Miami Heat vs Philadelphia 76ers Preview
At 7:30 ET, the 42-33 Miami Heat (-138) will host the 41-35 Philadelphia 76ers (+115) in an Eastern Conference matchup. Miami is currently on a three-game win streak and is favored by 2.5 points.
This game will be played at the Kaseya Center in Miami and can be seen on NBCS. The over/under line for this game is currently 210 points.
Check out BetCoco for Miami Heat – Philadelphia 76ers odds
Miami Heat vs Philadelphia 76ers Head-to-Head and Key Stats
Over the last three times that the Heat have hosted the 76ers, they have gone 2-1. In addition to going 2-1 vs. the spread in the last three head-to-head games vs. the 76ers, the Heat are 2-1 ATS the last three times they have hosted the 76ers.
- When looking at their past five road matchups, Philadelphia has an ATS record of 4-1 while averaging 112 per game. The team went 2-3 overall in these games.
- Across their ten previous home games, Miami has an ATS mark of 7-3. Their straight up record in these matchups was 6-4 while averaging 106 points per game.
- Spanning across their last ten games as the betting underdog, the 76ers have gone 5-4-1 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 2-8.
- In their last five games as the betting favorite, the Heat have a strong straight up record of 4-1. In addition, their ATS record was 4-1 in these scenarios.
Miami Heat vs Philadelphia 76ers Prediction
As the 76ers look to improve their playoff positioning, they are currently 8th in the Eastern Conference with a record of 41-35. Within the Atlantic Division, they are 3rd.
Philly has won their last two games and are currently 2.5-point underdogs against the Heat. This season, they have gone 8-22 as the underdog and are looking to snap a three-game losing streak in games where they are not favored.
In terms of their ATS record, the 76ers are 43-32 overall and have covered the spread in four straight games. On the road, they are 22-16 ATS compared to 21-16 ATS at home.
This season, the average O/U line in the 76ers’ games is 227.7, and their games have averaged 226.4 points. Today’s O/U line is set at 210, and their season record is 38-38.
In their last game against the Thunder, the 76ers won by a score of 109-105. They were favored by 3 points going into the game and have now won four straight games vs. the spread.
Heading into this game, the 76ers are 15th in the NBA in scoring at 114.3 points per game. On the road, they have averaged 113.3 points per game compared to 115.3 at home. In terms of field goal percentage, Philadelphia is 22nd in the league at 46%. In terms of three-point shooting, they are 19th in the league at 36%.
So far this season, the 76ers have scored below the NBA average in 53.9% of their games. In terms of pace, they are 23rd in the league at 97 possessions per game. When it comes to two-point shooting, Philadelphia is 26th in the NBA at 52%.
Despite being 26th in assists at 24.7 per game, the 76ers lead the league in free throw attempts at 23.9 per game. In terms of offensive rebounding, they are 8th in the NBA at 11.1 per game.
Currently, the 76ers’ defense holds the 9th rank in the NBA, allowing 112.1 points per game. The Philadelphia defense has allowed opponents to shoot 35.4% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 47.3% of their field goal attempts vs. Philadelphia.
Miami is favored for the 4th straight game and has a 31-12 record as the favorite this season. The Heat have covered the spread in their last three games and have an ATS record of 36-36 overall (20-20 as the favorite and 16-16 as the favorite).
In their last game against the Knicks, the Heat won 109-99 as 2.5-point favorites. The O/U line for that game was 205.5, and the teams combined for 208 points.
Miami’s O/U record for the season is 29-46, and the over has hit in their last three games. This year, their games have averaged 218.3 points per game compared to today’s O/U line of 210.
Currently, the Heat are 6th in the Eastern Conference with a record of 42-33. In the East, they are 29-18 compared to 13-15 against the West. At home, Miami is 20-17 and 15-22 ATS.
Miami’s 2.5-point favorite line is part of a three-game winning streak against the spread on the road. Overall, they are 36-36 ATS this season.
At home, the Heat are scoring 112.4 points per game, which is 22nd in the NBA. Overall, they are 27th in scoring at 109.9 points per game. In terms of pace, Miami is 29th in the league at 95.7 possessions per game.
When it comes to shooting, the Heat are 23rd in field goal percentage at 46%. They are also 28th in two-point shooting at 52%. From beyond the arc, Miami is 11th in three-point shooting percentage at 37%.
So far this season, the Heat have made an average of 12.4 three-pointers per game, which is 18th in the league. In terms of assists, Miami is 21st at 25.7 per game.
This season, the Heat defense has been impressive, holding the 4th position in the league while permitting an average of 108.4 points per contest. The Miami defense has allowed opponents to shoot 35.9% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 47.0% of their field goal attempts vs. Miami.
According to our analysis, we anticipate the Heat to win this one with a projected score of 113-107.
Miami Heat vs Philadelphia 76ers Betting Tips
- Take the Heat on the moneyline
- The Heat should also cover at -2.5
- Projecting a combined 220 points, we like the over
Miami Heat Injury Report
- Josh Richardson – Shoulder – Out
- Tyler Herro – Foot – Out
Philadelphia 76ers Injury Report
- Tobias Harris – Knee – Questionable
- Joel Embiid – Injury Recovery – Questionable
- Robert Covington – Knee – Out
- Mo Bamba – Illness – Questionable
- De’Anthony Melton – Back – Out
- Tyrese Maxey – Hip – Questionable
