Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans Preview
Betting on today’s Pelicans and Nuggets game? Catch the action at Ball Arena in Denver, CO, as the Nuggets hosts this showdown at 9:00 ET on ALT.
The over/under for this game is set at 223.5 points, and the Nuggets are the home favorites against the Pelicans in a Western conference matchup. Check out BetCoco for Denver Nuggets – New Orleans Pelicans odds
Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans Head-to-Head and Key Stats
Over the last three times that the Nuggets have hosted the Pelicans, they have gone 2-1. The last last three times that the Pelicans have faced off against the Nuggets as the underdog, they are 2-1 vs. the spread.
- The Pelicans are 3-2 ATS in their last road games and 3-2 straight-up.
- Across the Nuggets last ten home games, the team averaged 113 points per game while allowing 106. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 6-4, while going 7-3 straight-up.
- Through their last three games as the underdog, the Pelicans have an ATS record of 2-1 and a straight up mark of 2-1.
- In their last five games as the betting favorite, the Nuggets have a strong straight up record of 4-1. In addition, their ATS record was 3-2 in these scenarios.
Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction
The Pelicans, facing the Nuggets today, aim to keep their record above .500, currently standing at 4-2. In road games this season, the Pelicans hold a 2-0 record, while their record at home is 2-2.
New Orleans, currently above .500 against the spread, holds an ATS record of 4-2. As favorites this season, they have a 2-2 record against the spread, while as underdogs, they remain undefeated at 2-0.
So far this season, the Pelicans have a 2-4-0 record in terms of over/under performances. The average over/under line in their games is 224.8, and their differential against the over/under line this season is -5.6.
The Pelicans’ offense is ranked 23rd in points per game, 14th in possessions per game, and 10th in free throw attempts per game in the NBA for the 2023-2024 season.
Defensively, the Pelicans rank 5th in field goal percentage allowed (44.3%), 6th in effective field goal percentage allowed (50.4%), 1st in three-point percentage allowed (28.7%), 17th in free throw attempts allowed per game (22.2%), and 13th in points allowed per game (111).
Coming into today’s matchup, the Nuggets will be looking to build on their current two game winning streak and their overall record is currently 6-1. Currently, in the Western Conference, the team is ranked 1st, and they are 1st in the Northwest division.
Against the spread, Denver have an above .500 record vs. the spread sitting at 4-3 ATS. When playing on the road, the Nuggets hold an ATS record of 1-2 in contrast to a 3-1 record against the spread when playing at home.
Coming into the game, the Nuggets have a below .500 over/under record of 2-5-0. The average over/under line in their games stands at 224.8, and their differential vs. the over/under line this season is -5.5.
The Nuggets’ offense is ranked 9th in the NBA this season (2023-2024) with a field goal percentage of 45.3%. They also attempt an average of 24.6 free throws per game (24th in the league) and score an average of 110.6 points per game (12th in the NBA).
Defensively, the Nuggets rank 5th in the NBA with a defensive effective field goal percentage allowed of 50.2. They also rank 5th in the NBA in points allowed per game, with an average of 104.7. Additionally, they rank 20th in the NBA in blocks per game, averaging 7.
Even though they are 6 point underdogs, we see the Pelicans winning this game by a score of 110-107.
Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans Betting Tips
- We like the Pelicans on the moneyline (+206)
- The Pelicans are also our pick on the spread at +6
- Our NBA model projects 217 points, and we suggest taking the under
Denver Nuggets Injury Report
- Jamal Murray – Hamstring – Out
- Vlatko Cancar – Knee – Out
New Orleans Pelicans Injury Report
- CJ McCollum – Lung – Out
- Naji Marshall – Knee – Out
- Trey Murphy III – Knee – Out
- Jose Alvarado – Ankle – Out
