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cleveland cavaliers vs miami heat 03/20/2024 sport preview

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat Prediction & Betting Tips 3/20/2024

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Selections

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat 3/20/2024:
  • Take the Cavaliers on the moneyline
  • On the spread, we like Heat (+2.5)
  • Projecting a combined 223 points, we like the over

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat Preview

At 7:00 ET, the Cleveland Cavaliers (-136) will host the Miami Heat (+113) at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse. The Cavaliers are currently favored by 2.5 points.

This Eastern Conference matchup will be televised on BSOH. Cleveland is 43-25 and 3rd in the East, while Miami is 8th in the conference at 37-31.

Check out BetCoco for Cleveland Cavaliers – Miami Heat odds

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat Head-to-Head and Key Stats

The Heat and Cavaliers did not have any head-to-head matchups last season. But over the last three times playing each other, the Heat have a record of 2-1. The Heat also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1. These games averaged a combined total of 222 points per game leading to an over/under record of 2-1.

  • Through their last ten road games, Miami has an ATS record of just 7-3. However, their overall record was 6-4 while averaging 105 points per game.
  • When looking at their past three matchups at home, Cleveland has an ATS record of 2-1 while averaging 109 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.
  • Going back to their previous three games as the underdog, Miami has an ATS mark of 1-2 while going 0-3 straight up.
  • Going back to their last five games as the favorite, the Cavaliers have a straight up record of 2-3. But, their mark vs the spread was just 2-3.

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat Prediction

Miami is 37-31 this season and are currently in 8th place in the Eastern Conference. In the Southeast Division, they are in 2nd place.

As the underdog, Miami has gone 10-20 this season and is 15-15 against the spread. They have lost their last two ATS as the underdog and are 2-5 as the underdog in terms of the O/U.

On the road, Miami is 19-14 ATS and 20-16 straight up. Their scoring differential on the road is +.9 points per game.

In their last game, Miami lost to the 76ers by a score of 98-91. The O/U line for that game was 205.5, and Miami was getting 2.5 points as the underdog.

For the season, Miami has an O/U record of 24-44, and the under has hit in their last seven games. Today’s O/U line is set at 202, and Miami’s games have averaged 219 points per game this season.

This season, the Heat are 27th in the league in scoring at 109.8 points per game. On the road, they have averaged 107.1 points per game.

When it comes to their shooting, Miami is 23rd in field goal percentage at 46%. They are also 29th in pace, averaging 96 possessions per game.

So far, the Heat have outscored the NBA scoring average in just 36.8% of their games. In terms of three-point shooting, they are 11th in the league at 37%.

This season, the Heat’s defense is the 4th ranked defense in the NBA at 4th PPG. So far, they have held opposing offenses below the NBA scoring average in 76.5% of their games. When it comes to forced turnovers, the Heat are forcing 12 per game, which is 7th in the league. They also come into the game sitting 30th in blocked shots at 3.4 per game.

In their last game against the Pacers, the Cavaliers won as 6.5-point underdogs, with a final score of 108-103. The O/U line for that game was 225.5 points.

This season, Cleveland has an O/U record of 31-36-1, and their games have averaged a combined 224.3 points. Today’s O/U line is set at 202 points, which is lower than all of their previous games.

The Cavaliers have gone 11-12 as the underdog this season, and they are currently 2.5-point favorites against the Heat. As the favorite, their record is 32-13, and they are 21-23 ATS as the favorite.

Against the spread, the Cavaliers are 34-32 for the season, going 17-18 ATS at home and 17-14 ATS on the road. As the favorite, they have lost two straight games ATS, and their average scoring margin as the favorite is +6.8 PPG.

In the Eastern Conference, the Cavaliers are in 3rd place with a record of 43-25. Within the Central Division, they are 2nd with a record of 10-5 against division opponents. In non-conference games, they are 15-8 compared to 28-17 against the East.

Heading into tonight’s game, the Cavaliers are averaging 113.5 points per game, which is 19th in the NBA. At home, they are averaging 114.5 points per game.

In terms of pace, the Cavaliers are 20th in the NBA at 97.4 possessions per game. They are also 10th in the league in assists at 27.8 per game.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Cavaliers are 6th in the NBA in made threes at 13.6 per game. Overall, they are 16th in three-point shooting percentage.

Coming into the game, the Cavaliers defense has held opposing team’s to fewer points than the league average in 36.8% of their games. Currently, they are 6th in the NBA at 109.5 points per game allowed. The Cleveland defense has allowed opponents to shoot 35.8% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 45.9% of their field goal attempts vs. Cleveland.

The Cavaliers enter this game as 2.5-point favorites and in our projections and we anticipate them winning by a score of 112-111.

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat Betting Tips

  • Take the Cavaliers on the moneyline
  • On the spread, we like Heat (+2.5)
  • Projecting a combined 223 points, we like the over

Cleveland Cavaliers Injury Report

  • Donovan Mitchell – Nose – Out
  • Ty Jerome – Ankle – Out
  • Dean Wade – Knee – Out
  • Max Strus – Knee – Out
  • Evan Mobley – Ankle – Out

Miami Heat Injury Report

  • Jimmy Butler – Foot – Questionable
  • Kevin Love – Heel – Out
  • Josh Richardson – Shoulder – Out
  • Duncan Robinson – Back – Out
  • Tyler Herro – Foot – Out
  • Nikola Jovic – Hamstring – Questionable

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