Denver Nuggets vs Detroit Pistons Preview
Planning on watching today’s Pistons and Nuggets game? Catch the action at Ball Arena in Denver, CO, as the Nuggets hosts this showdown at 8:00 ET on ALT.
The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 237 points, and the Nuggets are favored to win at home against the Pistons. Check out BetCoco for Denver Nuggets – Detroit Pistons odds
Denver Nuggets vs Detroit Pistons Head-to-Head and Key Stats
When looking back on the last three head-to-head matchups between Detroit and Denver, the Nuggets hold the edge with a record of 2-1. Not only does the team have the better record, but they have won in convincing fashion, posting an average scoring differential of 7 points.
- Detroit has a 0-3 record in their last three road games. In this stretch, they averaged 123 points per game while allowing 134. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-1.
- The Nuggets are 3-2 ATS in their last home games and 5-0 straight-up.
- In their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Pistons have a straight up record of 1-9 and an ATS mark of 6-4.
- Through their last three matchups as the betting favorite, the Nuggets have a good straight up record, but their ATS mark is just 1-2.
Denver Nuggets vs Detroit Pistons Prediction
As the Pistons get ready to take on the Nuggets, they find themselves well behind the rest of the Eastern Conference in 15th place at 3-32. Detroit is also just 5th in the Central Division.
On the road, the Pistons have really struggled this season, going just 1-18. They will need to turn things around quickly if they are going to have any chance of covering today’s 16.5-point spread as the underdog. The average scoring margin on the road this season is -12.7 points per game.
So far, the Pistons have been the underdog in 32 of their 35 games and have an average scoring margin of -10.8 points per game in those games. Their straight-up losing streak is at three games, and they have also failed to cover in three straight games as the underdog.
When looking at the over/under results for the Pistons, their games have averaged a total of 233.7 points this season. Today’s over/under line of 237 points is slightly higher than their average over/under line of 228.5. For the season, 28 of their games have had lower over/under lines than today’s line of 237. The Pistons’ over/under record for the season is 22-13.
In their most recent game, the Pistons put up 109 points, which is in line with their season average of 111.4 points per game. When it comes to pace, the Pistons have been pushing it, averaging 100.7 possessions per game. In terms of field goal attempts per game, they rank 20th and their field goal percentage for the season is 46%.
On defense, the Pistons come into the game ranked 26th in the league in points allowed at 122.3 per game. Over their last three games, the team is allowing 134.3 points per contest (23rd). The Pistons defense is coming off a game in which they held the Warriors offense to just 44.9% shooting. Overall, they gave up 113 points to Golden State.
With an overall record of 25-12, the Nuggets will look to pick up a win at home today as heavy 16.5-point favorites over the Pistons. If they are able to cover the spread, they will also snap their two-game losing streak against the spread.
When playing at home, Denver has been the dominant force they are +9.6 points per game at home compared to +.9 on the road. The Nuggets’ home ATS record for the season is 9-5, and they have been favored in 34 of their 37 games.
Against other teams in the Western Conference, the Nuggets are currently in 3rd place. So far, they have gone 16-9 in conference games and 2-3 against other teams in the Northwest Division.
Denver’s over/under record for the season is 14-22-1, and the over has hit in two straight games for them. Today’s line of 237 is just slightly higher than their average over/under line of 226.1. In their previous games with higher over/under lines than 237, their over/under record is 1-1.
The Nuggets are averaging 115.7 points per game and are coming off a game where they scored 120 points. Overall, the Nuggets are shooting 49% from the field, which is 4th in the country. From beyond the arc, they are 8th in percentage and 21st in made three-pointers.
This season, the Nuggets’ defense is the 4th ranked defense in the NBA at 4th PPG. So far, they have held opposing offenses below the NBA scoring average in 67.6% of their games. In their previous game, the Nuggets’ defense struggled against the Magic, giving up 122 points on a field goal percentage of 50%.
With a 16.5-point advantage on the spread, our projections favor the Nuggets to secure a 112-108 victory.
Denver Nuggets vs Detroit Pistons Betting Tips
- Take the Nuggets on the moneyline
- On the spread, we like Pistons (+16.5)
- Our NBA model projects 220 points, and we suggest taking the under
Denver Nuggets Injury Report
- Vlatko Cancar – Knee – Out
- Julian Strawther – Knee – Out
Detroit Pistons Injury Report
- Alec Burks – Hamstring – Probable
- Monte Morris – Quadriceps – Out
- Isaiah Stewart – Toe – Out
