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dallas mavericks vs houston rockets prediction 11/28/2023 sport preview

Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets Prediction & Betting Tips 11/28/2023

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Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets 11/28/2023
  • Take the Mavericks on the moneyline
  • The Mavericks should also cover at -5.5
  • Our NBA model projects 224 points, and we suggest taking the under

Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets Preview

Planning on watching today’s Rockets and Mavericks game? Catch the action at American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX, as the Mavericks hosts this showdown at 8:30 ET on BSSW.

The over/under for this game is set at 231.5 points, and the Mavericks are the home favorites against the Rockets in a Southwest division matchup. Check out BetCoco for Dallas Mavericks – Houston Rockets odds

Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets Head-to-Head and Key Stats

The last five times that the Mavericks have hosted the Rockets, they have an above .500 record at 4-1. Across the last three head to head matchups between the Rockets and Mavericks, the teams have averaged 225 points per game with an over/under record of 1-2. The last three times they have faced off with the Mavericks as the home team, the OU record is 0-3.

  • In their last three road games, Houston has averaged 106 points per game while allowing 110. The team’s record in this stretch was 0-3 while going 3-0.
  • Although Dallas has a straight up record of 1-2 in their last three home games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 1-2. The team averaged 105 points per game in these games.
  • In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Rockets have a straight up record of 2-3 and an ATS mark of 5-0.
  • In their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Mavericks have a straight up record of 7-3 and an ATS mark of 6-4.

Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets Prediction

Coming into today’s matchup, the Rockets will be looking to build on their current two game winning streak and their overall record is currently 8-6. Across 14 games, the Rockets have a 7-5 record when facing Western Conference teams, and they have a 1-1 record in non-conference games.

Houston comes in with an overall ATS record of 11-3 so far this season. The Rockets currently have a three game ATS win streak as the favorite and are 8-3 vs. the spread as underdogs.

Houston currently holds an over/under record of 4-10-0 for the season. They have an average over/under line of 219.8 in their games, and their differential vs. the over/under line this season is -5.8.

The Rockets offense is coming off a game in which they scored 105 points vs. the Nuggets. Overall their field goal percentage was 48.8% while connecting on 12 threes. Alperen Sengün is leading the team in scoring at 20.2 points per contest. Jalen Green has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 19.6 going into the game.

At this time, the Rockets’ defense is positioned 1st in the NBA, permitting 104.4 points per game.

The Houston defense has allowed opponents to shoot 31.5% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 43.7% of their field goal attempts vs. Houston.

Facing the Rockets today, the Mavericks look to maintain their record above .500, which currently stands at 10-6. At this time, the team’s rank is 5th in the Western Conference, and they are also 1st in the Southwest division.

Dallas has a .500 ATS record so far this season, marked at 8-8. This season, Dallas has a 7-5 record against the spread when they are favored, and they are 1-3 when playing as underdogs.

The over/under record for Dallas is currently 11-5-0, and they have witnessed three consecutive games staying below the over/under lines. The average points per game in their played games is 245.0, with an average over/under line of 234.6.

Most recently, the Mavericks’ offense finished with just 88 points vs. the Clippers. For the game, they hit 9/38 three-point attempts and a field goal percentage of 37.4%. In terms of offense, the Mavericks have a season-long field goal percentage of 47%, putting them 15th in the NBA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 6th in percentage and 1st in three-pointers made.

Coming into the game, the Mavericks’ defense is giving up an average of 118.3 points per game. So far, they have given up more points than the NBA league average in 68.8% of their games.

The Dallas defense has allowed opponents to shoot 35.9% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 49.2% of their field goal attempts vs. Dallas.

Based on projections, we have the Mavericks coming out on top by a score of 118-106.

Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets Betting Tips

  • Take the Mavericks on the moneyline
  • The Mavericks should also cover at -5.5
  • Our NBA model projects 224 points, and we suggest taking the under

Dallas Mavericks Injury Report

  • Maxi Kleber – Toe – Out
  • Dereck Lively II – Back – Questionable

Houston Rockets Injury Report

  • Victor Oladipo – Knee – Out
  • Fred VanVleet – Thumb – Probable
  • Dillon Brooks – Adductor – Probable
  • Jae’Sean Tate – Knee – Probable
  • Tari Eason – Lower Leg – Probable
  • Amen Thompson – Ankle – Out

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