Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies Preview
At 9:00 ET, the Denver Nuggets will host the Memphis Grizzlies at Ball Arena in Denver. The Nuggets (-1334) are currently favored by 14.5 points over the Grizzlies (+769). The over/under line for the game is 212.5 points.
This is a Western Conference matchup featuring the 1st place Nuggets (50-21) and the 13th place Grizzlies (24-47). Denver comes into this game on a three-game win streak.
Check out BetCoco for Denver Nuggets – Memphis Grizzlies odds
Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies Head-to-Head and Key Stats
The last ten head-to-head matchups between then Nuggets and Grizzlies have gone in favor of the Nuggets, putting together a record of 6-4. In the last three games as the favorite against the Grizzlies, the Nuggets have put together a 2-1 vs. the spread.
- In their last three road games, Memphis has averaged 108 points per game while allowing 118. The team’s record in this stretch was 1-2 while going 2-1.
- Although Denver has a straight up record of 7-3 in their last ten home games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 5-5. The team averaged 112 points per game in these games.
- Spanning across their last three games as the betting underdog, the Grizzlies have gone 2-1 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 1-2.
- Across their last three matchups as the betting favorite, the Nuggets have an overall record of 3-0 while going 1-2 against the spread.
Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction
The Grizzlies have a record of 24-47 this season and are currently 13th in the Western Conference. In games against other Western Conference teams, Memphis is 14-32 compared to 10-15 against the East.
On the road, the Grizzlies are 16-20 this season and have gone 21-15 against the spread. Their average scoring differential on the road is -6.0 points per game.
In the Western Conference, Memphis has been the underdog in 55 of their 71 games. As the underdog, they are 18-37 straight-up and 30-25 against the spread. Their ATS record as the underdog is 30-25.
Memphis’ O/U record for the season is 33-37-1. Today’s line of 212.5 is lower than the average O/U line of 221.4 in their games this season. In 61 of their games, the O/U line has been higher than 212.5.
In their last game, the Grizzlies defeated the Spurs by a score of 99-97. Memphis was a 6.5-point underdog going into the game and covered the spread. The O/U line for that game was 216 points.
Heading into their matchup with the Nuggets, the Grizzlies are one of the lowest-scoring teams in the NBA, averaging just 105.9 points per game (30th). However, they have been slightly better on the road, where they are averaging 108.5 points per game (26th).
One reason for Memphis’ low scoring output is their poor field goal percentage, which ranks 30th in the league at 43%. In terms of two-point shooting, they are 29th in the NBA, but have been able to get up a lot of three-point attempts, ranking 5th in the league in three-point attempts per game.
When it comes to pace, the Grizzlies are 16th in the NBA at 98.1 possessions per game. In terms of assists, they are 25th in the league at 24.8 per game.
So far, the Grizzlies’ defense is ranked 10th in the league at 112.6 points per contest. When it comes to forced turnovers, the Grizzlies are forcing 14.3 per game, which is 26th in the league. They also come into the game sitting 4th in blocked shots at 6.2 per game.
In their last game, the Nuggets defeated the Trail Blazers by a score of 114-111. The combined scoring in that game was 225 points, which was higher than the O/U line of 209.5.
Denver has now won three straight games and is currently in 1st place in the Western Conference with a record of 50-21. In non-conference games, they are 22-6 compared to 28-15 against Western Conference opponents.
The Nuggets are 14.5-point favorites today and have gone 46-15 as the favorite this season. As the favorite, they have won three straight games and are 27-32 ATS as the favorite.
This season, Denver has an O/U record of 28-41-2, and the over has hit in their last three games. On average, their games have seen 224.7 points scored, and today’s O/U line is set at 212.5.
Denver’s ATS record for the season is 32-37, and they did not cover the spread in their last game against the Blazers (-10.5). On average, they are outscoring their opponents by 9.4 PPG at home and 0.1 PPG on the road.
At home, the Nuggets are averaging 118.8 points per game, which is 10th in the NBA. Overall, they are 14th in the league at 114.6 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage, Denver is 5th in the NBA at 49%. However, they are 28th in pace at 96.1 possessions per game.
When it comes to three-point shooting, the Nuggets are 12th in the league at 37%. They are also 12th in assists at 29.2 per game. In terms of free throw attempts, Denver is 28th in the NBA.
So far this season, the Nuggets have outscored the NBA scoring average in 47.9% of their games. In terms of two-point shooting, Denver is 9th in the league at 56%.
Currently, the Nuggets’ defense holds the 7th rank in the NBA, allowing 110.1 points per game. The Nuggets defense is coming off a game in which they held the Trail Blazers offense to just 45.1% shooting. Overall, they gave up 111 points to Portland.
With a 14.5-point advantage on the spread, our projections favor the Nuggets to secure a 107-97 victory.
Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies Betting Tips
- Take the Nuggets on the moneyline
- On the spread, we like Grizzlies (+14.5)
- Our NBA model projects 204 points, and we suggest taking the under
Denver Nuggets Injury Report
- Nikola Jokic – Back – Questionable
- Jamal Murray – Ankle – Questionable
- Vlatko Cancar – Knee – Out
- Zeke Nnaji – Adductor – Out
Memphis Grizzlies Injury Report
- Derrick Rose – Low Back – Out
- Marcus Smart – Finger – Out
- Luke Kennard – Personal – Out
- Yuta Watanabe – Personal – Out
- Ja Morant – Shoulder – Out
- Brandon Clarke – Achilles – Doubtful
- John Konchar – Heel – Doubtful
- Desmond Bane – Back – Questionable
- Lamar Stevens – Adductor – Questionable
- Ziaire Williams – Hip – Out
- Jake LaRavia – Illness – Questionable
- Vince Williams Jr. – Knee – Doubtful
