Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs Preview
At 9:00 ET, the San Antonio Spurs (+920) will travel to Denver to take on the Nuggets (-1711) in a Western Conference matchup. The over/under line for this game is currently set at 222.5 points.
Denver is favored by 16 points and enters this game with a record of 52-23. The Spurs, who are 15th in the Western Conference, are 18-57 on the season.
Check out BetCoco for Denver Nuggets – San Antonio Spurs odds
Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs Head-to-Head and Key Stats
In the last three head-to-head matchups, the Nuggets are averaging 123 points per game, compared to the Spurs at 118. These figures have led to Denver posting a record of 2-1.
- Through their last ten road games, San Antonio has an ATS record of just 7-3. However, their overall record was 3-7 while averaging 114 points per game.
- Through their last five home games, Denver has an ATS record of just 2-3. However, their overall record was 4-1 while averaging 110 points per game.
- The Spurs have played well in their last three games as the betting underdog, going 2-1 straight up and 3-0 against the spread.
- Going back to their last ten games as the favorite, the Nuggets have a straight up record of 7-3. But, their mark vs the spread was just 5-5.
Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction
This season, the Spurs have an average over/under line of 232.5, which is higher than today’s line of 222.5. In their last three games, the over has hit, and they have a season over/under record of 38-36-1.
In their most recent game, the Spurs lost to the Warriors by a score of 117-113. They were 10.5-point underdogs going into the game, and the O/U line was 227.5.
San Antonio has an ATS record of 39-36 this season, and they have covered the spread in their last four games. On the road, they are 19-18 ATS, and their average scoring differential on the road is -9.1 points per game.
This season, the Spurs have been the underdog in 68 of their 75 games. As the underdog, they are 13-55 straight-up and 34-34 vs. the spread. Today, they are getting 16 points as the underdog.
In the Western Conference, the Spurs are in 15th place with a record of 18-57. In non-conference games, they are 7-22 compared to 11-35 against the West.
When it comes to scoring, the Spurs are 22nd in the NBA at 112.2 points per game. Interestingly, they have actually been better on the road this season, averaging 110.8 points compared to 113.5 at home.
Overall, San Antonio has outscored the league average in just 45.3% of their games this season. They are 24th in field goal percentage at 46% and 26th in true shooting percentage.
In terms of pace, the Spurs are 4th in the league at 101.1 possessions per game. They are also 2nd in assists, averaging 29.8 per contest.
Facing Denver, the Spurs aims for a better defensive performance, given their current average of 119.2 points allowed per game (25th). For the season, San Antonio is ranked 27th in fewest fouls per game. Team’s are averaging 20.9 free-throws per game vs. the Spurs and have an overall field goal percentage of 49.2%.
Today, the Nuggets are favored by 16 points at home against the Spurs. This season, Denver has been favored in 86.7% of their games and has a record of 48-17 as the favorite.
In their last game, the Nuggets defeated the Cavaliers by a score of 130-101. The O/U line for that game was 217.5, and Denver covered the spread as 4.5-point favorites.
In terms of their ATS record, the Nuggets are 19-18 at home and 15-21 on the road. On average, they have outscored their opponents by 9.3 points per game at home.
Denver’s O/U record for the season is 30-43-2, and their games have averaged 224.4 points per game. Today’s O/U line of 222.5 is lower than their season average of 226.1.
Overall, the Nuggets are 52-23 this season, which is the 2nd-best record in the Western Conference. Against the West, they are 29-17 and 23-6 against non-conference opponents.
At home, the Nuggets are 10th in the NBA in scoring at 118.2 points per game. Overall, they are 14th in the league at 114.6 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage, Denver is 5th in the NBA at 49%.
When it comes to three-point shooting, the Nuggets are 28th in both three-pointers made per game and three-point attempts per game. They are shooting 37% from three, which is 11th in the league.
Denver is one of the top teams in terms of two-point field goal attempts, ranking 1st in the NBA. Overall, they are 10th in two-point field goal percentage. In terms of free throws, the Nuggets are 29th in both attempts and makes.
So far this season, the Nuggets defense has been performing well, ranking 7th in the NBA at 109.8 points allowed per contest. Opponents are hitting 52.6% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 35.7% of their three-point attempts.
With a 16-point advantage on the spread, our projections favor the Nuggets to secure a 111-104 victory.
Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs Betting Tips
- Take the Nuggets on the moneyline
- On the spread, we like Spurs (+16)
- Our NBA model projects 215 points, and we suggest taking the under
Denver Nuggets Injury Report
- Aaron Gordon – Foot – Probable
- Nikola Jokic – Hip/Wrist – Probable
- Jamal Murray – Knee – Questionable
- Vlatko Cancar – Knee – Out
- Zeke Nnaji – Adductor – Out
San Antonio Spurs Injury Report
- Keldon Johnson – Foot – Out
- Devin Vassell – Foot – Out
- Charles Bassey – Left Knee – Out
- Dominick Barlow – Knee – Out
- Jeremy Sochan – Ankle – Out
