Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons Preview
The Pistons and Heat are set to face off at 7:30 ET on BSSU. The Heat will host the game at Kaseya Center in Miami, FL.
The over/under for this Eastern conference contest is set at 218.5 points, with the Heat being the favored team playing at home against the Pistons. Check out BetCoco for Miami Heat – Detroit Pistons odds
Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons Head-to-Head and Key Stats
In the last three head-to-head matchups, the Heat are averaging 108 points per game, compared to the Pistons at 107. These figures have led to Miami posting a record of 2-1.
- In their last five games away from home, the Pistons have a straight up record of 1-4 while going 2-2-1 vs. the spread. The team averaged 105 points per game in this stretch.
- In their last ten games at home, the Heat have a straight up record of 5-5 while going 7-3 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 104 points per game in these contests.
- Spanning across their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Pistons have gone 4-5-1 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 1-9.
- In their last five games as the betting favorite, the Heat have a strong straight up record of 4-1. In addition, their ATS record was 3-2 in these scenarios.
Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons Prediction
Heading into this season, the Pistons are coming off a year in which they achieved a division record of 2-14, an overall record of 17-65, and a win percentage of 20.7%. Additionally, they secured a conference rank of 15th.
Detroit comes into the season after finishing the 2022-2023 season with 79 games played as the underdog. In these games, they had an average scoring margin of -8.6. As the underdog, their against the spread record was 15-64, while their against the spread record as the favored team was 2-1.
Heading into this season, the Pistons are coming off a year in which they achieved a record of 41-40-1 against the over under during the 2022-2023 season. The average combined scoring in their games amounted to 228.8. Furthermore, there were 74 games that had a higher over/under line than 218.5.
Detroit’s offense finished last season ranked 10th in the NBA for offensive rebounds per game, with an average of 11.2. They also ranked 2nd in the league for free throw attempts per game, with an average of 25.7. However, their scoring performance was not as strong, as they ranked 29th in the NBA with an average of 110.3 points per game.
Detroit’s defense wrapped up last season with a points allowed per game rank of 27th, a blocked shots per game rank of 27th, a steals per game rank of 20th, and a field goal percentage allowed rank of 26th. These statistics indicate the team’s defensive performance throughout the season.
Miami finished last season with a home record of 27-14 during the 2022-2023 NBA Basketball season. Additionally, they secured an 8th place conference rank and an overall record of 44-38. Moreover, their road record stood at 17-24.
Miami finished last season with a road record against the spread of 15-26. Their overall record against the spread was 28-52, and their home record against the spread was 13-26.
Miami is coming off a season where they achieved a record of 40-41-1 against the over under during the 2022-2023 season. The average combined scoring in their games stood at 219.3. Additionally, there were 44 games where the over/under line exceeded 218.5.
Last year’s offense ended with the Miami Heat scoring an average of 109.5 points per game during the 2022-2023 NBA season, placing them 30th in the league. They had an average of 96.2 possessions per game, ranking 29th among NBA teams. In terms of free throws attempted per game, the Heat ranked 19th in the league with an average of 23.0 attempts.
Defensively, the Heat ranked 2nd in points allowed per game, 6th in steals per game, 21st in three point percentage allowed, and 21st in field goal percentage allowed last year.
Coming in as 9 point favorites, our projections have the Heat picking up a 108-101 win.
Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons Betting Tips
- Take the Heat on the moneyline
- On the spread, we like Pistons (+9)
- Our NBA model projects 209 points, and we suggest taking the under
Miami Heat Injury Report
- Josh Richardson – Foot – Out
- Haywood Highsmith – Knee – Out
Detroit Pistons Injury Report
- Bojan Bogdanovic – Calf – Out
- Monte Morris – Quadriceps – Out
- Isaiah Livers – Ankle – Out
