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Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction & Betting Tips 12282023

Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction & Betting Tips 12/28/2023

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Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies 12/28/2023
  • Take the Nuggets on the moneyline
  • On the spread, we like Grizzlies (+7)
  • Our NBA model projects 209 points, and we suggest taking the under

Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies Preview

Betting on today’s Grizzlies and Nuggets game? Catch the action at Ball Arena in Denver, CO, as the Nuggets hosts this showdown at 9:00 ET on ALT.

The over/under for this game is set at 224.5 points, and the Nuggets are the home favorites against the Grizzlies in a Western conference matchup. Check out BetCoco for Denver Nuggets – Memphis Grizzlies odds

Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies Head-to-Head and Key Stats

The last ten head-to-head matchups between then Nuggets and Grizzlies have gone in favor of the Nuggets, putting together a record of 6-4. In the last three games as the favorite against the Grizzlies, the Nuggets have put together a 2-1 vs. the spread.

  • Although Memphis has a straight up record of 6-4 in their last ten road games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 7-3. The team averaged 110 points per game in these games.
  • Across their last five home contests, Denver has been good against the spread posting a mark of 4-1. Their overall mark in these games was 5-0, while averaging 116 points per game.
  • In their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Grizzlies have a straight up record of 4-6 and an ATS mark of 5-5.
  • The last ten games that Denver was favored, they have an ATS mark of 6-4 while going 8-2 straight up.

Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction

So far this season, the Grizzlies have an overall record of 10-19, which has them 4th in the Southwest Division and 13th in the Western Conference. Against other teams in the West, Memphis is 7-16.

When playing on the road, Memphis has gone 8-8, and they have an average scoring differential of -3.4 points per contest. As the underdog, the Grizzlies have gone 5-14 and have covered the spread in three straight games as the underdog.

Memphis’ last game ended in a 116-115 win over the Pelicans. The Grizzlies were 4.5-point underdogs in the game and also pulled off the straight-up win. The over/under line for the contest was 229.5 points.

On average, the Grizzlies’ games have finished with 219.8 points, and their over/under mark for the season is 12-17. The over/under line has been higher than today’s line of 224.5 in 12 of their 29 games this season.

When comparing the Grizzlies offense to their opponent’s season defensive average, they have scored below it in 86.2% of their games this season. In terms of overall scoring, Memphis is 30th in the league with 107.3 points per game. In their most recent game, Ja Morant led the team in scoring with 31 points while Desmond Bane added 27 points.

On defense, the Grizzlies come into the game ranked 11th in the league in points allowed at 112.4 per game. Over their last three games, the team is allowing 112.3 points per contest (21st). Opponents are hitting 51.1% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 38.5% of their three-point attempts.

At home, the Nuggets have an average scoring margin of +10.4 PPG, which is the 4th best mark in the NBA. Denver has also gone 12-2 at home so far this season.

When favored, the Nuggets have gone 21-8 this season and have won five straight games overall. Denver’s overall record this season is 22-10, which has them 3rd in the Western Conference.

In the Western Conference, the Nuggets have gone 14-8, compared to an 8-2 mark vs. non-conference opponents. Against the spread, Denver is 7-6 at home and 13-15 as the favorite.

Denver’s over/under record for the season is 11-20-1, and the over has hit in two straight games involving the Nuggets. The average over/under line in their games this season is 225.8.

In their last game, Denver took on the Warriors and picked up a 120-114 win. The Nuggets did not cover the spread in the game, as they were favored by 7.5 and won by six points.

In their most recent game, the Nuggets scored 120 points on offense vs. the Warriors. They shot 48.8% from the field and knocked down 14 threes. On the season, the Nuggets are averaging 11.5 offensive rebounds per game and have a three-point percentage of 37%. In terms of pace, they rank 29th in the league.

The Nuggets’ defense is presently ranked 4th in the league, allowing an average of 110.2 points per contest. On two point field goal attempts, the Nuggets’ defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 52.1% and allowing 35.6% from beyond the arc.

With the Nuggets being favored by 7, our NFL analytics models has this one playing out 107-102 in favor of the Nuggets.

Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies Betting Tips

  • Take the Nuggets on the moneyline
  • On the spread, we like Grizzlies (+7)
  • Our NBA model projects 209 points, and we suggest taking the under

Denver Nuggets Injury Report

  • Aaron Gordon – Face/Hand – Out
  • Vlatko Cancar – Knee – Out

Memphis Grizzlies Injury Report

  • Derrick Rose – Hamstring – Out
  • Steven Adams – Knee – Out
  • Luke Kennard – Knee – Out
  • Ja Morant – Illness – Questionable
  • Brandon Clarke – Achilles – Out

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