Denver Nuggets vs Toronto Raptors Preview
At 9:00 ET, the 12th-seeded Toronto Raptors will travel to Denver to take on the 2nd-seeded Nuggets. The Nuggets come in as 13.5-point favorites with a record of 44-20, while the Raptors are currently on a three-game losing streak and sit at 23-41.
This non-conference matchup will be played at Ball Arena and can be seen on ALT.
Check out BetCoco for Denver Nuggets – Toronto Raptors odds
Denver Nuggets vs Toronto Raptors Head-to-Head and Key Stats
Last season, the Raptors and Nuggets did not face off head-to-head. When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Nuggets have the leg up at 2-1. However, against the spread the Raptors went 2-1. The over/under record in these matchups was 2-1 on an average of 227 points per game.
- The Raptors are 3-2 ATS in their last road games and 3-2 straight-up.
- When looking at their past three matchups at home, Denver has an ATS record of 3-0 while averaging 123 per game. The team went 3-0 overall in these games.
- Going back to their previous ten games as the underdog, Toronto has an ATS mark of 5-5 while going 2-8 straight up.
- Spanning across their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Nuggets have gone 6-4 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 8-2.
Denver Nuggets vs Toronto Raptors Prediction
In their last game against the Trail Blazers, the Raptors lost by a score of 128-118. The O/U line for that game was also 228.5 points. Toronto was favored by 2.5 points heading into the game, giving them an ATS loss.
This season, the Raptors have an O/U record of 34-29-1, and their games have averaged a combined 232.3 points per game. Today’s O/U line of 228.5 is slightly lower than their season average of 229.6.
Toronto’s ATS record for the season is 30-34, and they have gone 17-15 against the spread on the road. As the underdog, they are 21-21 vs. the spread and have failed to cover in their last four road games.
The Raptors are currently 12th in the Eastern Conference with a record of 23-41. In non-conference games, they are 7-18 compared to 16-23 against the East. In the Atlantic Division, they are in 5th place.
As the underdog, the Raptors have a record of 11-31 this season. Today, they are 13.5-point underdogs and have lost three straight games overall. On the road, their ATS record is 17-15, and they are 10-22 straight up.
In terms of pace, the Raptors are 13th in the league with an average of 99.4 possessions per game. Overall, they are 17th in scoring at 114.2 points per game. Interestingly, they have been a better offensive team on the road, averaging 117.2 points per game compared to 111.2 at home.
When it comes to shooting, Toronto is 15th in field goal percentage at 47%. They are also 5th in two-point field goals made but just 22nd in three-point shooting at 35%. In terms of free throws, the Raptors are 16th in attempts and 22nd in makes.
So far this season, the Raptors have outscored the NBA scoring average in 46.9% of their games. In terms of assists, they are 3rd in the league with an average of 29.2 per game. In terms of offensive rebounding, Toronto is 8th in the league.
Looking at the Raptors defense, they will be looking for a better performance considering they are currently conceding 118.2 points per game (23rd). In their previous game, the Raptors’ defense struggled against the Trail Blazers, giving up 128 points on a field goal percentage of 47%.
In their last two games, the Nuggets have won and covered the spread. They were 13-point favorites against the Jazz and won by a score of 142-121. The O/U line for that game was 227 points.
Denver has won two straight games and is currently 2nd in the Western Conference with a record of 44-20. In the West, they are 25-14 against other conference teams and 6-5 against the Northwest Division.
This season, the Nuggets have gone 29-33 against the spread, including a record of 16-15 ATS at home. They have covered the spread in two straight games at home and have an average scoring margin of +9.4 points per game.
As the favorite, the Nuggets are 40-14 this season and have been favored in 54 of their 64 games. Today, they are favored by 13.5 points and have an ATS record of 24-28 as the favorite.
Denver’s O/U record for the season is 24-38-2, and their games have averaged 225.4 points per game. The over has hit in their last two games, and today’s O/U line is set at 228.5 points.
At home, the Nuggets are averaging 118.8 points per game, which is 9th in the league. Overall, they are 15th in scoring at 114.9 points per game. In terms of pace, Denver is 28th in the NBA.
So far this season, the Nuggets have outscored the league average in 48.4% of their games. In terms of field goal percentage, they are 4th in the league at 49%. However, they are 27th in three-point shooting at 37%.
When it comes to assists, Denver is 4th in the NBA with 29.2 per game. In terms of free throws, they are 29th in both attempts and makes.
In the current season, the Nuggets defense has excelled, sitting 7th in the NBA by allowing 110.5 points per game. When it comes to defending inside the arc, the Nuggets squad is permitting opposing teams to shoot at a clip of 52.5% inside the arc, and they’re also giving up 36.0% from downtown.
Even though they are 13.5 point underdogs, we see the Raptors winning this game by a score of 112-109.
Denver Nuggets vs Toronto Raptors Betting Tips
- We like the Raptors on the moneyline (+669)
- The Raptors are also our pick on the spread at +13.5
- Our NBA model projects 221 points, and we suggest taking the under
Denver Nuggets Injury Report
- Vlatko Cancar – Knee – Out
Toronto Raptors Injury Report
- Jakob Poeltl – Finger – Out
- Chris Boucher – Knee – Questionable
- Bruce Brown – Knee – Questionable
- RJ Barrett – Illness – Questionable
- Scottie Barnes – Hand – Out
- D.J. Carton – Ankle – Out
