Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets Preview
Today at 3:30 ET, the Dallas Mavericks (-279) will host the Houston Rockets (+223) in a Western Southwest division matchup. The Mavericks are currently favored by 6.5 points, and the over/under line is set at 226.5.
The Rockets have lost four straight games and are 11th in the Western Conference at 38-39. On the other hand, the Mavericks have won two straight and are 5th in the West at 47-30.
Check out BetCoco for Dallas Mavericks – Houston Rockets odds
Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets Head-to-Head and Key Stats
The last ten head-to-head matchups between then Mavericks and Rockets have gone in favor of the Mavericks, putting together a record of 8-2. The last three times that the Mavericks have hosted the Rockets, the over/under record is 1-2 with the teams combining for an average of 224 points. The over/under record in their last three overall matchups is 2-1.
- In their last three road games, Houston has averaged 113 points per game while allowing 113. The team’s record in this stretch was 2-1 while going 2-1 vs. the spread.
- When looking at their past three matchups at home, Dallas has an ATS record of 2-1 while averaging 110 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.
- The last five games that Houston was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 2-3 while going 1-4 straight up.
- In their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Mavericks have a straight up record of 9-1 and an ATS mark of 8-2.
Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets Prediction
The Rockets have lost four straight games, and they are currently 11th in the Western Conference with a record of 38-39. In the Southwest Division, they are in 3rd place.
On the road, the Rockets are 12-25 this season, and they are 16-20 against the spread. As the underdog, their ATS record is 24-24, and they have failed to cover the spread in their last two games on the road.
This season, the Rockets have an O/U record of 38-39, and their games have averaged 226.8 points per game. Today’s O/U line is set at 226.5, and they have gone over the O/U line in their last four games.
In their most recent game, the Rockets lost to the Heat by a score of 119-104. The O/U line for that game was 217, and Houston was getting 3.5 points as the underdog.
Heading into the game, the Rockets are 16th in the league in scoring at 113.9 points per game. However, they have been better at home, averaging 116.0 points compared to 111.6 on the road. On the season, Houston has outscored the NBA scoring average in 41.6% of their games.
When it comes to three-point shooting, the Rockets are 17th in made threes per game (12.6) and 23rd in three-point shooting percentage (35%). Overall, they are 28th in field goal percentage at 45%.
Despite being 6th in offensive rebounds, the Rockets are just 28th in assists at 24.6 per game. In terms of pace, Houston is 14th in the league at 99.1 possessions per game.
So far, the Rockets defense is giving up 112.9 points per contest, which has them sitting 12th in the NBA. One thing to note, is they have given up more points than their season average in two straight matchups. Opponents are hitting 54.2% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 34.8% of their three-point attempts.
Today, the Mavericks are looking to extend their home winning streak to seven games. They are favored by 6.5 points and have a home ATS record of 20-19 this season. Overall, they are 45-32 ATS and have covered the spread in their last two games.
In their most recent game, the Mavericks defeated the Warriors by a score of 108-106. The O/U line for that game was 223 points, and Dallas covered the spread as 1-point underdogs.
In the Western Conference standings, the Mavericks are currently in 5th place with a record of 47-30. In the Southwest Division, they are in 1st place.
This season, the Mavericks have gone 35-42 on the O/U and have seen three straight games finish below the posted total. Today’s O/U line is 226.5, and their games have averaged 233.9 points per game.
Against Western Conference teams, the Mavericks are 30-20 compared to 17-10 in non-conference games. As the favorite, they have a record of 35-12 and are 12-18 as the underdog.
Heading into the game, the Mavericks are one of the top three-point shooting teams in the league, averaging 14.7 made threes per game (2nd). They have also been one of the more efficient teams from beyond the arc, shooting 37% (12th).
Overall, the Mavericks are 6th in scoring this season, averaging 118.2 points per game. At home, they are averaging 118.7 points per game (8th).
When it comes to pace, Dallas is 10th in the league at 99.5 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, they are 11th at 48%.
On defense, the Mavericks are ranked 20th in the NBA this season. So far, they have given up more points than the NBA scoring average in 55.8% of their games. Inside the arc, the Mavericks defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 54.6% and 36.7% from three-point territory.
Coming in as 6.5 point favorites, our projections have the Mavericks picking up a 114-110 win.
Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets Betting Tips
- Take the Mavericks on the moneyline
- On the spread, we like Rockets (+6.5)
- Our NBA model projects 224 points, and we suggest taking the under
Dallas Mavericks Injury Report
- Maxi Kleber – Back – Questionable
- Luka Doncic – Knee – Questionable
- Josh Green – Ankle – Out
- Greg Brown III – Personal – Out
- Dereck Lively II – Leg – Out
Houston Rockets Injury Report
- Steven Adams – Knee – Out
- Jae’Sean Tate – Ankle – Out
- Alperen Sengün – Ankle – Out
- Tari Eason – Leg – Out
- Amen Thompson – Ankle, Finger – Probable
