Denver Nuggets vs Sacramento Kings Preview
In a Western Conference matchup, the Kings (+196) will travel to Denver to take on the Nuggets (-243) at 9:00 ET. Sacramento (30-23) has dropped two straight and is currently 8th in the West, while Denver (36-18) is 4th in the conference and also on a two-game losing streak.
The current line has the Nuggets favored by 6.5 points and the over/under line is set at 229.5. NBCS will have the TV coverage for this game, which will take place at Ball Arena.
Check out BetCoco for Denver Nuggets – Sacramento Kings odds
Denver Nuggets vs Sacramento Kings Head-to-Head and Key Stats
Over their previous five games against the Nuggets, the Kings have put together a record of 3-2. Against the spread, the Kings have the edge at 2-1 over their last three games vs. the Nuggets. However, the Nuggets have gone 1-2 in their last three home games vs. the Kings.
- Across the Kings last five road games, the team averaged 120 points per game while allowing 126. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 2-3, while going 2-3 straight-up.
- Through their last five home contests, the Nuggets offense has averaged 99 points per game while allowing an average of 116. Denver posted an overall record of 1-4 while going 2-3 ATS.
- Going back to their previous ten games as the underdog, Sacramento has an ATS mark of 4-6 while going 2-8 straight up.
- Through their last three matchups as the betting favorite, the Nuggets have a good straight up record, but their ATS mark is just 1-2.
Denver Nuggets vs Sacramento Kings Prediction
Sacramento’s O/U record is now 28-24-1 for the season after their game vs. the Suns went over the line of 245.5. This was the team’s 7th straight game going over the total.
In games this season, the Kings have averaged a combined scoring total of 237 points, which is higher than today’s O/U line of 229.5. In 46 of their games, the O/U line has been higher than 229.5.
Sacramento’s ATS record for the season is 27-26, and they have failed to cover in their last two games. On the road, they are 16-13 ATS compared to 11-13 ATS at home.
In the Western Conference standings, the Kings are currently in 8th place with a record of 30-23. In Pacific Division play, they are 6-6 and 19-15 against the rest of the West.
The Kings lost their last game to the Suns by a score of 130-125. They were 4.5-point underdogs in that game, and the O/U line was 245.5.
Heading into tonight’s game, the Kings are one of the top offensive teams in the league, averaging 118.7 points per game (7th). However, they have been even better at home, where they are averaging 121.8 points per game (7th).
In terms of pace, Sacramento is 7th in the league with an average of 100.4 possessions per game. This has helped them become one of the top three-point shooting teams in the NBA, as they are 4th in made threes at 14.9 per game.
When it comes to their overall field goal percentage, the Kings are 10th in the league at 48%. However, they have been even better inside the arc, as they are 3rd in two-point shooting percentage at 57%.
On defense, the Kings are ranked 22nd in the NBA this season. So far, they have given up more points than the NBA scoring average in 56.6% of their games. In the terms of takeaways, Kings are causing 12.8 turnovers per game, ranking 16th in the league. They also enter the matchup ranked 29th in rejections, averaging 3.9 blocked shots each game.
Today, the Nuggets are looking to extend their home winning streak to eight games as they take on the Kings. Denver is favored by 6.5 points and has a 21-4 record at home this season.
In terms of their ATS record, the Nuggets are 12-12 at home and 22-30 overall. In their last two games, they have failed to cover the spread at home and are 19-25 ATS as the favorite this season.
Denver’s O/U record for the season is 19-34-1, and their games have averaged 225.2 points per game. Today’s O/U line is 229.5, and 30 of their games have had lower over/under lines than that.
Overall, the Nuggets are 36-18 this season, which is good for 3rd place in the Western Conference. They have lost their last two games, including a 112-95 defeat to the Bucks. In that game, Denver was a 1-point underdog.
In non-conference play, the Nuggets are 16-6 compared to 20-12 against Western Conference opponents.
The Nuggets have been an outstanding offensive team at home this season, averaging 119.5 points per game (10th). Overall, they are 18th in the NBA in scoring at 114.2 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage, Denver is 7th in the league at 49%. They are also one of the top teams in two-point field goal percentage (55%, 10th).
Despite their high scoring numbers, the Nuggets are one of the slowest-paced teams in the NBA (30th). This season, they have outscored the league average in just 44.4% of their games. In terms of three-point shooting, Denver is 14th in the league at 36%.
When it comes to getting to the free-throw line, the Nuggets are 27th in attempts (20.6 per game) and 28th in makes (15.6 per game). In terms of offensive rebounding, Denver is 10th in the league.
Denver’s defense has been playing well, ranking 5th in the NBA with 111.0 points allowed per game. Inside the arc, the Nuggets defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 53.0% and 36.4% from three-point territory.
Our projections indicate that the Nuggets should come out top with a projected score of 123-115.
Denver Nuggets vs Sacramento Kings Betting Tips
- Take the Nuggets on the moneyline
- The Nuggets should also cover at -6.5
- Projecting a combined 238 points, we like the over
Denver Nuggets Injury Report
- Kentavious Caldwell-Pope – Hamstring – Questionable
- Jamal Murray – Leg – Questionable
- Vlatko Cancar – Knee – Out
- Hunter Tyson – Finger – Out
Sacramento Kings Injury Report
- Trey Lyles – Illness – Questionable
- Sasha Vezenkov – Ankle – Out
