Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks Preview
At 3:30 ET, the Oklahoma City Thunder (56-25) will host the Dallas Mavericks (50-31) in a Western Conference matchup. The Thunder are currently favored by 19.5 points and have won four straight games.
This game will be played at the Paycom Center in Oklahoma City. The Thunder are 1st in the Western Conference, while the Mavericks are 5th. The over/under line for this game is 223 points.
Check out BetCoco for Oklahoma City Thunder – Dallas Mavericks odds
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks Head-to-Head and Key Stats
Last season, the Mavericks and Thunder did not face off head-to-head. When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Thunder have the leg up at 2-1. However, against the spread the Mavericks went 2-1. The over/under record in these matchups was 3-0 on an average of 249 points per game.
- Across their last five road contests, Dallas has been good against the spread posting a mark of 4-1. Their overall mark in these games was 4-1, while averaging 114 points per game.
- Across their three previous home games, Oklahoma City has an ATS mark of 0-3. Their straight up record in these matchups was 1-2 while averaging 111 points per game.
- Dallas has done well both straight up and vs the spread as the underdog, going 3-0 SU and 3-0 ATS in their last three games.
- Oklahoma City has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 5-0 SU and 5-0 ATS in their last five games.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction
The Mavericks have an O/U record of 37-44 this season, and the under has hit in their last two games. Today’s O/U line is set at 223 points, and their games have averaged 233.7 points per game.
Dallas is 12-18 as the underdog this season, and they have gone 15-15 ATS as the underdog. As the road underdog, their ATS record is 27-13, and they have covered the spread in their last two road games.
In their last game, the Mavericks lost to the Pistons by a score of 107-89. They were favored by 11 points in that game, and it was their 3rd straight loss as the favorite. Dallas is currently 5th in the Western Conference with a record of 50-31.
This season, the Mavericks have gone 19-11 against non-conference opponents and 31-20 against the West. On the road, they are 25-15 compared to 25-16 at home.
On average, the Mavericks’ games have had a higher scoring total than today’s O/U line of 223. The average O/U line in their games this season is 234.9.
Heading into their final game of the season, the Mavericks’ offense has been one of the most potent in the NBA. They are currently 6th in the league in scoring at 118.2 points per game. On the road, they are averaging 117.8 points per game, which is 4th in the NBA.
When it comes to three-point shooting, the Mavericks are one of the league’s best. They are 3rd in the NBA in made threes at 14.7 per game. Overall, they are 11th in field goal percentage at 48%.
Despite being one of the top three-point shooting teams, the Mavericks are just 23rd in offensive rebounds. In terms of pace, they are 9th in the league at 99.5 possessions per game.
At present, the Mavericks’ defense is ranked 20th, allowing 115.4 points per game. On two point field goal attempts, the Mavericks’ defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 54.4% and allowing 36.7% from beyond the arc.
As the Thunder look to secure the top seed in the Western Conference, they are heavily favored (-19.5) against the Mavericks. Oklahoma City is 46-14 as the favorite this season and has won five straight games as the favorite.
Oklahoma City has an average scoring margin of +9.8 points per game as the favorite. In their last four games, they have covered the spread and have an overall ATS record of 34-26 at home and 26-14 at home.
In their last game, the Thunder defeated the Bucks by a score of 125-107. The O/U line for that game was 224, and OKC was favored by 14.5 points. This improved their record to 56-25 for the season.
This season, the Thunder have an O/U record of 44-36-1, and their games have averaged 232.9 points per game. Today’s O/U line of 223 is lower than 74 of their previous games.
Currently, the Thunder are 1st in the Western Conference with a record of 56-25. In games against other Western Conference teams, they are 35-16 and 21-9 against the East.
This season, the Thunder have been one of the top offensive teams in the league, averaging 119.9 points per game (3rd). At home, they have been even better, scoring 122.8 points per game (3rd).
So far, the Thunder have outscored the NBA scoring average in 67.9% of their games. They are currently 2nd in field goal percentage (49%) and 1st in true shooting percentage.
When it comes to three-point shooting, the Thunder are 9th in made threes (13.3 per game) and have hit 38% of their attempts (2nd). In terms of pace, they are 7th in the league at 99.7 possessions per game.
Coming into today’s game, the Thunder’s defense is giving up an average of 113.0 points per contest. On two point field goal attempts, the Thunder’s defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 52.2% and allowing 36.6% from beyond the arc.
The Thunder enter this game as 19.5-point favorites and in our projections and we anticipate them winning by a score of 118-100.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks Betting Tips
- Take the Thunder on the moneyline
- On the spread, we like Mavericks (+19.5)
- Our NBA model projects 218 points, and we suggest taking the under
Oklahoma City Thunder Injury Report
No Injuries Reported
Dallas Mavericks Injury Report
- Kyrie Irving – Hamstring – Out
- Dante Exum – Foot – Out
- Derrick Jones Jr. – Shoulder – Out
- Maxi Kleber – Back – Out
- Luka Doncic – Ankle – Out
- P.J. Washington – Ankle – Out
- Daniel Gafford – Elbow – Out
- Greg Brown III – Personal – Out
- Dereck Lively II – Leg – Out
