Dallas Mavericks vs New Orleans Pelicans Preview
The New Orleans Pelicans (-173) travel to take on the Dallas Mavericks (+142) in a Western Southwest division matchup. The Pelicans are favored by 4 points and have a record of 24-16, which is good for 5th in the Western Conference. The Mavericks are 7th in the West and have a record of 23-17.
This game will be played at the American Airlines Center in Dallas and is scheduled to tip off at 2:30 ET. The game can be seen on BSSW.
Check out BetCoco for Dallas Mavericks – New Orleans Pelicans odds
Dallas Mavericks vs New Orleans Pelicans Head-to-Head and Key Stats
The last three times that the Pelicans have faced off vs. the Mavericks as the favorite, they have gone 2-1. In the last five head to head games between the Pelicans and Mavericks, the average combined point total is 232 points per game. The over/under record in these matchups is 2-3.
- Although New Orleans has a straight up record of 8-2 in their last ten road games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 7-3. The team averaged 123 points per game in these games.
- Dallas has a 2-3 record in their last five home games. In this stretch, they averaged 111 points per game while allowing 120. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-2.
- Dallas has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 4-1 SU and 4-1 ATS in their last five games.
- The last ten games that New Orleans was favored, they have an ATS mark of 5-5 while going 7-3 straight up.
Dallas Mavericks vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction
The Pelicans have won four straight games as the favorite and are favored by 4 points today against the Mavericks. In their last game against Dallas, the Pelicans won 118-108 as 6-point underdogs.
On the season, the Pelicans have gone 23-17 against the spread, including an 11-9 ATS record on the road. Today’s O/U line of 235.5 is higher than the average line of 229 for Pelicans games this season.
New Orleans is 5th in the Western Conference with a record of 24-16. Against other Western Conference teams, they are 17-14 compared to 7-2 against the East.
When looking at their O/U record for the season, the Pelicans are 19-21, with 31 of their 40 games having lower over/under lines than today’s. This season, their games have averaged 228.1 points per game.
Heading into tonight’s game, the Pelicans are 12th in the league in scoring, averaging 116.4 points per game. They have been better on the road, averaging 117.3 points compared to 115.5 at home.
When it comes to pace, New Orleans is 20th in the league at 98.2 possessions per game. They are also 7th in field goal percentage, hitting 48% of their shots.
One area where the Pelicans have struggled is three-point shooting. They are 28th in the league in three-point attempts but are hitting 38% of their shots, which is 6th in the NBA.
Currently, the Pelicans’ defense holds the 10th rank in the NBA, allowing 111.7 points per game. When it comes to forced turnovers, the Pelicans are forcing 12.8 per game, which is 11th in the league. They also come into the game sitting 20th in blocked shots at 4.8 per game.
The Mavericks are currently 23-17 on the season, which has them 2nd in the Southwest Division and 7th in the Western Conference. In non-conference play, they are 6-3 compared to 17-14 against the West.
As the underdog, Dallas has gone 6-9 for the season and is looking for their 4th straight ATS win as the underdog. Today, they are getting 4 points at home. On average, the Mavs have been outscored by -5.2 points per game as the underdog.
In their most recent game, the Mavericks lost to the Pelicans by a score of 118-108. The O/U line for that game was 228 points, and Dallas was favored by 6 points going into the game.
This season, the Mavericks have an O/U record of 23-17, and their games have averaged a combined 235.6 points per game. In their games, the average O/U line has been 234.4 points.
Dallas’ ATS record for the season is 22-18, and they have gone 10-11 ATS at home compared to 12-7 on the road. In their last game vs. the Pelicans, they did not cover the spread (-6) and lost straight up.
The Mavericks have been one of the NBA’s best three-point shooting teams this season, ranking second in both three-pointers made and attempted per game. They are also one of the league’s top offensive teams at home, averaging 120.5 points per game.
In terms of overall scoring, the Mavericks are seventh in the league at 118.5 points per game. However, they have outscored the NBA scoring average in just 57.5% of their games this season.
When it comes to pace, the Mavericks are 11th in the league at 99.8 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, they are 16th overall at 47%. In terms of two-point shooting, the Mavericks are 8th in the league at 55%.
Coming into the game, the Mavericks’ defense is giving up an average of 117.1 points per game. So far, they have given up more points than the NBA league average in 62.5% of their games. In the terms of takeaways, Mavericks are causing 11.7 turnovers per game, ranking 2nd in the league. They also enter the matchup ranked 25th in rejections, averaging 4.4 blocked shots each game.
In spite of being 4 point underdogs, we anticipate the Mavericks winning this one 113-110.
Dallas Mavericks vs New Orleans Pelicans Betting Tips
- We like the Mavericks on the moneyline (+142)
- The Mavericks are also our pick on the spread at +4
- Our NBA model projects 223 points, and we suggest taking the under
Dallas Mavericks Injury Report
- Dante Exum – Heel – Out
- Derrick Jones Jr. – Calf – Doubtful
- Maxi Kleber – Toe – Probable
- Luka Doncic – Ankle – Doubtful
- Dereck Lively II – Ankle – Questionable
New Orleans Pelicans Injury Report
- CJ McCollum – Ankle – Probable
- Brandon Ingram – Achilles – Probable
- Zion Williamson – Quad – Probable
- Trey Murphy III – Knee – Probable
- Matt Ryan – Elbow – Out
