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atlanta hawks vs miami heat prediction & betting tips 11/11/2023

Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat Prediction & Betting Tips 11/11/2023

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Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat 11/11/2023
  • Take the Hawks on the moneyline
  • On the spread, we like Heat (+4.5)
  • Our NBA model projects 220 points, and we suggest taking the under

Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat Preview

The Heat and Hawks are set to face off at 7:30 ET on BSSE. The Hawks will host the game at State Farm Arena in Atlanta, GA.

The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 228.5 points, and the Hawks are favored to win at home against the Heat. Check out BetCoco for Atlanta Hawks – Miami Heat odds

Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat Head-to-Head and Key Stats

When looking back on the last three times the Heat and Hawks have played each other, Miami has the edge with a record of 2-1. However, the average scoring differential in these matchups is dead even with each team averaging 117 points per game.

  • When looking at their past five road matchups, Miami has an ATS record of 3-2 while averaging 102 per game. The team went 1-4 overall in these games.
  • In their last ten games at home, the Hawks have a straight up record of 5-5 while going 4-6 vs. the spread. The team averaged 115 points per game in this stretch.
  • The last five games that Miami was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 2-3 while going 0-5 straight up.
  • Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the favorite, the Hawks have a straight up record of 7-3. Their record vs the spread in these games was 3-7.

Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat Prediction

In their upcoming game against the Hawks, the Heat can move above .500 with a win, as they are currently 4-4. At this time, the team’s rank is 9th in the Eastern Conference, and they are also 3rd in the Southeast division.

So far, Miami is below .500 in their ATS record, currently standing at 2-6. This season, Miami has a 1-4 record against the spread when they are favored, and they are 1-2 when playing as underdogs.

For this season, the Heat has an over/under record of 3-5-0. Their played games maintain an ongoing average of 205.0 points per game, alongside an average over/under line of 220.4.

In their latest game, the Heat offense put up 108 points against the Grizzlies. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 45.5% and made 11 threes. For the season, the Heat offense has struggled to get to the free-throw line, ranking just 22nd in terms of free-throw attempts per game. Their overall field goal percentage is currently 45%.

At present, the Heat’s defense is ranked 10th, allowing 110.1 points per game.

In terms of two point field goal attempts, the Heat defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 55.8% while allowing 36.8% from downtown.

Coming into today’s game vs. the Heat, the Hawks are looking to build on their above .500 record of 5-3. On the road this season, the Hawks have posted a 3-2 record, whereas they have a 2-1 record at home.

This season, Atlanta holds an ATS record of 3-5, which also includes their two game losing streak against the spread. In their last three games as favorites, the Hawks have not been able to cover the spread, and they are 3-2 against the spread when they are underdogs.

In terms of their over/under record, the Hawks are 4-4-0 so far this season. Their games feature an average over/under line of 235.8, and they hold a 3 differential compared to the over/under line this season.

In their recent game, the Hawks’ offense concluded with 120 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 121.8 points per contest. The top scorer for the Hawks was Trae Young with 41 points, while Jalen Johnson also chipped in with 19 points.

So far, the Hawks’ defense is ranked 24th in the league at 117.0 points per contest.

In the terms of takeaways, Hawks are causing 14.4 turnovers per game, ranking 17th in the league. They also enter the matchup ranked 24th in rejections, averaging 4.4 blocked shots each game.

With a 4.5-point advantage on the spread, our projections favor the Hawks to secure a 111-109 victory.

Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat Betting Tips

  • Take the Hawks on the moneyline
  • On the spread, we like Heat (+4.5)
  • Our NBA model projects 220 points, and we suggest taking the under

Atlanta Hawks Injury Report

  • Wesley Matthews – Calf – Questionable
  • Mouhamed Gueye – Back – Out
  • Kobe Bufkin – Thumb – Out

Miami Heat Injury Report

  • Jimmy Butler – Knee – Probable
  • Tyler Herro – Ankle – Out
  • Caleb Martin – Knee – Out
  • Nikola Jovic – Illness – Probable

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