Miami Heat vs Washington Wizards Preview 11/3/2023
Looking to win big? The Wizards and Heat face off at 8:00 ET on BSSU. The Heat are hosting the game at Kaseya Center in Miami, FL.
The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 226 points, and the Heat are favored to win at home against the Wizards. Check out BetCoco for Miami Heat – Washington Wizards odds
Miami Heat vs Washington Wizards Head-to-Head and Key Stats
In the last five head to head matchups, the Heat have had the upper-hand, going 3-2. When looking back over the last ten head to head meetings between the Heat and Wizards, the Heat hold the edge with an ATS record of 5-4-1.
- Through their last ten road games, Washington has an ATS record of just 3-7. However, their overall record was 2-8 while averaging 110 points per game.
- In their last five home games, Miami has averaged 103 points per game while allowing 109. The team’s record in this stretch was 1-4 while going 3-2.
- Going back to their previous five games as the underdog, Washington has an ATS mark of 2-3 while going 1-4 straight up.
- The last ten games that Miami was favored, they have an ATS mark of 4-6 while going 6-4 straight up.
Miami Heat vs Washington Wizards Prediction
The Washington Wizards head into their upcoming game with a 1-3 overall record, hoping to defy the odds as +9.5 point underdogs. In the Eastern Conference, the team currently holds the 14th position, while in the Southeast division, they sit at 4th place.
Washington has a .500 record against the spread this season, going 2-2 ATS. When playing away games, the Wizards have a 1-1 ATS record, while at home they also have a 1-1 record against the spread.
The Washington Wizards have a 3-1-0 record in terms of their over/under performance this season. Their games have an average over/under line of 234, and they currently hold a 7.5 differential compared to the over/under line.
This year, the Washington offense has a field goal percentage of 46.2% (16th in the NBA), attempts an average of 22.8 free throws per game (24th in the league), and scores an average of 115.2 points per game (27th in the NBA).
This season, the Wizards’ defense ranks 2nd in the league by allowing 21.9 free throw attempts per game. However, they rank 27th with a 47.5 field goal percentage allowed and 30th with 114.4 points per game allowed.
In anticipation of their upcoming matchup against the Wizards, the Heat hold a 1-4 record for the season, striving to break their four-game losing streak. Presently, the team ranks 15th in the Eastern Conference and holds the 5th position in the Southeast division.
Miami has a subpar ATS record, currently sitting at 1-4. As the favored team this season, Miami has failed to cover the spread in both of their games, resulting in a 0-2 record. Conversely, when playing as the underdog, Miami has managed to cover the spread in one out of their three games, resulting in a 1-2 record.
The Miami Heat have seen more than 50% of their games fall below the over/under lines this season, resulting in a 2-3-0 over/under record. Currently, their games have an average of 205.0 points per game, while the average over/under line stands at 219.7.
This year’s Miami offense is averaging 104.6 points per game, ranking 16th in the NBA. They are also averaging 98.5 possessions per game, ranking 14th in the league. Additionally, the Heat have attempted 20.2 free throws per game, ranking 19th in the NBA.
On defense, Miami’s effective field goal percentage ranks 21st in the NBA at 56.3. They also allow 109.8 points per game, placing them 15th in the league. Furthermore, their average of 3.4 blocked shots per game ranks them 26th in the NBA.
Even though they are 9.5 point underdogs, we see the Wizards winning this game by a score of 106-105.
Miami Heat vs Washington Wizards Betting Tips
- We like the Wizards on the moneyline (+348)
- The Wizards are also our pick on the spread at +9.5
- Our NBA model projects 211 points, and we suggest taking the under
Miami Heat Injury Report
- Jimmy Butler – Knee – Probable
- Caleb Martin – Knee – Out
Washington Wizards Injury Report
- Daniel Gafford – Ankle – Questionable
- Corey Kispert – Ankle – Questionable
