Brooklyn Nets vs Miami Heat Preview
At 7:30 ET, the Miami Heat will travel to Brooklyn to take on the Nets at the Barclays Center. Brooklyn is currently favored by 1.5 points.
The Heat are 23-16 on the year and have won two straight, while the Nets are 16-22 and have lost two in a row. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 ET and can be seen on YES.
Check out BetCoco for Brooklyn Nets – Miami Heat odds
Brooklyn Nets vs Miami Heat Head-to-Head and Key Stats
Last season, the Heat and Nets did not face off head-to-head. When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Nets have the leg up at 2-1. The Nets also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1. These games averaged a combined total of 220 points per game leading to an over/under record of 1-2.
- Through their last five road games, Miami has an ATS record of just 2-3. However, their overall record was 2-3 while averaging 106 points per game.
- In their last ten games at home, the Nets have a straight up record of 2-8 while going 1-9 vs. the spread. The team averaged 106 points per game in this stretch.
- Looking back on the team’s last five games as the underdog, the Heat have a straight up record of 2-3. Their record vs the spread in these games was 2-3.
- The last five games that Brooklyn was favored, they have an ATS mark of 1-4 while going 2-3 straight up.
Brooklyn Nets vs Miami Heat Prediction
As the 5th seed in the Eastern Conference, the Heat are 23-16 this season. Against other teams in the East, they are 17-10 and 6-6 in non-conference games. In the Southeast Division, they are in 1st place.
Miami has won two straight games and is 11-8 straight-up on the road this season. They have an average scoring differential of +1.4 points per game on the road.
As the underdog, the Heat have lost two straight games ATS and are 8-9 overall. On the road, they are 11-8 ATS compared to 8-11 ATS at home.
In their most recent game, the Heat defeated the Hornets by a score of 104-87. Miami was favored by 8.5 points in that game, and the O/U line was 225.5.
This season, Miami has an O/U record of 18-21, and their games have averaged 223.3 points per game. Today’s O/U line is set at 217.
When it comes to scoring, the Heat are 25th in the league at 112.3 points per game. However, their scoring numbers are better at home (115.5) compared to on the road (109.2).
So far, Miami has outscored the NBA scoring average in just 41% of their games. In terms of pace, the Heat are 29th in the league at 96.7 possessions per game.
One area where Miami has excelled is getting to the free-throw line. They are 6th in the league in free throws made per game at 19.7. In terms of field goal percentage, the Heat are 19th at 46%.
Currently, the Heat’s defense holds the 2nd rank in the NBA, allowing 111.0 points per game. In the terms of takeaways, Heat are causing 12.5 turnovers per game, ranking 10th in the league. They also enter the matchup ranked 30th in rejections, averaging 3.3 blocked shots each game.
Today, the Nets are favored by 1.5 points at home against the Heat. This season, Brooklyn has gone 9-5 against the spread as the favorite and has been favored in 14 of their 38 games.
Against the spread, the Nets are 12-6 at home and have an average scoring margin of +2.9 points per game. However, they have lost three straight ATS as the favorite.
Brooklyn’s O/U record for the season is 20-18, and their games have averaged a combined 231 points. Today’s O/U line of 217 is lower than all but one of their games this season.
In their last game, the Nets were 3.5-point underdogs against the Cavaliers and lost by a score of 111-102. The O/U line for that game was 221.5 points.
In the Eastern Conference standings, the Nets are currently in 10th place with a record of 16-22. In games against other Eastern Conference teams, they are 13-12 and 1-4 against Atlantic Division opponents.
On the road, the Nets are 7-12 ATS compared to 12-6 at home. Overall, their ATS record is 19-18 for the season.
At home, the Nets are averaging 116.9 points per game, which is 12th in the NBA. Overall, they are 18th in scoring at 114.6 points per game. Brooklyn has outscored the league average in 47.4% of their games this season.
From beyond the arc, the Nets are 8th in the league with 13.6 made threes per game. However, their three-point shooting percentage is just 36% (14th). In terms of pace, Brooklyn is 23rd in the NBA.
When it comes to two-point shooting, the Nets are 26th in the league at 52%. Overall, they are 25th in field goal percentage. In terms of free throws, Brooklyn is 21st in both attempts and makes.
On defense, the Nets come into the game ranked 17th in the league in points allowed at 116.4 per game. Over their last three games, the team is allowing 120 points per contest (15th). Opponents are hitting 53.0% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 38.3% of their three-point attempts.
Even though they are 1.5 point underdogs, we see the Heat winning this game by a score of 112-110.
Brooklyn Nets vs Miami Heat Betting Tips
- We like the Heat on the moneyline (+107)
- The Heat are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 222 points, we like the over
Brooklyn Nets Injury Report
- Ben Simmons – Lower Back – Out
- Day’Ron Sharpe – Knee – Out
Miami Heat Injury Report
- Jimmy Butler – Toe – Questionable
- Kevin Love – Knee – Out
- Dru Smith – Knee – Out
