Golden State Warriors vs Sacramento Kings Preview
The Sacramento Kings (-124) are favored by 1.5 points as they travel to take on the Golden State Warriors (+103) at 10:00 ET. The over/under line for this Western Pacific Division matchup is currently sitting at 240.5 points.
This game will be played at the Chase Center in San Francisco and can be seen on TNT.
Check out BetCoco for Golden State Warriors – Sacramento Kings odds
Golden State Warriors vs Sacramento Kings Head-to-Head and Key Stats
Over the last three times that the Warriors have hosted the Kings, they have gone 2-1. Going back to the last five head-to-head games between the Warriors and Kings, the over/under record in these games is 1-4 with a combined average of 224 points per contest.
- When looking at their past three road matchups, Sacramento has an ATS record of 2-1 while averaging 117 per game. The team went 0-3 overall in these games.
- Across their last five home contests, Golden State has a 3-2 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 2-3, while averaging 119 points per game.
- Spanning across their last three games as the betting underdog, the Warriors have gone 2-1 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 1-2.
- Sacramento has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 2-1 SU and 2-1 ATS in their last three games.
Golden State Warriors vs Sacramento Kings Prediction
Sacramento is favored by 1.5 points today against Golden State. This season, they have been the favorite in 32 of their 42 games and have a record of 20-12 in those games. As the favorite, they are 16-16 against the spread, going 13-7 ATS on the road.
The Kings’ O/U record for the season is 20-21-1, and 32 of their games have had lower over/under lines than today’s line of 240.5. On average, their games have finished with a combined scoring total of 236 points.
In their last game, Sacramento beat the Hawks by a score of 122-107. They were favored by 8.5 points going into the game and covered the spread. The O/U line for that game was 238 points.
Sacramento is currently 7th in the Western Conference with a record of 24-18. Against other Western Conference teams, they are 15-13 and 5-5 against other Pacific Division teams. On the road, the Kings are 10-10.
In non-conference games, the Kings have gone 9-5 compared to 15-13 against Western Conference opponents. The Kings have an average scoring differential of +0.8 points per game on the road.
When it comes to scoring, the Kings are 7th in the league at 118.3 points per game. However, on the road, they are averaging 115.0 points per game (14th).
Sacramento is 9th in pace at 100.4 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, they are 14th in the league at 47%.
So far this season, the Kings have made 15 three-pointers per game (3rd). Overall, they are 14th in true shooting percentage. In terms of free throws, Sacramento is 26th in the league at 16.2 made per game.
On defense, the Kings come into the game ranked 20th in the league in points allowed at 117.7 per game. Over their last three games, the team is allowing 117.3 points per contest (21st). Sacramento struggled on the boards in their last game vs. the Hawks, giving up 10. For the game, Atlanta scored 107 points in the game.
Today, the Warriors are 1.5-point underdogs at home against the Kings. This season, Golden State has gone 4-13 as the underdog and has a scoring differential of -3.6 points per game in those games.
Against the spread, the Warriors are 19-21 this season, including going 11-7 on the road and 8-14 at home. They have covered the spread in their last two games as the underdog.
In their win over the Hawks, the Warriors easily covered the spread as 6-point favorites, winning by a score of 134-112. The O/U line for that game was 235 points.
Golden State’s O/U record for the season is 24-16-1, with an average of 235.6 points per game. Today’s O/U line is set at 240.5, which is higher than all but three of their games this season.
Overall, the Warriors are 19-22 this season, which puts them 12th in the Western Conference. Against other Western Conference teams, they are 11-17 and are 3-6 against Pacific Division opponents.
So far this season, the Golden State Warriors are averaging 117.6 points per game, which is 10th in the NBA. At home, they have averaged 116.6 points per game.
When it comes to three-point shooting, the Warriors are 4th in the NBA in both made threes per game (14.8) and three-point attempts per game (39.7). Overall, they are 12th in three-point shooting percentage at 37%.
In terms of pace, Golden State is 12th in the NBA at 99.1 possessions per game. They have also been one of the better teams at offensive rebounding, ranking 2nd in the league.
Coming into today’s game, the Warriors’ defense is giving up an average of 118.0 points per contest. Opponents are hitting 55.1% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 36.1% of their three-point attempts.
Looking at our projections, the Kings are expected to take down the Warriors by a score of 116-109.
Golden State Warriors vs Sacramento Kings Betting Tips
- Take the Kings on the moneyline
- The Kings should also cover at -1.5
- Our NBA model projects 225 points, and we suggest taking the under
Golden State Warriors Injury Report
- Chris Paul – Hand – Out
- Gary Payton II – Hamstring – Out
- Moses Moody – Calf – Out
Sacramento Kings Injury Report
- Sasha Vezenkov – Ankle – Out
