Denver Nuggets vs Portland Trail Blazers Preview
The Denver Nuggets (-688) host the Trail Blazers (+485) in a Western Northwest division matchup. The Nuggets are favored by 11.5 points, and the over/under line is set at 221.
Portland is 14th in the Western Conference at 15-33 and has won two straight games. Denver is 4th in the West at 33-16 and is 11.5-point favorites.
Check out BetCoco for Denver Nuggets – Portland Trail Blazers odds
Denver Nuggets vs Portland Trail Blazers Head-to-Head and Key Stats
In the last three games between Portland and Denver, the Nuggets have dominated the series, going 3-0. This includes a convincing margin of victory of 8 points per contest. Across the last three head-to-head matchups, Denver is averaging 121 points compared to Portland at 113.
- When looking at their past three road matchups, Portland has an ATS record of 2-1 while averaging 115 per game. The team went 1-2 overall in these games.
- In their last five games at home, the Nuggets have a straight up record of 3-2 while going 2-2-1 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 102 points per game in these contests.
- In their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Trail Blazers have a straight up record of 5-5 and an ATS mark of 7-3.
- Over the team’s last five games as the favorite, the Nuggets struggled vs the spread going just 1-3-1. However, they still had a straight up mark of 4-1.
Denver Nuggets vs Portland Trail Blazers Prediction
In their last two games, the Trail Blazers have won as the underdog and have an ATS record of 23-25 for the season. Today, they are 11.5-point underdogs and have gone 14-30 as the underdog this season.
Portland’s O/U record for the season is 20-27-1, and their games have averaged 225.2 points per game. Today’s O/U line is 221, and 34 of their games have had higher O/U lines.
Going into today’s game, the Trail Blazers are 14th in the Western Conference with a record of 15-33. In non-conference games, they are 9-7 compared to 6-26 against Western Conference opponents.
In their last game, the Trail Blazers defeated the Bucks by a score of 119-116. They were 10.5-point underdogs in that game and covered the spread. The O/U line for that game was 237.5.
Overall, the Trail Blazers are 6-20 on the road this season, and their average scoring differential on the road is -12.2 points per game. Their ATS record on the road is 12-14.
This season, the Blazers are 29th in the league in scoring at 108.5 points per game. On the road, they are averaging 106.0 points per game.
So far, the Blazers have outscored the NBA scoring average in just 27.1% of their games. They are 30th in true shooting percentage and 29th in field goal percentage.
When it comes to three-point shooting, the Blazers are 15th in attempts but just 23rd in three-point shooting percentage. Overall, they are 19th in made threes with an average of 12.1 per game.
Coming into today’s game, the Trail Blazers’ defense is giving up an average of 116.7 points per contest. The Portland defense has allowed opponents to shoot 33.8% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 49.5% of their field goal attempts vs. Portland.
In Denver’s last game, they lost to the Thunder by a score of 105-100. The Nuggets were 6-point underdogs in that game, giving them an ATS win. The O/U line for the game was 223.5.
This season, Denver has an O/U record of 17-31-1, and their games have averaged 225.5 points per game. Today’s O/U line is set at 221, and the Nuggets have hit the under in their last seven games.
Looking at their ATS record, the Nuggets are 21-26 for the season and have covered the spread in two straight games. At home, they are 12-10 ATS, and their average scoring margin at home is +9.6 points per game.
In the Western Conference standings, the Nuggets are currently in 4th place with a record of 33-16. Against other Western Conference teams, they are 17-11 compared to 16-5 in non-conference play.
As the favorite, Denver has a record of 31-12 this season and are favored by 11.5 points today. As the favorite, they have gone 18-23 ATS, with an average scoring margin of +4.8 PPG.
When playing at home, the Nuggets are scoring 119.8 points per game, which is 10th in the league. Overall, they are 17th in scoring at 114.7 points per game. In terms of their three-point shooting, Denver is 13th in the league with a 37% success rate.
So far this season, the Nuggets have outscored the NBA scoring average in 46.9% of their games. In terms of pace, Denver is last in the league at 96.1 possessions per game. When it comes to two-point field goals, the Nuggets are 2nd in both attempts and makes.
Heading into this game, Denver has made 49% of their shots, which is 5th in the league. In terms of free throws, the Nuggets are 29th in both attempts and makes. When it comes to offensive rebounds, Denver is 14th in the NBA.
On defense, the Nuggets come into the game ranked 4th in the league in points allowed at 110.8 per game. Over their last three games, the team is allowing 105.7 points per contest (4th). When it comes to forced turnovers, the Nuggets are forcing 11.6 per game, which is 2nd in the league. They also come into the game sitting 15th in blocked shots at 5.4 per game.
Coming in as 11.5 point favorites, our projections have the Nuggets picking up a 111-108 win.
Denver Nuggets vs Portland Trail Blazers Betting Tips
- Take the Nuggets on the moneyline
- On the spread, we like Trail Blazers (+11.5)
- Our NBA model projects 219 points, and we suggest taking the under
Denver Nuggets Injury Report
- Nikola Jokic – Low Back – Questionable
- Jamal Murray – Knee – Probable
- Vlatko Cancar – Knee – Out
- Peyton Watson – Knee – Probable
- Julian Strawther – Knee – Questionable
Portland Trail Blazers Injury Report
- Robert Williams III – Knee – Out
- Moses Brown – Wrist – Out
- Shaedon Sharpe – Abdomen – Out
