Dallas Mavericks vs New Orleans Pelicans Preview
At 8:30 ET, the Dallas Mavericks (-139) will host the New Orleans Pelicans (+116) in a Western Southwest division matchup. The Mavericks are currently favored by 2.5 points and sit 6th in the Western Conference, while the Pelicans are 7th.
This game will be played at the American Airlines Center in Dallas and can be seen on BSSW.
Check out BetCoco for Dallas Mavericks – New Orleans Pelicans odds
Dallas Mavericks vs New Orleans Pelicans Head-to-Head and Key Stats
The Pelicans and Mavericks did not have any head-to-head matchups last season. But over the last three times playing each other, the Pelicans have a record of 2-1. The Pelicans also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1. These games averaged a combined total of 239 points per game leading to an over/under record of 2-1.
- The Pelicans are 2-1 ATS in their three last road games and 2-1 straight-up.
- In their last three home games, Dallas has averaged 110 points per game while allowing 122. The team’s record in this stretch was 1-2 while going 2-1.
- The last ten games that New Orleans was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 7-3 while going 6-4 straight up.
- As the betting favorite, the Mavericks have an ATS mark of just 2-3 in their last five games. Dallas posted a straight up mark of 2-3 in these matchups.
Dallas Mavericks vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction
So far this season, the Pelicans have an overall record of 23-16, putting them 2nd in the Southwest Division and 7th in the Western Conference. In non-conference games, they are 7-2.
When playing on the road, the Pelicans have gone 11-8 straight-up and 10-9 against the spread. As the underdog, they have an average scoring differential of +0.8 points per game and are 10-8 straight-up and 11-7 ATS.
Against the spread, the Pelicans have lost two straight games to the over. This season, their O/U record is 19-20, and the over has hit in their last two games. Their average over/under line for the season is also 229.
New Orleans’ last game was a 125-113 loss to Denver. They were 5.5-point underdogs going into the game, and the over/under line was 230. This dropped their ATS record to 22-17 for the season.
When it comes to offense, the Pelicans have been one of the most efficient teams in the league this season. They are currently 7th in field goal percentage and 8th in true shooting percentage. However, they have struggled from beyond the arc, ranking just 21st in three-point shooting.
New Orleans has been one of the more aggressive teams in terms of getting to the free-throw line, ranking 6th in free throw attempts. They are also 8th in free throws made at 18.9 per game.
So far, the Pelicans have outscored the NBA scoring average in 51.3% of their games. They are averaging 116.4 points per game, which is 11th in the league. On the road, they are averaging 117.3 points compared to 115.5 at home.
So far this season, the Pelicans defense has been performing well, ranking 9th in the NBA at 111.8 points allowed per contest. Inside the arc, the Pelicans defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 55.8% and 33.9% from three-point territory.
Through 39 games, the Mavericks have a record of 23-16 and are currently in 6th place in the Western Conference. In non-conference matchups, they are 6-3.
At home, the Mavericks are 12-8 and have an average scoring differential of +5.2 points per game. However, they are just 10-10 ATS at home. As the favorite, they have a record of 17-7 straight up and 15-9 ATS.
Dallas’ last game was a 128-124 win over the Knicks. They were 5-point underdogs going into the game. The combined scoring for the game was 252, and the O/U line was 234.5.
This season, the Mavericks have been the favorite in 24 of their 39 games. Their average scoring differential as the favorite is +6.1 PPG. Against the spread, they are 22-17, and the O/U record for their games is also 23-16.
For today’s game, the Mavericks are 2.5-point favorites at home. On the other hand, the Pelicans have been the underdog in three straight games and have gone 5-0 ATS in those games.
So far, the average over/under line in the Mavericks’ games this season is 234.6, higher than today’s line of 229. Overall, 31 of their games have had higher O/U lines than 229, and their O/U record for the season is 23-16.
This season, the Mavericks are one of the top offensive teams in the league, averaging 118.8 points per game (7th). At home, Dallas has been even better, scoring 121.1 points per contest (8th).
When it comes to pace, the Mavericks are 9th in the league at 100.1 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, they are 16th at 47%. However, Dallas is one of the best three-point shooting teams in the NBA, ranking 2nd in both three-point makes and attempts.
So far, the Mavericks have outscored the NBA scoring average in 59% of their games. In terms of assists, they are 23rd in the league with an average of 25.3 per contest.
On defense, the Mavericks are ranked 19th in the NBA this season. So far, they have given up more points than the NBA scoring average in 61.5% of their games. In their previous game, the Mavericks’ defense struggled against the Knicks, giving up 124 points on a field goal percentage of 49%.
Looking at our projections, the Mavericks are expected to take down the Pelicans by a score of 117-113.
Dallas Mavericks vs New Orleans Pelicans Betting Tips
- Take the Mavericks on the moneyline
- The Mavericks should also cover at -2.5
- Our NBA model projects 230 points, and we suggest taking the under
Dallas Mavericks Injury Report
- Dante Exum – Heel – Out
- Maxi Kleber – Toe – Questionable
- Luka Doncic – Ankle – Out
- Grant Williams – Ankle – Probable
- Josh Green – Illness – Questionable
- Dereck Lively II – Ankle – Questionable
New Orleans Pelicans Injury Report
- Matt Ryan – Elbow – Out
