Denver Nuggets vs Indiana Pacers Preview
The Pacers (23-15) are on a three-game win streak and are 11-point underdogs heading into today’s non-conference matchup against the Nuggets (27-13). Indiana is 4th in the Eastern Conference, while Denver is 3rd in the West. Tip-off is set for 3:30 ET at Ball Arena in Denver.
The over/under line for this game is 238.5. The Nuggets are favored by 11 and come in at -600 on the moneyline. The Pacers are +435 on the moneyline. ALT will have the TV coverage for this non-conference game.
Check out BetCoco for Denver Nuggets – Indiana Pacers odds
Denver Nuggets vs Indiana Pacers Head-to-Head and Key Stats
The last three times that the Nuggets have faced off vs. the Pacers as the favorite, they have gone 3-0. Against the spread, the Pacers have the edge at 2-1 over their last three games vs. the Nuggets. However, the Nuggets have gone 1-2 in their last three home games vs. the Pacers.
- The Pacers are 3-0 ATS in their three last road games and 3-0 straight-up.
- Across the Nuggets last ten home games, the team averaged 115 points per game while allowing 114. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 5-5, while going 7-3 straight-up.
- In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Pacers have a strong straight up record of 2-1. In addition, their ATS record was 2-1 in these scenarios.
- Over the team’s last five games as the favorite, the Nuggets struggled vs the spread going just 2-3. However, they still had a straight up mark of 3-2.
Denver Nuggets vs Indiana Pacers Prediction
The Pacers have won three straight games and are 23-15 overall, which is good for 4th place in the Eastern Conference. In the Central Division, they are in 2nd place.
Indiana’s ATS record for the season is 22-16, and they have covered the spread in their last four road games. As the underdog, they are 12-8 vs. the spread this season.
As the underdog, the Pacers have gone 12-8 this season, and they have covered the spread in their last four road games. Today, they are 11-point underdogs vs. the Nuggets.
The O/U line for today’s game is 238.5, and Indiana has seen the under hit in their last two games. On average, their games have finished with 250 points this season.
In their most recent game, the Pacers beat the Hawks by a score of 126-108. Indiana was also an underdog in that game, getting +5.5 points. The O/U line for that game was 251.
Indiana comes into this game as the top-scoring team in the league, averaging 126.6 points per game. Interestingly, they have actually been better on the road this season, averaging 125.4 points compared to 127.6 at home.
So far, the Pacers have outscored the NBA scoring average in nearly 80% of their games. They have also been the most efficient shooting team in the league, ranking first in field goal percentage and true shooting percentage.
When it comes to three-point shooting, the Pacers are 4th in the league in three-point percentage at 38%. They are also one of the top teams in terms of pace, ranking 2nd in the league.
Currently, the Pacers’ defense holds the 28th rank in the NBA, allowing 123.4 points per game. The Indiana defense has allowed opponents to shoot 37.5% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 49.9% of their field goal attempts vs. Indiana.
In their last game against the Pelicans, the Nuggets won by a score of 125-113. The over/under line for the game was 230 points.
Denver has an overall record of 27-13, which is currently 3rd in the Western Conference. In non-conference games, they are 10-3 and 17-10 against Western Conference opponents.
As the favorite, the Nuggets have a record of 26-11 and have gone 2-0 as the favorite against the spread. Today, they are favored by 11 points. Against the spread, they are 18-21 overall and 11-8 at home.
This season, Denver has played in just three games with higher over/under lines than 238.5. Their games have averaged a combined 227.2 points, and their O/U record for the season is 16-23-1.
Looking at their Western Conference games, the Nuggets are 17-10 compared to 2-4 against other teams in the Northwest Division. On the road, they are 11-9 compared to 16-4 at home.
At home, the Nuggets are averaging 120.8 points per game, which is 8th in the NBA. Overall, they are 13th in scoring at 116.2 points per game.
When it comes to field goal percentage, Denver is 4th in the league at 49%. They are also 9th in true shooting percentage.
So far this season, the Nuggets have attempted the 2nd most two-point field goals per game and are 5th in two-point shooting percentage at 56%. However, they are just 24th in three-point makes and 25th in three-point attempts.
Currently, the Nuggets’ defense holds the 2nd rank in the NBA, allowing 111.0 points per game. Inside the arc, the Nuggets defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 52.5% and 36.3% from three-point territory.
In spite of being 11 point underdogs, we anticipate the Pacers winning this one 115-114.
Denver Nuggets vs Indiana Pacers Betting Tips
- We like the Pacers on the moneyline (+435)
- The Pacers are also our pick on the spread at +11
- Our NBA model projects 229 points, and we suggest taking the under
Denver Nuggets Injury Report
- Vlatko Cancar – Knee – Out
- Christian Braun – Ankle – Probable
- Peyton Watson – Illness – Probable
- Julian Strawther – Knee – Out
Indiana Pacers Injury Report
- Tyrese Haliburton – Hamstring – Out
- Aaron Nesmith – Shin – Out
- Jarace Walker – Illness – Questionable
