Miami Heat vs Chicago Bulls Preview
At 7:00 ET, the Miami Heat (-124) will host the Chicago Bulls (+104) in an Eastern Conference matchup. The over/under line for the game is 205.5.
Miami (-1.5) is currently on a two game win streak and is 8th in the Eastern Conference. Chicago (39-43) is 9th in the East and 4th in the Central Division.
Check out BetCoco for Miami Heat – Chicago Bulls odds
Miami Heat vs Chicago Bulls Head-to-Head and Key Stats
The last five times, the Bulls have faced off against the Heat on the road, they are above .500 at 3-2. Across the last three head to head matchups between the Bulls and Heat, the teams have averaged 230 points per game with an over/under record of 3-0. The last three times they have faced off with the Heat as the home team, the OU record is 1-2.
- The Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last road games and 3-2 straight-up.
- Miami has a 1-2 record in their last three home games. In this stretch, they averaged 112 points per game while allowing 111. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-0.
- Looking back on the team’s last five games as the underdog, the Bulls have a straight up record of 2-3. Their record vs the spread in these games was 3-2.
- Going back to their previous ten games as the favorite, Miami has an ATS mark of 7-3 while going 8-2 straight up.
Miami Heat vs Chicago Bulls Prediction
In their last game, the Bulls lost to the Knicks by a score of 120-119. Chicago covered the spread as 13.5-point underdogs, and the O/U line was 218.5.
This season, the Bulls have an O/U record of 44-37-1, and the over has hit in their last four games. On average, their games have finished with 226 points.
Chicago has an ATS record of 41-40 this season, and they have covered the spread in their last three games. On the road, their ATS record is 22-18.
The Bulls are 39-43 overall this season, which is currently 9th in the Eastern Conference. In the Central Division, they are in 4th place.
On average, the Bulls’ O/U lines this season have been set at 221.8 points. Today’s line is 205.5, and their games have averaged 226 points.
DeMar DeRozan has been carrying the Bulls’ offense of late, averaging 33.2 points per game over his last four games. In these games, he hit 55.6% of his shots from the field and 1.8 threes per game. For the season, he is averaging 24 points and 5.3 assists. Coby White is averaging 19.1 points and 19.8 over his last five games.
Looking at the Bulls’ offensive production this season, they are 22nd in the league at 112.3 points per game. Their scoring average on the road is slightly better at 113 points per game. Chicago is 21st in pace, averaging 97 possessions per game. Zach LaVine is out with a foot injury, and he is averaging 19.5 points and 3.9 assists this season.
The Bulls’ defense is presently ranked 16th in the league, allowing an average of 113.7 points per contest. The Chicago defense has allowed opponents to shoot 36.9% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 47.3% of their field goal attempts vs. Chicago.
Today, the Heat will look to win their 3rd straight game as they host the Bulls. Miami is favored by 1.5 points and has gone 4-0 as the favorite. As the favorite, they have a scoring differential of +5.4 PPG.
In their last game, the Heat defeated the Raptors by a score of 118-103. The O/U line for that game was 218.5 points, and Miami was favored by 16.5 points. This improved their ATS record to 16-25 at home and 40-39 overall.
This season, the Heat have an O/U record of 35-47, and the over has hit in their last two games. On average, their games have finished with 218.5 points, which is higher than today’s line of 205.5.
In the Eastern Conference standings, the Heat are currently in 8th place with a record of 46-36. Within the Southeast Division, they are in 2nd place. Against other Eastern Conference teams, Miami is 32-20 compared to 14-16 in non-conference games.
On the season, the Heat have gone 23-22 ATS as the favorite and 17-17 ATS as the favorite. Their ATS record at home is 16-25, while they are 24-14 on the road.
Looking at the Heat’s scoring production this season, they are averaging 110.1 points per game, which is 26th in the league. Their production at home is slightly better at 112.1 points per contest. Miami is also near the bottom of the league in pace, averaging 95.8 possessions per game. One area where the Heat have been good is in three-point shooting, as they are currently 13th in the league, hitting 37% of their looks from downtown.
Miami will be without Jimmy Butler for today’s game, as he is dealing with a knee injury. Over his last five games, Butler has averaged 18.6 points per game on 55.6% shooting. Tyler Herro has averaged 21.8 points per game in his last five games, and he has hit 2.8 threes per game in that stretch. Bam Adebayo is probable with a back injury and is averaging 10.4 rebounds per game this year.
The Heat’s defense is presently ranked 3rd in the league, allowing an average of 108.4 points per contest. For the season, Miami is ranked 27th in fewest fouls per game. Team’s are averaging 19.2 free-throws per game vs. the Heat and have an overall field goal percentage of 46.9%.
Even though they are considered 1.5-point underdogs, our projection points to a 115-114 win for the Bulls.
Miami Heat vs Chicago Bulls Betting Tips
- We like the Bulls on the moneyline (+104)
- The Bulls are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 229 points, we like the over
Miami Heat Injury Report
- Jimmy Butler – Knee – Out
- Josh Richardson – Shoulder – Out
- Terry Rozier – Neck – Out
- Duncan Robinson – Back – Probable
Chicago Bulls Injury Report
- Zach LaVine – Foot – Out
- Andre Drummond – Ankle – Questionable
- Alex Caruso – Foot – Questionable
- Lonzo Ball – Knee – Out
- Patrick Williams – Foot – Out
- Ayo Dosunmu – Quadricep – Questionable
- Julian Phillips – Foot – Out
- Onuralp Bitim – Eye – Out
