Phoenix Suns vs Minnesota Timberwolves Preview
The Timberwolves (-165) will be looking to extend their win streak to three games when they take on the Suns (+137) in Phoenix. The Suns are favored by 3.5 points and the over/under is 218.
Minnesota is currently the top seed in the Western Conference with a record of 53-23, while Phoenix is sixth in the West at 45-31.
Check out BetCoco for Phoenix Suns – Minnesota Timberwolves odds
Phoenix Suns vs Minnesota Timberwolves Head-to-Head and Key Stats
Last season, the Timberwolves and Suns did not face off head-to-head. When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Suns have the leg up at 2-1. The Suns also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 3-0. These games averaged a combined total of 230 points per game leading to an over/under record of 2-1.
- When looking at their past three road matchups, Minnesota has an ATS record of 3-0 while averaging 114 per game. The team went 3-0 overall in these games.
- In their last three home games, Phoenix has averaged 110 points per game while allowing 112. The team’s record in this stretch was 2-1 while going 2-1 vs. the spread.
- Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the underdog, the Timberwolves have a straight up record of 5-5. Their record vs the spread in these games was 7-3.
- In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Suns have a straight up record of 1-2 and an ATS mark of 1-2.
Phoenix Suns vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction
In terms of their O/U record, the Timberwolves are 38-38 this season after going over the line in their last two games. This year, their games have averaged 219.1 points per game compared to today’s O/U line of 218.
Minnesota’s ATS record for the season is 39-36, including a 21-16 record vs. the spread on the road. As the underdog, they are 11-6 ATS this season and have covered the spread in their last three games as the underdog.
The Timberwolves are currently on a four-game winning streak on the road and have a road record of 25-13 this season. As the underdog, they are 9-8 straight-up and 11-6 vs. the spread.
Minnesota’s last game was a blowout win over the Raptors, where they won 133-85. The O/U line for that game was 213.5, and the Timberwolves were favored by 17.5 points.
Minnesota is currently in 1st place in the Western Conference with a record of 53-23. In non-conference games, they are 17-11 and 36-12 against Western Conference opponents.
On the season, the Timberwolves are averaging 113.1 points per game, which is 18th in the NBA. However, they have been a better offensive team on the road, averaging 114.5 points per game compared to 111.7 at home.
Minnesota’s offense has been efficient this season, as they are shooting 48% from the field, which is 9th in the league. In addition, they are one of the top three-point shooting teams in the NBA, making 38% of their attempts from beyond the arc.
When it comes to getting to the free-throw line, the Timberwolves are 9th in the NBA in attempts at 22.9 per game. In terms of pace, they are 20th in the league at 97 possessions per game.
So far this season, the Timberwolves defense has been performing well, ranking 1st in the NBA at 106.0 points allowed per contest. In terms of two point field goal attempts, the Timberwolves defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 50.5% while allowing 35.2% from downtown.
In their games this season, the Suns have averaged 230.7 points per game, which is higher than today’s O/U line of 218. Overall, their games have averaged a combined 231.7 points per game.
The Suns’ ATS record for the season is 32-43, and they have covered the spread in their last three home games. At home, they have an average scoring margin of +3.5 PPG.
Phoenix is currently favored by 3.5 points against the Timberwolves and has gone 37-19 as the favorite this season. As the favorite, they have an ATS record of 23-32.
Phoenix’s O/U record for the season is 34-41-1, and all of their games have had higher over/under lines than today’s line of 218. In their last game vs. the Cavaliers, the teams combined for 223 points.
The Suns won their most recent game against the Cavaliers by a score of 122-101. They covered the spread as 6-point favorites and have an overall record of 45-31, which is 6th in the Western Conference.
At home, the Phoenix Suns are averaging 117.2 points per game, which is 12th in the NBA. Overall, they are 10th in the league with 116.9 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage, the Suns are 4th in the NBA at 49%. They have also been effective from beyond the arc, ranking 5th in three-point shooting percentage.
So far this season, Phoenix has outscored the NBA scoring average in 56.6% of their games. In terms of pace, the Suns are 15th in the league. When it comes to assists, they are 11th in the NBA with an average of 27.1 per game.
When playing at home, the Suns have made an average of 19 free throws per game, which is 2nd in the league. Overall, they are 5th in free throw attempts. In terms of offensive rebounds, Phoenix is 19th in the NBA.
At this time, the Suns’ defense is positioned 16th in the NBA, permitting 113.9 points per game. Phoenix’s defense is currently forcing 14.1 turnovers per game, which is 25th in the league. Additionally, they enter the game ranked 5th in blocked shots, with an average of 6.1 rejections per game.
Even though they are considered 3.5-point underdogs, our projection points to a 113-110 win for the Timberwolves.
Phoenix Suns vs Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Tips
- We like the Timberwolves on the moneyline (+137)
- The Timberwolves are also our pick on the spread at +3.5
- Projecting a combined 223 points, we like the over
Phoenix Suns Injury Report
- Jusuf Nurkic – Calf – Questionable
- Damion Lee – Knee – Out
- Grayson Allen – Hip – Probable
Minnesota Timberwolves Injury Report
- Karl-Anthony Towns – Knee – Out
- Jaylen Clark – Achilles – Out
