Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors Preview
At 8:00 ET, the Toronto Raptors (25-55) will take on the Miami Heat (44-36) at the Kaseya Center in Miami. The Heat are currently favored by 15 points and are 8th in the Eastern Conference, while the Raptors are 12th in the East and have lost two straight games.
This Eastern Conference matchup can be seen on BSSU and the over/under line is currently sitting at 218.5 points.
Check out BetCoco for Miami Heat – Toronto Raptors odds
Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors Head-to-Head and Key Stats
The Raptors and Heat did not have any head-to-head matchups last season. But over the last three times playing each other, the Raptors have a record of 2-1. The Raptors also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1. These games averaged a combined total of 210 points per game leading to an over/under record of 0-3.
- Through their last ten road contests, the Raptors offense has averaged 109 points per game while allowing an average of 118. Toronto posted an overall record of 2-8 while going 6-4 ATS.
- When looking at their past five home matchups, Miami has an ATS record of 5-0 while averaging 115 per game. The team went 4-1 overall in these games.
- Going back to their last ten games as the underdog, the Raptors have a straight up record of 1-9. But, their mark vs the spread was just 3-7.
- As the betting favorite, the Heat have an ATS mark of just 7-3 in their last ten games. Miami posted a straight up mark of 8-2 in these matchups.
Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors Prediction
In their last game, the Raptors lost to the Nets by a score of 106-102. The O/U line for that game was 220.5, resulting in an under. Toronto covered the spread as 12-point underdogs.
On the season, the Raptors are 41-38-1 on the O/U, and today’s line of 218.5 is lower than 68 of their games. This year, their games have averaged 231.3 points per game.
Looking at their ATS record, the Raptors are 35-45 overall and 21-18 on the road. As underdogs, they have covered the spread in their last two games and have an ATS record of 25-32 on the road.
Coming into today’s game, the Raptors are 12th in the Eastern Conference with a record of 25-55. In the East, they are 18-32 compared to 7-23 against the Western Conference.
As underdogs, the Raptors have gone 12-45 this season, and they are currently 15-point underdogs against the Heat. In their games as the underdog, they have a scoring differential of -9.6 points per game.
When it comes to scoring, the Raptors are 20th in the NBA at 112.6 points per game. However, they have been better on the road, averaging 114.9 points compared to 110.4 at home.
Overall, the Raptors have outscored the NBA scoring average in 43.8% of their games this season. In terms of pace, they are 11th in the league at 99.4 possessions per game.
When it comes to shooting, Toronto is 16th in field goal percentage at 47%. They are also 5th in two-pointers made but just 26th in three-pointers made. Overall, the Raptors are 27th in three-point shooting at 34%.
Currently, the Raptors’ defense holds the 24th rank in the NBA, allowing 118.7 points per game. Opponents are hitting 56.6% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 37.4% of their three-point attempts.
Miami is 39-38 against the spread this season and has gone 15-24 ATS at home. The team has gone 2-2 ATS in their last four games and are favored by 15 points today.
The Heat have an O/U record of 33-47 this season, and 47 of their games have had higher O/U lines than today’s line of 218.5. On average, their games have finished with a combined score of 218.4 points.
In their last game, the Heat lost to the Mavericks by a score of 111-92. The O/U line for that game was 217.5, and Miami was getting 2.5 points going into the game.
Miami is currently in 8th place in the Eastern Conference with a record of 44-36. Against other Eastern Conference teams, they are 30-20 compared to 14-16 against the West.
As the favorite, the Heat have gone 33-13 this season and have won two straight games as the favorite. Their ATS record as the favorite is 22-21, and they have an average scoring margin of +4.8 points per game.
At home, the Heat are averaging 111.7 points per game, which is 23rd in the NBA. Overall, they are 27th in scoring at 109.9 points per game. Miami has outscored the NBA scoring average in just 38.8% of their games this season.
Miami is 29th in pace at 95.8 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, the Heat are shooting 46% from the field, which is 24th in the league. When it comes to two-point shooting, they are 27th in the NBA at 52%.
From beyond the arc, the Heat are hitting 37% of their three-point attempts, which is 12th in the NBA. They are 18th in three-point attempts and have made an average of 12.4 threes per game.
This season, the Heat defense has been impressive, holding the 4th position in the league while permitting an average of 108.5 points per contest. Opponents are hitting 55.3% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 35.5% of their three-point attempts.
With a 15-point advantage on the spread, our projections favor the Heat to secure a 112-108 victory.
Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors Betting Tips
- Take the Heat on the moneyline
- On the spread, we like Raptors (+15)
- Projecting a combined 220 points, we like the over
Miami Heat Injury Report
- Josh Richardson – Shoulder – Out
- Terry Rozier – Neck – Questionable
- Duncan Robinson – Back – Out
Toronto Raptors Injury Report
- Jakob Poeltl – Finger – Out
- Chris Boucher – Knee – Out
- Gary Trent Jr. – Back – Questionable
- Bruce Brown – Knee – Questionable
- Jontay Porter – Personal – Out
- Scottie Barnes – Hand – Out
- D.J. Carton – Ankle – Out
