Golden State Warriors vs Toronto Raptors Preview
Looking to win big? The Raptors and Warriors face off at 8:30 ET on NBCS. The Warriors are hosting the game at Chase Center in San Francisco, CA.
The odds for this non-conference game currently have the Warriors as the betting favorite with the over/under line sitting at 237.5 points. Check out BetCoco for Golden State Warriors – Toronto Raptors odds
Golden State Warriors vs Toronto Raptors Head-to-Head and Key Stats
The last five times that the Warriors have hosted the Raptors, they have an above .500 record at 3-2. In the last three games as the favorite against the Raptors, the Warriors have put together a 2-1 vs. the spread.
- In their last ten games away from home, the Raptors have a straight up record of 2-8 while going 4-6 vs. the spread. The team averaged 118 points per game in this stretch.
- In their last ten games at home, the Warriors have a straight up record of 2-8 while going 6-4 vs. the spread. The team averaged 117 points per game in this stretch.
- Looking back on the team’s last three games as the underdog, the Raptors have a straight up record of 1-2. Their record vs the spread in these games was 2-1.
- Over the team’s last three games as the favorite, the Warriors struggled vs the spread going just 1-2. However, they still had a straight up mark of 2-1.
Golden State Warriors vs Toronto Raptors Prediction
Heading into today’s matchup vs. the Warriors, the Raptors are the 2.5-point underdogs. If they are able to pull off the upset, they will move to 15-21 for the season.
When looking at the Eastern Conference standings, Toronto is currently in 12th place and sit 5th in the Atlantic Division. On the road, the Raptors have gone 5-12 for the season.
Against the spread, Toronto has a road record of 8-9 and an overall ATS record of 17-18. So far, they have been the underdog in 20 of their 35 games and have gone 10-10 vs. the spread in those games.
The over/under record in their games compared to 237.5 is 16-13-1, and the over has come through in their two most recent high-scoring games. On average, Toronto’s games have finished with 230.1 points per contest this season.
When playing away from home, the Raptors have the 11th best scoring offense, averaging 115.9 points per game. Overall, they are 18th in scoring as a team, putting up 114.5 points per game. Pascal Siakam is the team’s leading scorer, averaging 22.3 points per game, while Scottie Barnes is also averaging 20.9 points per game.
Currently, the Raptors’ defense holds the 17th rank in the NBA, allowing 115.6 points per game. When it comes to defending inside the arc, the Raptors squad is permitting opposing teams to shoot at a clip of 54.6% inside the arc, and they’re also giving up 38.4% from downtown.
With an overall record of 17-18, the Warriors will look to pick up a win as 2.5-point favorites over the Raptors. If they are able to come through as the favorite, they will also snap a two-game home ATS losing streak. So far, 9th in the West, the Warriors have put together an average scoring differential of 0 points per game at home (111.7 PPG, 111.7 PPG allowed).
Against other teams in the Western Conference, Golden State is just 11-15 for 10th place. When playing at home, the Warriors have gone 11-9 for their fans, but have only gone 7-12 ATS at home for the season.
In non-conference games, the Warriors have been the favorite in 6 of their 9 games against teams from the East, going 6-3 straight up and 5-4 vs. the spread. Golden State’s overall ATS record for the season is 16-18.
This season, the over/under mark in Golden State’s games is 19-15-1 compared to the average over/under lines they have faced. Today’s line of 237.5 is just slightly higher than their average OU line of 230.5. In their previous games with higher OU lines than 237.5, the over/under record is 2-2.
In their most recent game, the Warriors put up 113 points on offense, which is right in line with their season average of 117.1 points per game. Stephen Curry led the way with 26 points, while Klay Thompson added 19 points.
Coming into the game, the Warriors defense has held opposing team’s to fewer points than the league average in 48.6% of their games. Currently, they are 20th in the NBA at 116.5 points per game allowed. Inside the arc, the Warriors defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 54.6% and 35.1% from three-point territory.
Even though they are considered 2.5-point underdogs, our projection points to a 114-111 win for the Raptors.
Golden State Warriors vs Toronto Raptors Betting Tips
- We like the Raptors on the moneyline (+116)
- The Raptors are also our pick on the spread at +2.5
- Our NBA model projects 225 points, and we suggest taking the under
Golden State Warriors Injury Report
- Draymond Green – Conditioning – Out
- Chris Paul – Hand – Out
- Gary Payton II – Hamstring – Out
- Jonathan Kuminga – Toe – Questionable
Toronto Raptors Injury Report
- Otto Porter Jr. – Knee – Out
- Gary Trent Jr. – Quad – Questionable
- Christian Koloko – Illness – Out