Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat Preview
The Miami Heat (-294) will be looking to snap a four-game losing streak when they take on the Detroit Pistons (+238) at 7:00 ET. Miami is currently 8th in the Eastern Conference, while Detroit is 14th.
The over/under line for this matchup is 213.5 points. BSDE will have television coverage from Little Caesars Arena.
Check out BetCoco for Detroit Pistons – Miami Heat odds
Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat Head-to-Head and Key Stats
In the last three games between Detroit and Miami, the Heat have dominated the series, going 3-0. This includes a convincing margin of victory of 8 points per contest. Across the last three head-to-head matchups, Miami is averaging 113 points compared to Detroit at 105.
- Although Miami has a straight up record of 6-4 in their last ten road games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 7-2-1. The team averaged 108 points per game in these games.
- When looking at their past three home matchups, Detroit has an ATS record of 2-1 while averaging 102 per game. The team went 1-2 overall in these games.
- Going back to their previous ten games as the underdog, Detroit has an ATS mark of 5-5 while going 2-8 straight up.
- Going back to their last ten games as the favorite, the Heat have a straight up record of 7-3. But, their mark vs the spread was just 4-5-1.
Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat Prediction
Miami is favored by 7.5 points today, and they have gone 15-14 ATS as the favorite this season. As the favorite, they are 25-11 straight-up and 30-32 overall vs. the spread.
The Heat have lost four straight games, and their record is 35-30, which is currently 8th in the Eastern Conference. In the Southeast Division, they are in 2nd place.
In non-conference games, the Heat are 12-13 compared to 23-17 against the East. On the road, they are 18-15 straight-up and 18-12 vs. the spread.
In their last game, Miami lost to the Nuggets by a score of 100-88. The O/U line for that game was 217, and the Heat were 3.5-point underdogs going into the game.
This season, the Heat have an O/U record of 24-41, and their games have averaged 219.9 points per game. Today’s O/U line is set at 213.5, and Miami’s games have averaged 222.6 points.
So far this season, the Heat are 27th in the NBA in scoring at 110.2 points per game. However, they have been better at home, where they are averaging 112.7 points compared to 107.7 on the road.
In terms of three-point shooting, Miami is 8th in the league at 37%. On average, they are making 12.3 threes per game, which is 18th in the NBA.
When it comes to pace, the Heat are 29th in the league at 96 possessions per game. In terms of assists, they are 21st at 25.8 per game.
Currently, the Heat’s defense holds the 6th rank in the NBA, allowing 109.8 points per game. For the season, Miami is ranked 26th in fewest fouls per game. Team’s are averaging 19.9 free-throws per game vs. the Heat and have an overall field goal percentage of 47.2%.
This season, Detroit has an O/U record of 34-30-1, and the under has hit in their last two games. On average, their games have finished with 232.9 points, which is higher than today’s line of 213.5.
The Pistons’ ATS record for the season is 33-31, and they have covered the spread in their last two games. At home, they are 16-16 against the spread, while going 7-26 straight-up and 12-53 overall.
In the Eastern Conference, the Pistons are in 14th place with a record of 12-53. In games against other Eastern Conference teams, they are 9-31 and 2-12 against their division. Today, they are 7.5-point underdogs.
Detroit has won their last two games after defeating the Raptors by a score of 113-104. The game finished with an O/U line of 233, and the Pistons were favored by 3.5 points.
At home, the Pistons are 23rd in the NBA in scoring at 112.1 points per game. Overall, they are 21st in the league in scoring, averaging 112.4 points per contest. In terms of pace, they are 7th in the NBA at 100.3 possessions per game.
When it comes to three-point shooting, Detroit is 29th in the NBA in made threes per game at 11.3. Their three-point shooting percentage is 35% (21st). Overall, the Pistons are 18th in field goal percentage at 47%.
So far this season, Detroit has outscored the NBA scoring average in just 32.3% of their games. In terms of assists, they are 17th in the league at 26.3 per game. When it comes to free throws, the Pistons are 15th in made free throws at 17.4 per contest.
Looking at the Pistons defense, they will be looking for a better performance considering they are currently conceding 120.5 points per game (26th). The Detroit defense has allowed opponents to shoot 37.6% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 49.1% of their field goal attempts vs. Detroit.
With the Heat being favored by 7.5, our NFL analytics models has this one playing out 112-108 in favor of the Heat.
Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat Betting Tips
- Take the Heat on the moneyline
- On the spread, we like Pistons (+7.5)
- Projecting a combined 220 points, we like the over
Detroit Pistons Injury Report
- Cade Cunningham – Injury Management – Questionable
- Quentin Grimes – Knee – Out
- Ausar Thompson – Illness – Out
Miami Heat Injury Report
- Kevin Love – Heel – Out
- Josh Richardson – Shoulder – Out
- Bam Adebayo – Back – Probable
- Tyler Herro – Foot – Out
