Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings Preview
The Sacramento Kings are currently favored by 2.5 points over the Dallas Mavericks in tonight’s Western Conference matchup. The Kings (25-18) are on a two-game winning streak and are 5th in the Western Conference. The Mavericks (25-20) are 8th in the West and have a 2.5 spread as the underdogs.
The over/under line for this game is 242, and tip-off is set for 9:00 ET at the American Airlines Center in Dallas. You can watch the game on NBCS.
Check out BetCoco for Dallas Mavericks – Sacramento Kings odds
Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings Head-to-Head and Key Stats
In the last five head to head matchups, the Mavericks have had the upper-hand, going 3-2. When looking back over the last ten head to head meetings between the Kings and Mavericks, the Kings hold the edge with an ATS record of 7-3.
- Although Sacramento has a straight up record of 5-5 in their last ten road games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 6-4. The team averaged 119 points per game in these games.
- In their last five home games, Dallas has averaged 118 points per game while allowing 127. The team’s record in this stretch was 2-3 while going 3-2.
- The last five games that Dallas was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 2-3 while going 2-3 straight up.
- Against the spread, the Kings have put together 1-2 in their last three games as the betting favorite. In these same games, they went 2-1 straight up.
Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings Prediction
Sacramento is looking to extend their win streak to three games after defeating the Warriors 134-133. The Kings were favored by 1.5 points in that game and are favored by 2.5 points today.
This season, the Kings have a record of 23-20 against the spread and are 16-17 ATS as the favorite. As the favorite, they have a straight-up record of 21-12.
In terms of their O/U record, the Kings are 21-21-1 for the season. Today’s O/U line of 242 is higher than 33 of their games this season. On average, their games have finished with 236.8 points.
Sacramento is currently 5th in the Western Conference with a record of 25-18. Against other Western Conference teams, they are 16-13 compared to 9-5 in non-conference games.
On the road, the Kings have a scoring differential of +0.9 points per game. Their overall ATS record on the road is 13-8, and they are 11-10 straight up on the road.
The Kings are one of the top three-point shooting teams in the league, averaging 15.2 made threes per game, which is 3rd in the NBA. They have also been efficient from two-point range, hitting 56% of their shots (6th).
When it comes to scoring, Sacramento is 8th in the league at 118.7 points per game. However, their scoring numbers are better at home, where they average 121.3 PPG compared to 116.0 on the road.
So far, the Kings have outscored the NBA scoring average in 67.4% of their games. In terms of pace, Sacramento is 9th in the league at 100.3 possessions per game.
At this time, the Kings’ defense is positioned 20th in the NBA, permitting 118.1 points per game. Inside the arc, the Kings defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 54.6% and 38.9% from three-point territory.
In terms of their ATS record, the Mavericks have covered the spread in two straight games at home. Today, they are 2.5-point underdogs against the Kings. At home, Dallas has an ATS record of 11-13.
In their games this season, the Mavericks have gone 9-11 as the underdog compared to 17-8 as the favorite. As the underdog, they are 8-12 straight-up and 9-11 against the spread.
Dallas’ O/U record for the season is 25-20, and their games have averaged 237 points per game. Today’s O/U line is set at 242 points, and 35 of their 45 games have had lower over/under lines than that.
The Mavericks won their last game against the Hawks by a score of 148-143. They were 1.5-point underdogs going into the game. The O/U line for that game was 247.5 points.
With a record of 25-20, the Mavericks are currently 8th in the Western Conference. In games against other Western Conference teams, they are 18-16 compared to 7-4 against the East.
At home, the Mavericks are averaging 119.8 points per game, which is 10th in the league. Overall, they are 7th in scoring at 118.7 points per game. In terms of pace, Dallas is 11th in the NBA at 99.8 possessions per game.
When it comes to three-point shooting, the Mavericks are one of the best teams in the league. They are 2nd in three-point attempts and makes, hitting 37% of their shots from deep. In terms of two-point shooting, Dallas is 10th in the NBA.
So far this season, the Mavericks have outscored the NBA scoring average in 55.6% of their games. In terms of assists, they are 23rd in the league, and they are 21st in offensive rebounds. In terms of free throws, Dallas is 11th in attempts and 17th in makes.
Coming into the game, the Mavericks’ defense is giving up an average of 118.3 points per game. So far, they have given up more points than the NBA league average in 66.7% of their games. On two point field goal attempts, the Mavericks’ defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 56.2% and allowing 36.7% from beyond the arc.
With the Kings being favored by 2.5, our NFL analytics models has this one playing out 114-112 in favor of the Kings.
Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings Betting Tips
- Take the Kings on the moneyline
- On the spread, we like Mavericks (+2.5)
- Our NBA model projects 226 points, and we suggest taking the under
Dallas Mavericks Injury Report
- Dwight Powell – Eye – Out
- Kyrie Irving – Thumb – Out
- Derrick Jones Jr. – Wrist – Questionable
- Maxi Kleber – Toe – Out
Sacramento Kings Injury Report
- Sasha Vezenkov – Ankle – Questionable
