Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat Preview
At 7:30 ET, the Miami Heat (-163) will take on the Atlanta Hawks (+136) in an Eastern Southeast division matchup. The Heat are favored by 3.5 points and will be looking to snap a two-game losing streak.
The over/under line for this game is currently set at 222.5. Miami is currently 8th in the Eastern Conference with a record of 43-35, while the Hawks are 10th in the East at 36-42.
Check out BetCoco for Atlanta Hawks – Miami Heat odds
Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat Head-to-Head and Key Stats
The Heat and Hawks did not have any head-to-head matchups last season. But over the last three times playing each other, the Heat have a record of 2-1. The Heat also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1. These games averaged a combined total of 225 points per game leading to an over/under record of 0-3.
- In their last five road games, Miami has averaged 110 points per game while allowing 106 . The team’s record in this stretch was 3-2 while going 4-1 vs. the spread.
- Across their three previous home games, Atlanta has an ATS mark of 1-2. Their straight up record in these matchups was 1-2 while averaging 106 points per game.
- The last ten games that Atlanta was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 4-6 while going 4-6 straight up.
- As the betting favorite, the Heat have an ATS record of 4-1 in their last five games. In these matchups their, straight up record was 4-1.
Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat Prediction
Miami has an O/U record of 32-46-0 this season, and the over has hit in their last six games. Today’s line of 222.5 is higher than their season average of 220.8.
For the season, the Heat have gone 38-37 ATS, and they have covered the spread in their last two games. On the road, they are 23-14 ATS and have an ATS record of 21-21 when favored.
In their most recent game, the Heat lost to the Pacers by a score of 117-115. Miami was a 3-point underdog in that game, giving them an ATS win. The O/U line for that game was 228.5.
Currently, Miami is 8th in the Eastern Conference with a record of 43-35. In the Southeast Division, they are in 2nd place. As the favorite, the Heat are 32-13 this season.
In their games this season, the Heat have an average combined scoring total of 218.5, which is lower than today’s O/U line. Miami’s games have averaged an O/U line of 220.8.
Despite being one of the top three-point shooting teams in the league, the Heat are just 27th in scoring at 110 points per game. On the road, they are averaging 107.9 points per game.
So far this season, Miami has outscored the NBA average in just 38.5% of their games. In terms of pace, the Heat are 29th in the league at 95.7 possessions per game.
When it comes to shooting, the Heat are 23rd in field goal percentage at 46%. Inside the arc, they are making 52% of their shots, which is 27th in the NBA.
At this time, the Heat’s defense is positioned 4th in the NBA, permitting 108.5 points per game. In terms of two point field goal attempts, the Heat defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 55.3% while allowing 35.7% from downtown.
In their last game, the Hawks were 10.5-point underdogs against the Nuggets, and they lost the game by a score of 142-110. The combined scoring total in that game was 252 points, which was well above the O/U line of 223.
For the season, the Hawks have an O/U record of 43-35, and their games have averaged 239 points per game. Today’s O/U line is set at 222.5.
As the underdog, the Hawks have gone 12-25 straight-up and 13-24 against the spread. On average, they have been outscored by 6.1 points per game as the underdog.
In the Eastern Conference, the Hawks are currently in 10th place with a record of 36-42. Against other Eastern Conference teams, they are 22-27 and 8-6 against division opponents.
Atlanta’s ATS record for the season is 28-50, and they have failed to cover the spread in their last two games. At home, they are 15-24 ATS compared to 13-26 on the road.
When playing at home, the Hawks have been one of the league’s highest-scoring teams, averaging 122.4 points per game (4th). Overall, they are 5th in the NBA at 118.7 points per game.
Atlanta has been an above-average three-point shooting team, making 13.8 threes per game (6th). In terms of field goal percentage, they are 20th in the NBA at 46%. In terms of pace, the Hawks are 6th in the league at 100.1 possessions per game.
So far this season, Atlanta has outscored the NBA scoring average in 57.7% of their games. In terms of assists, they are 17th in the league at 26.5 per game.
Currently, the Hawks’ defense holds the 28th rank in the NBA, allowing 120.3 points per game. Inside the arc, the Hawks defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 56.9% and 38.7% from three-point territory.
Based on our analysis, we foresee the Heat winning the game with a predicted score of 133-102.
Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat Betting Tips
- Take the Heat on the moneyline
- The Heat should also cover at -3.5
- Projecting a combined 235 points, we like the over
Atlanta Hawks Injury Report
- Trae Young – Finger – Out
- Onyeka Okongwu – Toe – Out
- Saddiq Bey – ACL – Out
- AJ Griffin – Ankle – Out
- Seth Lundy – Ankle – Out
Miami Heat Injury Report
- Kevin Love – Ankle – Probable
- Josh Richardson – Shoulder – Out
- Terry Rozier – Neck – Questionable
- Bam Adebayo – Hand – Probable
- Duncan Robinson – Back – Out
- Nikola Jovic – Ankle – Probable
- Orlando Robinson – Back – Probable
