Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors Preview
At 8:30 ET, the Golden State Warriors will take on the Dallas Mavericks at the American Airlines Center in Dallas. The Mavericks are favored by 5.5 points and have a moneyline of -206, while the Warriors are +170 on the moneyline.
Golden State has won six straight games and is currently 10th in the Western Conference with a record of 42-34. Dallas is fifth in the West at 46-30 and leads the Southwest Division.
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Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors Head-to-Head and Key Stats
Last season, the Warriors and Mavericks did not face off head-to-head. When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Mavericks have the leg up at 2-1. The Mavericks also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1. These games averaged a combined total of 221 points per game leading to an over/under record of 1-2.
- When looking at their past five road matchups, Golden State has an ATS record of 4-1 while averaging 115 per game. The team went 5-0 overall in these games.
- Through their last ten home games, Dallas has an ATS record of just 7-3. However, their overall record was 7-3 while averaging 119 points per game.
- The Warriors have played well in their last three games as the betting underdog, going 2-1 straight up and 2-1 against the spread.
- As the betting favorite, the Mavericks have an ATS record of 4-1 in their last five games. In these matchups their, straight up record was 4-1.
Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors Prediction
The Warriors are 9th in the Western Conference with a record of 42-34. In the West, they are 10th, going 22-24 against conference opponents and 20-10 against the East.
Golden State has won six straight games and is 5.5-point underdogs today. In their last game, they beat the Rockets by a score of 133-110. The O/U line for that game was 227.5.
Against the spread, the Warriors are 42-33 this season, including a 26-12 record on the road. They have covered the spread in their last two games and have an ATS record of 17-9 as underdogs.
This season, the average O/U line in Warriors games is 231.5, and their games have averaged 233.6 points. Today’s O/U line is set at 228.5, and Golden State has a record of 37-38-1 on the over/under.
Golden State comes into tonight’s game as the 7th highest-scoring team in the NBA at 118 points per game. Interestingly, they have actually been better on the road this season, averaging 118.4 points compared to 117.6 at home.
When it comes to pace, the Warriors are 11th in the NBA at 99.5 possessions per game. This season, they have outscored the league average in 57.9% of their games.
One of the strengths of Golden State’s offense is their three-point shooting. They are 3rd in the NBA in both three-point makes and attempts per game. Overall, the Warriors are shooting 37% from beyond the arc this season.
At present, the Warriors’ defense is ranked 17th, allowing 115.6 points per game. The Golden State defense has allowed opponents to shoot 35.7% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 46.7% of their field goal attempts vs. Golden State.
Dallas is favored by 5.5 points today against the Warriors. So far this season, the Mavericks have been favored in 47 of their 76 games and have a record of 35-12 as the favorite. As the favorite, they have an average scoring margin of +6.9 points per game.
At home, the Mavericks are 19-19 against the spread and have covered the spread in their last five home games. Overall, their ATS record is 44-32, with a 30-17 record as the favorite.
The Mavericks have won five straight games at home and are 23-15 at home for the season. In the Western Conference, they are currently in 5th place with a record of 46-30.
Dallas’ O/U record for the season is 35-41, and the under has hit in their last two games. Today’s O/U line is set at 228.5, which is lower than their season average of 235.8.
In their last game, the Mavericks defeated the Hawks by a score of 109-95. The O/U line for that game was 227.5, and Dallas covered the spread as 12-point favorites.
This season, the Mavericks are one of the NBA’s top offensive teams, ranking 6th in scoring at 118.3 points per game. At home, they have been even better, averaging 119.0 points per game.
When it comes to three-point shooting, Dallas is one of the most prolific teams in the league, attempting 39.6 threes per game (2nd) and making 14.8 (2nd). Overall, they have made 37% of their three-point attempts.
On the season, the Mavericks have outscored the league average in 59.2% of their games. In terms of field goal percentage, they are 11th in the NBA at 48%. In terms of pace, Dallas is 10th in the league at 99.5 possessions per game.
On defense, the Mavericks come into the game ranked 20th in the league in points allowed at 115.8 per game. Over their last three games, the team is allowing 102 points per contest (17th). Dallas’ defense is currently forcing 11.9 turnovers per game, which is 7th in the league. Additionally, they enter the game ranked 17th in blocked shots, with an average of 4.9 rejections per game.
The Mavericks enter this game as 5.5-point favorites and in our projections and we anticipate them winning by a score of 117-112.
Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors Betting Tips
- Take the Mavericks on the moneyline
- On the spread, we like Warriors (+5.5)
- Projecting a combined 229 points, we like the over
Dallas Mavericks Injury Report
- Josh Green – Ankle – Out
- Greg Brown III – Personal – Questionable
- Dereck Lively II – Leg – Out
Golden State Warriors Injury Report
- Dario Saric – Knee – Questionable
- Jonathan Kuminga – Knee – Questionable
