Minnesota Timberwolves vs Houston Rockets Preview
At 8:00 ET, the Timberwolves (-341) will host the Rockets (+271) in a Western Conference matchup. The over/under line is currently set at 215.5 points.
Minnesota (-8) is 51-23 on the year and currently sits 3rd in the Western Conference. Houston (38-36) is 11th in the West and 3rd in the Southwest Division.
Check out BetCoco for Minnesota Timberwolves – Houston Rockets odds
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Houston Rockets Head-to-Head and Key Stats
When looking back on the last three head-to-head matchups between Houston and Minnesota, the Timberwolves hold the edge with a record of 2-1. Not only does the team have the better record, but they have won in convincing fashion, posting an average scoring differential of 14 points.
- The Rockets are 3-2 ATS in their last road games and 5-0 straight-up.
- The Timberwolves are 4-1 ATS in their last home games and 4-1 straight-up.
- In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Rockets have a strong straight up record of 2-1. In addition, their ATS record was 2-1 in these scenarios.
- Minnesota has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 4-1 SU and 4-1 ATS in their last five games.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Houston Rockets Prediction
In their last game, the Rockets lost to the Mavericks by a score of 125-107. The O/U line for that game was 230 points. Houston was an underdog heading into the game, getting 3.5 points.
This season, Houston has an O/U record of 35-39, with an average combined scoring of 226.7 points per game. Today’s O/U line is set at 215.5, which is lower than 68 of their previous games.
Houston is 15-31 as the underdog this season and has gone 23-22 ATS as the underdog. The Rockets have been the underdog in 46 of their 74 games and are 42-31 ATS overall.
On the road, the Rockets are 12-24 for the season and have won seven straight games. Their ATS record on the road is 15-20, and they are 19-9 as the underdog.
For the season, the Rockets are 38-36 and are currently in 11th place in the Western Conference. In the Southwest Division, they are in 3rd place with a record of 9-6.
On the road this season, the Rockets are averaging 111.8 points per game (20th) compared to 116.4 at home (13th). Overall, they are 16th in the NBA in scoring at 114.2 points per game.
So far, Houston has outscored the NBA scoring average in 43.2% of their games. In terms of pace, they are 13th in the league at 99.2 possessions per game.
When it comes to field goal percentage, the Rockets are 26th at 46%. From beyond the arc, they are hitting 35% of their three-point attempts (23rd).
At this time, the Rockets’ defense is positioned 10th in the NBA, permitting 112.6 points per game. In their previous game, the Rockets’ defense struggled against the Mavericks, giving up 125 points on a field goal percentage of 51%.
Minnesota is 38-35 against the spread this season, including a 17-19 record at home and 21-16 on the road. They have failed to cover the spread in their last two home games.
As the favorite, the Timberwolves are 27-29 ATS and have gone 42-15 straight-up. As the favorite, they have a scoring margin of +8.5 points per game and are favored by 8 points today.
For the season, Minnesota has an O/U record of 36-38. In their last three games, the under has hit, and today’s line is 215.5. On average, their games have finished with 219.1 points.
In their last game, the Timberwolves lost to the Bulls by a score of 109-101. The O/U line for that game was 213.5. Minnesota is currently 3rd in the Western Conference with a record of 51-23.
At home this season, the Timberwolves have been averaging 111.1 points per game (24th). Overall, they are 18th in the NBA with 112.9 points per game. In terms of pace, Minnesota is 23rd at 96.9 possessions per game.
When it comes to three-point shooting, the Timberwolves are 4th in the league at 38%. They are making an average of 12.6 threes per game (15th). Inside the arc, Minnesota is 15th in two-point shooting percentage at 54%.
So far this season, the Timberwolves have outscored the NBA scoring average in 41.9% of their games. They have made 48% of their field goal attempts (10th) and are 9th in true shooting percentage.
Not only do the Timberwolves’ overall defensive numbers look good, as they are 1st in the league in points allowed. Minnesota has also been playing well on defense of late, ranking 8th in the league over their last three games at 99.3 PPG allowed. On two point field goal attempts, the Timberwolves’ defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 50.5% and allowing 35.4% from beyond the arc.
In spite of being 8 point underdogs, we anticipate the Rockets winning this one 111-110.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Houston Rockets Betting Tips
- We like the Rockets on the moneyline (+271)
- The Rockets are also our pick on the spread at +8
- Projecting a combined 221 points, we like the over
Minnesota Timberwolves Injury Report
- Karl-Anthony Towns – Knee – Out
- Jaylen Clark – Achilles – Out
Houston Rockets Injury Report
- Steven Adams – Knee – Out
- Alperen Sengün – Ankle – Out
- Tari Eason – Leg – Out
