Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Preview
The Denver Nuggets (-115) are currently favored by 1 point over the Golden State Warriors (-105) in tonight’s Western Conference matchup. The over/under line for this game is 232.5 points.
Denver is currently on a two-game win streak and sits fourth in the Western Conference at 38-19. Golden State has won three straight and is 10th in the West at 29-26.
Check out BetCoco for Golden State Warriors – Denver Nuggets odds
Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Head-to-Head and Key Stats
Across the previous three matchups between Golden State and Denver, the Nuggets have played well, sitting at 3-0. However, the average point differential between the two teams has been been close, with Denver averaging 119 points and Golden State at 115.
- Across the Nuggets last ten road games, the team averaged 107 points per game while allowing 113. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 4-5-1, while going 5-5 straight-up.
- In their last ten games at home, the Warriors have a straight up record of 7-3 while going 8-2 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 125 points per game in these contests.
- As the betting underdog, the Warriors have an ATS mark of just 8-2 in their last ten games. Golden State posted a straight up mark of 4-6 in these matchups.
- In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Nuggets have a strong straight up record of 2-1. In addition, their ATS record was 2-1 in these scenarios.
Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Prediction
The Nuggets are favored for the 36th time this season and are 21-26 ATS as the favorite. As the favorite, they have won two straight games against the spread.
Denver’s O/U record for the season is 21-35-1, and the over has hit in their last two games. On average, their games have finished with 225.3 points, and today’s O/U line is set at 232.5.
In their last game, the Nuggets beat the Trail Blazers by a score of 127-112. The O/U line for that game was 215.5, and Denver covered the spread (-8.5).
Overall, the Nuggets are 38-19 this season, which is good for 4th place in the Western Conference. Against other Western Conference teams, they are 21-13 and 5-5 against division opponents.
On the road, the Nuggets have an average scoring differential of -1.7 points per game. Their road record is 16-14, and they are 11-18 ATS on the road.
On the season, the Nuggets are 16th in scoring at 114.5 points per game. However, they have struggled on the road, averaging just 110.3 points per game (24th).
Denver has outscored the NBA average in 45.6% of their games this season. They are also 6th in field goal percentage at 49%. In terms of pace, the Nuggets are 29th in the league.
When it comes to three-point shooting, Denver is 26th in made threes per game at 11.4. They are also 27th in free throw attempts and 29th in free throws made.
Currently, the Nuggets’ defense holds the 7th rank in the NBA, allowing 110.8 points per game. Denver’s defense is currently forcing 11.8 turnovers per game, which is 5th in the league. Additionally, they enter the game ranked 11th in blocked shots, with an average of 5.4 rejections per game.
The Warriors have won three straight games and are currently 10th in the Western Conference with a record of 29-26. In the Pacific Division, they are in 5th place.
As the underdog, the Warriors have gone 6-15 this season and are 14-6 ATS. They have covered the spread in their last two games as the underdog and have an average scoring differential of -2.2 points per game.
Golden State’s O/U record for the season is 29-25-1, and the under has hit in their last two games. This year, their games have averaged 236.9 points per game.
In their last game, the Warriors beat the Hornets by a score of 97-84. The O/U line for that game was 229 points, and Golden State covered the spread as 12.5-point favorites.
At home, the Warriors have an ATS record of 13-16 and are 13-16 straight-up. The team’s average scoring differential at home is +0.3 PPG. Against the spread, they have won two straight games at home.
At home, the Warriors are 10th in the NBA in scoring at 118.0 points per game. Overall, they are 6th in the league at 119.5 points per game. In terms of pace, Golden State is 9th in the NBA at 100.2 possessions per game.
So far this season, the Warriors have outscored the NBA scoring average in 61.8% of their games. In terms of field goal percentage, they are 16th in the league at 47%. From three-point range, Golden State is 6th in the NBA at 37%.
One area where the Warriors are excelling this season is in three-point shooting. They are 2nd in the NBA in made threes per game at 15.1. In terms of assists, Golden State is 4th in the league at 29 per game.
At present, the Warriors’ defense is ranked 21st, allowing 117.4 points per game. When it comes to defending inside the arc, the Warriors squad is permitting opposing teams to shoot at a clip of 54.5% inside the arc, and they’re also giving up 35.7% from downtown.
Even though they are considered 1-point underdogs, our projection points to a 130-123 win for the Warriors.
Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Betting Tips
- We like the Warriors on the moneyline (-105)
- The Warriors are also our pick on the spread at +1
- Projecting a combined 253 points, we like the over
Golden State Warriors Injury Report
- Chris Paul – Hand – Out
Denver Nuggets Injury Report
- Kentavious Caldwell-Pope – Finger – Questionable
- Jamal Murray – Tibia – Questionable
- Vlatko Cancar – Knee – Out
- Jay Huff – Knee – Probable
- Hunter Tyson – Finger – Out
