Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks Preview
The Dallas Mavericks (+1) will travel to San Francisco to take on the Golden State Warriors (-1) at Chase Center. The game is scheduled to tip-off at 10:00 ET and will be televised on TNT. The over/under line is currently set at 233.5 points.
Golden State (40-34) is favored by one point and has won four straight games. Dallas (45-29) is riding a seven-game win streak and is currently fifth in the Western Conference.
Check out BetCoco for Golden State Warriors – Dallas Mavericks odds
Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks Head-to-Head and Key Stats
The last three times that the Warriors have faced off vs. the Mavericks as the favorite, they have gone 2-1. In the previous three head-head to matchups between the Mavericks and Warriors, the Mavericks have gone 3-0 vs. the spread with an average scoring differential of 6 points per game.
- In their last ten games away from home, the Mavericks have a straight up record of 8-2 while going 8-2 vs. the spread. The team averaged 122 points per game in this stretch.
- The Warriors are 2-1 ATS in their last three home games and 3-0 straight-up.
- Through their last five games as the betting underdog, the Mavericks have a strong record vs the spread going 4-1. Their straight up mark in these contests is 2-3.
- In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Warriors have a strong straight up record of 3-0. In addition, their ATS record was 2-1 in these scenarios.
Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction
The Mavericks have won seven straight games and are currently in 5th place in the Western Conference with a record of 45-29. In games against other Western Conference teams, they are 29-19 and 10-5 in their division.
On the road, the Mavericks are 23-14 this season and have won five straight games away from home. Against the spread, they are 25-12 on the road and 43-31 overall.
As the underdog, the Mavericks have gone 11-18 this season and are 14-15 ATS as the underdog. Today’s O/U line of 233.5 is slightly lower than their season average of 235.9. In their games, the average combined scoring is 235 points.
In their last game, the Mavericks defeated the Rockets by a score of 125-107. The O/U line for that game was 230 points. Dallas covered the spread as 3.5-point favorites.
Heading into tonight’s game, the Mavericks are one of the top three-point shooting teams in the league. They are 2nd in three-point attempts per game (39.4) and have made an average of 14.7 threes per contest. Overall, they are 12th in three-point shooting percentage at 37%.
Dallas has been one of the most efficient offenses in the NBA this season, ranking 8th in true shooting percentage. They are also 11th in field goal percentage (48%). In terms of scoring, the Mavericks are 6th in the league at 118.7 points per game.
When playing on the road, the Mavericks have averaged 118.1 points per contest compared to 119.3 at home. Overall, they have outscored the NBA scoring average in 60.8% of their games this season. In terms of pace, Dallas is 11th in the league at 99.5 possessions per game.
Defensively, the Mavericks come into today’s game ranked 20th in the NBA at 116.3 points per game allowed. However, they have shown signs of improvements lately, ranking 28th in the league over their last three games. In their previous matchup vs. the Rockets, the Mavericks’ defense struggled, giving up a field goal percentage of 51% leading to 107 points.
Golden State is looking to extend their win streak to five games when they take on the Mavericks today. The Warriors are favored by 1 point and have won their last three games as the favorite.
When looking at their O/U record for the season, the Warriors are 36-37-1. This year, 31 of their games have had higher O/U lines than today’s line of 233.5. On average, their games have finished with 233.8 points.
Golden State’s last game was a 117-113 win over the Spurs. The O/U line for that game was 227.5. The Warriors were favored by 10.5 points in that game, giving them an ATS loss.
In the Western Conference, the Warriors are currently in 10th place with a record of 40-34. Against the West, they are 20-24 and 6-9 against other teams in the Pacific Division. The Warriors have won four straight games on the road and are 22-15 on the road this season.
At home, the Warriors are averaging 117.9 points per game, which is 11th in the NBA. Overall, they are 7th in scoring at 118 points per game. In terms of pace, Golden State is 10th in the league at 99.6 possessions per game.
When it comes to three-point shooting, the Warriors are 3rd in both attempts (39.2) and makes (14.7) per game. They are hitting 37% of their shots from beyond the arc. In terms of two-point shooting, Golden State is 14th in the league at 54%.
So far this season, the Warriors have outscored the NBA scoring average in 58.1% of their games. In terms of field goal percentage, they are 15th in the league at 47%. In terms of assists, Golden State is 4th in the NBA at 29.2 per game.
On defense, the Warriors come into the game ranked 17th in the league in points allowed at 115.9 per game. Over their last three games, the team is allowing 101 points per contest (16th). In terms of two point field goal attempts, the Warriors defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 54.2% while allowing 35.8% from downtown.
In spite of being 1 point underdogs, we anticipate the Mavericks winning this one 117-112.
Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks Betting Tips
- We like the Mavericks on the moneyline (-105)
- The Mavericks are also our pick on the spread at +1
- Our NBA model projects 229 points, and we suggest taking the under
Golden State Warriors Injury Report
- Klay Thompson – Knee – Probable
- Dario Saric – Knee – Out
- Jonathan Kuminga – Knee – Questionable
Dallas Mavericks Injury Report
- Josh Green – Ankle – Out
- Greg Brown III – Personal – Out
- Dereck Lively II – Leg – Questionable
