericks are also our pick on the spread at +8.5
- Our NBA model projects 219 points, and we suggest taking the under
Houston Rockets Injury Report
- Victor Oladipo – Knee – Out
- Tari Eason – Leg – Questionable
Dallas Mavericks Injury Report
- Kyrie Irving – Foot – Out
- Dante Exum – Leg – Out
- Seth Curry – Back – Questionable
- Maxi Kleber – Toe – Out
- Luka Doncic – Quad – Out
- Josh Green – Elbow – Out
- Dereck Lively II – Ankle – Out
