Memphis Grizzlies vs Denver Nuggets Preview
The Memphis Grizzlies will host the Denver Nuggets for a Western Conference matchup at FedExForum. Tip-off is set for 3:30 ET and the game can be seen on BSSE.
Denver (-909) is a 13-point favorite over Memphis (+595) and the over/under line is 219.5. The Grizzlies have lost four straight and are 13th in the West, while the Nuggets are 3rd in the Western Conference with a record of 56-25.
Check out BetCoco for Memphis Grizzlies – Denver Nuggets odds
Memphis Grizzlies vs Denver Nuggets Head-to-Head and Key Stats
In the last three games between Memphis and Denver, the Nuggets have dominated the series, going 3-0. This includes a convincing margin of victory of 22 points per contest. Across the last three head-to-head matchups, Denver is averaging 126 points compared to Memphis at 104.
- Through their last five road games, Denver has an ATS record of just 1-4. However, their overall record was 3-2 while averaging 112 points per game.
- Across their last three home contests, Memphis has been good against the spread posting a mark of 3-0. Their overall mark in these games was 2-1, while averaging 106 points per game.
- In their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Grizzlies have a straight up record of 3-7 and an ATS mark of 5-5.
- In their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Nuggets have a straight up record of 6-4 and an ATS mark of 5-5.
Memphis Grizzlies vs Denver Nuggets Prediction
Today, the Nuggets are favored by 13 points on the road against the Grizzlies. This season, Denver has been favored in 71 of their 81 games and has a record of 52-19 as the favorite. As the favorite, they have gone 32-37 against the spread, with an average scoring margin of +6.4 points per game.
Denver’s O/U record for the season is 33-46-2, and their games have averaged 224.3 points per game. The over has hit in their last two games and in 64 of their games this season.
In their most recent game, the Nuggets lost to the Spurs by a score of 121-120. They were favored by 11.5 points in that game but did not cover the spread. The O/U line for that game was 223.5 points.
Despite the loss, Denver is still in 3rd place in the Western Conference with a record of 56-25. Against Western Conference teams, they are 32-19 compared to 24-6 in non-conference games.
On the road, the Nuggets have a straight-up record of 23-17 and are 16-23 ATS. At home, their ATS record is 21-19, and they have won four straight games straight-up at home.
When it comes to scoring, the Nuggets are 14th in the league at 114.7 points per game. However, on the road, they are averaging 110.8 points per game (21st).
Denver is one of the most efficient shooting teams in the league, ranking 4th in field goal percentage at 49%. In terms of pace, they are 28th in the NBA.
So far this season, the Nuggets have made an average of 11.7 three-pointers per game (25th). They have also been one of the top teams in terms of two-point field goal percentage (8th).
Denver’s defense has been playing well, ranking 6th in the NBA with 109.6 points allowed per game. Opponents are hitting 52.4% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 35.5% of their three-point attempts.
Today, the Grizzlies are 13-point underdogs at home against the Nuggets. This season, Memphis has been the underdog in 64 of their 81 games.
When looking at their ATS record, the Grizzlies are 40-41 for the season. This includes going 16-24 against the spread at home and 24-17 on the road. They have covered the spread in their last two games and have an average scoring differential of -7.2 points per game at home.
In their last game, the Grizzlies lost to the Lakers by a score of 123-120. They were 15.5-point underdogs in that game. The O/U line for that game was 227 points.
This season, Memphis has an O/U record of 37-43-1. In their games, the average combined scoring total is 218.4 points, which is lower than today’s line of 219.5.
Overall, the Grizzlies are 27-54 this season, which puts them in 13th place in the Western Conference. Against other Western Conference teams, they are 14-36 compared to 13-18 in non-conference games.
The Grizzlies have struggled to score this season, ranking 30th in the NBA with 105.8 points per game. At home, they are averaging 103.8 points per game.
Memphis is one of the top three-point shooting teams in the league, averaging 13.1 made threes per game (6th). However, they are shooting just 34% from beyond the arc (30th).
Coming into this game, the Grizzlies have outscored the NBA scoring average in just 21% of their games. Overall, they are 30th in field goal percentage (43%).
Coming into today’s game, the Grizzlies’ defense is giving up an average of 112.7 points per contest. In their previous game, the Grizzlies’ defense struggled against the Lakers, giving up 123 points on a field goal percentage of 51%.
With a 13-point advantage on the spread, our projections favor the Nuggets to secure a 111-105 victory.
Memphis Grizzlies vs Denver Nuggets Betting Tips
- Take the Nuggets on the moneyline
- On the spread, we like Grizzlies (+13)
- Our NBA model projects 216 points, and we suggest taking the under
Memphis Grizzlies Injury Report
- Derrick Rose – Low Back – Out
- Marcus Smart – Finger – Out
- Luke Kennard – Knee – Out
- Jaren Jackson Jr. – Quad – Out
- Yuta Watanabe – Personal – Out
- Ja Morant – Shoulder – Out
- Brandon Clarke – Hand – Out
- John Konchar – Heel – Out
- Desmond Bane – Back – Out
- Lamar Stevens – Adductor – Out
- Ziaire Williams – Hip – Out
- Santi Aldama – Right Foot – Out
- Vince Williams Jr. – Knee – Out
Denver Nuggets Injury Report
- Aaron Gordon – Foot – Questionable
- Kentavious Caldwell-Pope – Shoulder – Questionable
- Reggie Jackson – Calf – Questionable
- Nikola Jokic – Hip – Questionable
- Jamal Murray – Knee – Questionable
- Vlatko Cancar – Knee – Out
- Michael Porter Jr. – Illness – Questionable
- Zeke Nnaji – Adductor – Questionable
- Collin Gillespie – Knee – Doubtful
