Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Preview
Making on a bet on this NBA game featuring the Nuggets versus the Warriors? Tip off is at at 10:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on TNT. The game will be played at Chase Center in San Francisco, CA.
In this Western matchup, the Nuggets are the betting favorite against the Warriors. The over/under for the game is 234.5 points. Check out BetCoco for Golden State Warriors – Denver Nuggets odds
Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Head-to-Head and Key Stats
Across the previous three matchups between Golden State and Denver, the Nuggets have played well, sitting at 3-0. However, the average point differential between the two teams has been been close, with Denver averaging 113 points and Golden State at 109.
- Across the Nuggets last ten road games, the team averaged 111 points per game while allowing 109. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 6-4, while going 7-3 straight-up.
- Across their three previous home games, Golden State has an ATS mark of 1-2. Their straight up record in these matchups was 1-2 while averaging 115 points per game.
- Going back to their previous five games as the underdog, Golden State has an ATS mark of 4-1 while going 1-4 straight up.
- Through their last three games as the favorite, the Nuggets have an ATS record of 2-1 and a straight up mark of 2-1.
Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Prediction
In the Western Conference, the Nuggets are in 3rd place and will take on the Warriors as 2.5-point favorites on the road. Overall, Denver is 24-11 this season and has won five straight games on the road.
Against the spread, the Nuggets are 7-11 on the road and 16-18 overall. So far, they have been favored in 32 of their 35 games and have a scoring margin of +6.1 as the favorite.
Out of their games, the average over/under line has been 226 points, and their over/under record for the season is 12-22-1. Each of their last two games have finished below today’s line of 234.5 points.
So far, the Nuggets have been the underdog in three games, combining to go 1-2 against the spread in those matchups.
In their most recent game, the Nuggets’ offense finished with 111 points, which is similar to their season average of 115.1 PPG. Nikola Jokic is the team’s leading scorer at 25.7 PPG, while Michael Porter Jr. is averaging 16.3 PPG.
At this time, the Nuggets’ defense is positioned 3rd in the NBA, permitting 109.8 points per game. Denver’s defense is currently forcing 11.5 turnovers per game, which is 1st in the league. Additionally, they enter the game ranked 14th in blocked shots, with an average of 5.5 rejections per game.
With a record of 16-17, the Warriors will look to pick up a win as 2.5-point underdogs at home. If they are able to pull off the win, they will also move above .500 at home, as they are currently 10-8.
Against the spread, Golden State is 15-17 for the season. When playing at home, they have gone 6-11 ATS this year. As the underdog, the Warriors have been able to cover the spread in two straight games and have an overall record of 8-4 as the underdog this season.
In the Western Conference, the Warriors are in 11th place and sit 5th in the Pacific Division. Against other teams in the West, Golden State has gone 11-14 compared to 5-3 in non-conference games.
So far, the over/under results for the Warriors are 18-14-1. If you look at their recent over/under history in games with higher lines than today’s line of 234.5, they are 4-5 in these games. For the season, 23 of their games have had lower over/under lines than 234.5 (average O/U line of 230.1).
In their last game, the Warriors put up 121 points, which is right in line with their season average of 116.9 points per game. Leading the team in scoring is Stephen Curry, who comes into today’s game with an average of 27.6 points per game. Also, Klay Thompson is averaging 16.7 points per game on the season.
At present, the Warriors’ defense is ranked 20th, allowing 116.3 points per game. Inside the arc, the Warriors defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 54.2% and 35.3% from three-point territory.
With the Nuggets being favored by 2.5, our NFL analytics models has this one playing out 110-109 in favor of the Nuggets.
Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Betting Tips
- Take the Nuggets on the moneyline
- On the spread, we like Warriors (+2.5)
- Our NBA model projects 219 points, and we suggest taking the under
Golden State Warriors Injury Report
- Draymond Green – Suspension – Out
- Gary Payton II – Hamstring – Out
Denver Nuggets Injury Report
- Reggie Jackson – Calf – Probable
- Vlatko Cancar – Knee – Out
