Denver Nuggets vs Philadelphia 76ers Preview
In a non-conference matchup, the 76ers (+159) travel to Denver to take on the Nuggets (-193) at Ball Arena. Tip off for this game is scheduled for 5:30 ET and can be seen on ABC.
Philadelphia (29-14) is currently third in the Eastern Conference and second in the Atlantic Division. Denver (31-15) is fourth in the Western Conference and third in the Northwest Division. The Nuggets are currently favored by 4.5 points and the over/under line is set at 228.5.
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Denver Nuggets vs Philadelphia 76ers Head-to-Head and Key Stats
The last three times that the Nuggets have faced off vs. the 76ers as the favorite, they have gone 2-1. The last last three times that the 76ers have faced off against the Nuggets as the underdog, they are 2-1 vs. the spread.
- Through their last three road games, Philadelphia has an ATS record of just 1-2. However, their overall record was 2-1 while averaging 114 points per game.
- In their last five games at home, the Nuggets have a straight up record of 3-2 while going 1-3-1 vs the spread. The team averaged 106 points per game in this stretch.
- Going back to their previous ten games as the underdog, Philadelphia has an ATS mark of 4-6 while going 2-8 straight up.
- Going back to their previous ten games as the favorite, Denver has an ATS mark of 3-6-1 while going 7-3 straight up.
Denver Nuggets vs Philadelphia 76ers Prediction
Today, the 76ers are 4.5-point underdogs against the Nuggets. This season, they have been the underdog in 9 of their 43 games and have gone 2-7 straight-up in those games.
Philadelphia has lost their last two games as the underdog and is 4-5 against the spread in those games. On average, they have been outscored by 3.7 points per game as the underdog.
Against the spread this season, the 76ers are 28-15 overall and 12-8 on the road. They have failed to cover the spread in their last three games and have an average scoring margin of +5.3 points per game on the road.
In their most recent game, the 76ers were favored by 4 points but lost to the Pacers by a score of 134-122. The O/U line for that game was 239 points.
Philadelphia has an O/U record of 26-17 this season, and their games have averaged 231.9 points per game. Today’s O/U line is set at 228.5 points.
In the Eastern Conference, the 76ers are currently in 3rd place with a record of 29-14. In non-conference games, they are 10-3 and 19-11 against other Eastern Conference teams.
When it comes to scoring, the 76ers are one of the top offensive teams in the league, averaging 119.8 points per game (6th). On the road, they are averaging 118.4 points per game (7th).
So far this season, Philadelphia has outscored the NBA scoring average in 60.5% of their games. They have also outscored their own scoring average in each of their last two games.
When it comes to pace, the 76ers are 14th in the league with an average of 99 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, they are shooting 47% (14th).
At this time, the 76ers’ defense is positioned 9th in the NBA, permitting 112.0 points per game. Inside the arc, the 76ers defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 54.1% and 33.9% from three-point territory.
Today, the Nuggets are favored by 4.5 points in their matchup against the 76ers. This season, Denver has been favored in 41 of their 46 games, going 29-12 in those games. As the favorite, they have an average scoring margin of +4.8 points per game.
In their last game against the Knicks, the Nuggets lost by a score of 122-84. The O/U line for that game was 222 points, and Denver was favored by 2.5 points going into the game.
Denver’s O/U record for the season is 17-28-1, and their last four games have gone under the posted total. On average, the combined scoring total in their games is 226.3 points, which is lower than today’s O/U line of 228.5.
Overall, the Nuggets are 31-15 this season, which is good for 3rd place in the Western Conference. Against other Western Conference teams, they are 17-10 and 14-5 against the East.
For the season, the Nuggets have an ATS record of 19-25, including a 11-9 record at home and 8-16 on the road. In their last three home games, they have covered the spread.
At home, the Nuggets are averaging 120.6 points per game, which is 9th in the league. Overall, they are 15th in scoring at 115.2 points per game. When it comes to pace, Denver is the slowest team in the NBA at 96.2 possessions per game. Heading into this game, the Nuggets have scored less than their average in each of their last four games.
Despite their slow pace, the Nuggets are 3rd in field goal percentage at 49%. However, they are just 27th in three-point shooting at 37%. In terms of free throws, Denver is 29th in both attempts and makes. When it comes to sharing the ball, the Nuggets are 4th in the league with 28.9 assists per game.
When looking at their scoring splits, Denver has outscored the NBA average in 50% of their games this season. At home, they are averaging 120.6 points per game compared to 110.6 on the road. So far, the Nuggets are 5th in two-point shooting at 56%.
Currently, the Nuggets’ defense holds the 6th rank in the NBA, allowing 111.1 points per game. In terms of two point field goal attempts, the Nuggets defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 53.0% while allowing 36.0% from downtown.
In spite of being 4.5 point underdogs, we anticipate the 76ers winning this one 118-117.
Denver Nuggets vs Philadelphia 76ers Betting Tips
- We like the 76ers on the moneyline (+159)
- The 76ers are also our pick on the spread at +4.5
- Projecting a combined 235 points, we like the over
Denver Nuggets Injury Report
- Aaron Gordon – Shoulder – Probable
- Reggie Jackson – Toe – Probable
- Nikola Jokic – Eye – Probable
- Jamal Murray – Shin – Probable
- Vlatko Cancar – Knee – Out
- Julian Strawther – Knee – Out
Philadelphia 76ers Injury Report
- Tobias Harris – Illness – Questionable
- Marcus Morris Sr. – Foot – Probable
- Robert Covington – Knee – Out
- Mo Bamba – Knee – Questionable
- De’Anthony Melton – Back – Out
- Tyrese Maxey – Ankle – Questionable
- Kenneth Lofton Jr. – Personal – Out
