Golden State Warriors vs Milwaukee Bucks Preview
The Bucks (41-21) will look to extend their win streak to seven games tonight as they travel to take on the Warriors (32-28) in a non-conference matchup. Golden State is currently favored by 4.5 points and the over/under line is set at 226.5.
ESPN will have coverage of this game from the Chase Center in San Francisco. Tip-off is scheduled for 10:00 ET.
Check out BetCoco for Golden State Warriors – Milwaukee Bucks odds
Golden State Warriors vs Milwaukee Bucks Head-to-Head and Key Stats
In the last three head-to-head matchups, the Bucks are averaging 124 points per game, compared to the Warriors at 118. These figures have led to Milwaukee posting a record of 2-1.
- When looking at their past three road matchups, Milwaukee has an ATS record of 3-0 while averaging 114 per game. The team went 3-0 overall in these games.
- Across their last three home contests, Golden State has been good against the spread posting a mark of 2-1. Their overall mark in these games was 2-1, while averaging 106 points per game.
- Through their last three games as the underdog, the Bucks have an ATS record of 2-1 and a straight up mark of 2-1.
- Golden State has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 3-0 SU and 3-0 ATS in their last three games.
Golden State Warriors vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction
Milwaukee has won six straight games and is currently 41-21 on the season, which is good for 2nd place in the Eastern Conference. In non-conference games, they are 12-8 compared to 29-13 against the East.
As the underdog, the Bucks have a record of 2-6 this season and are 3-5 ATS. They have covered the spread in their last six games and are 27-35 ATS for the season.
Milwaukee’s O/U record for the season is 30-32, and the under has hit in their last six games. Today’s O/U line of 226.5 is lower than their season average of 238.2 points per game.
In their last game, the Bucks defeated the Clippers by a score of 113-106. Milwaukee was 2.5-point underdogs going into the game and covered the spread.
On the road, the Bucks have an ATS record of 13-17 and are 16-14 straight-up. Their average scoring margin on the road is +2.0 PPG.
When it comes to scoring, the Bucks are one of the best teams in the league, averaging 121.4 points per game (2nd). However, they have scored slightly less on the road, with an average of 119.6 points per game (3rd).
In terms of pace, Milwaukee is 6th in the NBA, averaging 100.8 possessions per game. They have also been efficient from the field, ranking 6th in field goal percentage at 49%.
When it comes to three-point shooting, the Bucks are 5th in made threes per game (14.3) and 6th in three-point shooting percentage (37%). They have also been aggressive in getting to the free-throw line, leading the league in free throw attempts per game (25.4).
On defense, the Bucks come into the game ranked 18th in the league in points allowed at 116.9 per game. Over their last three games, the team is allowing 100.7 points per contest (16th). So far this season, the Bucks’ defense has struggled with fouls, averaging 9th in fouls per contest. On average, opponents are getting to the line 22.2 times per game vs. Milwaukee.
Golden State is favored by 4.5 points today against the Bucks. This season, the Warriors have been favored in 38 of their 60 games and have gone 26-12 in those games. Their ATS record as the favorite is 19-19.
In the Western Conference, the Warriors are currently in 10th place with a record of 32-28. In Pacific Division play, they are 5-9 and 16-21 against other Western Conference teams.
The Warriors’ O/U record for the season is 29-30-1, and the under has hit in their last seven games. On average, their games have finished with 235.8 points compared to today’s line of 226.5.
Golden State’s last game was a 140-88 loss to the Celtics. They were 8-point underdogs in that game and did not cover the spread. The O/U line for that game was 231 points.
This season, the Warriors have been one of the most prolific three-point shooting teams in the league, averaging 15 made threes per game (2nd). At home, they have been scoring 117.5 points per game (12th).
Overall, Golden State is 7th in the NBA in scoring at 118.6 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage, the Warriors are 16th in the league at 47%. Additionally, they are 8th in pace at 100.2 possessions per game.
When it comes to two-point shooting, Golden State is 18th in the league at 54%. In terms of offensive rebounding, they are 4th in the NBA. As a team, the Warriors are 5th in assists with an average of 29 per game.
At present, the Warriors’ defense is ranked 19th, allowing 117.2 points per game. Golden State’s defense is currently forcing 14 turnovers per game, which is 23rd in the league. Additionally, they enter the game ranked 27th in blocked shots, with an average of 4.2 rejections per game.
Even though they are considered 4.5-point underdogs, our projection points to a 111-107 win for the Bucks.
Golden State Warriors vs Milwaukee Bucks Betting Tips
- We like the Bucks on the moneyline (+149)
- The Bucks are also our pick on the spread at +4.5
- Our NBA model projects 218 points, and we suggest taking the under
Golden State Warriors Injury Report
No Injuries Reported
Milwaukee Bucks Injury Report
- Giannis Antetokounmpo – Achilles – Questionable
- Khris Middleton – Ankle – Out
- Jae Crowder – Knee – Probable
- MarJon Beauchamp – Foot – Probable
