Miami Heat vs New York Knicks Preview
The Miami Heat (-142) will host the New York Knicks (+118) in an Eastern Conference matchup. The Heat are favored by 2.5 points and the over/under line is set at 207.5. Miami has won two straight games and is 7th in the Eastern Conference standings. The Knicks have lost two straight and are 4th in the East.
This game will tip-off at 7:30 ET and will be played at the Kaseya Center in Miami. BSSU will have the TV coverage.
Check out BetCoco for Miami Heat – New York Knicks odds
Miami Heat vs New York Knicks Head-to-Head and Key Stats
In the last three head-to-head matchups, the Knicks are averaging 105 points per game, compared to the Heat at 101. These figures have led to New York posting a record of 2-1.
- In their last three games away from home, the Knicks have a straight up record of 1-2 while going 1-2 vs. the spread. The team averaged 123 points per game in this stretch.
- Miami has played well in their previous five home games, going 4-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 105 points per game while allowing 101. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-2.
- As the betting underdog, the Knicks have an ATS mark of just 5-5 in their last ten games. New York posted a straight up mark of 4-6 in these matchups.
- Through their last five games as the favorite, the Heat have an ATS record of 3-2 and a straight up mark of 4-1.
Miami Heat vs New York Knicks Prediction
The Knicks have an O/U record of 29-44-1 this season, and the over has hit in their last four games. Today’s O/U line of 207.5 is lower than 71 of their previous games, and their games have averaged 220.5 points this season.
New York’s last game vs. the Thunder had an O/U line of 218, and they combined for 225 points. The Knicks covered the spread in that game as 2-point underdogs, losing by just one point (113-112).
As underdogs this season, the Knicks have gone 12-20 and 15-17 ATS. On the road, their ATS record is 20-15 compared to 21-17 at home.
In the Eastern Conference standings, the Knicks are currently in 4th place with a record of 44-30. Against other Eastern Conference teams, they are 30-15 and 10-5 in their division.
On average, the Knicks have gone 3.3 points per game better than their opponents on the road. At home, this scoring margin is +6.0 PPG.
Heading into the game, the Knicks are 20th in the NBA in scoring at 112.6 points per game. However, their scoring average is higher on the road (114.5 PPG) compared to at home (110.7 PPG).
When it comes to three-point shooting, New York is 11th in the league with 13.2 made threes per game. Overall, they are shooting 36% from downtown.
So far this season, the Knicks have outscored the NBA scoring average in 41.9% of their games. In terms of pace, New York is the slowest team in the league at 94.9 possessions per game.
The Knicks’ defense is presently ranked 2nd in the league, allowing an average of 107.9 points per contest. When it comes to defending inside the arc, the Knicks squad is permitting opposing teams to shoot at a clip of 53.9% inside the arc, and they’re also giving up 36.2% from downtown.
Miami is favored by 2.5 points today and has gone 3-0 against the spread as the favorite. This season, they have been favored in 42 of their 74 games. As the favorite, they have a scoring differential of +4.6 PPG.
The Heat have an O/U record of 28-46 this season, and the over has hit in their last two games. On average, their games have finished with 218.4 points compared to today’s line of 207.5.
After beating the Wizards 119-107, the Heat have won three straight games as the favorite. In the Eastern Conference, they are currently in 7th place with a record of 41-33.
Miami’s ATS record for the season is 35-36, including a mark of 14-22 at home. Their average ATS record is 19-20 as the favorite and 21-14 on the road.
Overall, Miami’s games have averaged 221.1 points per game this season. In their last game, the Heat and Wizards combined for 226 points, surpassing the O/U line of 213.5.
At home this season, the Heat have outscored their season average of 109.9 points per game, averaging 112.5 points per game. Overall, they are 27th in the NBA in scoring. In terms of pace, Miami is 29th in the league.
When it comes to shooting, the Heat are 23rd in field goal percentage at 46%. From beyond the arc, Miami is 13th in three-point shooting at 37%.
On average, the Heat are making 12.4 three-pointers per game, which is 18th in the NBA. In terms of free throws, Miami is 10th in free throws made at 18 per game.
On defense, the Heat come into the game ranked 4th in the league in points allowed at 108.5 per game. Over their last three games, the team is allowing 100.7 points per contest (25th). Inside the arc, the Heat defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 55.3% and 35.9% from three-point territory.
Based on projections, we have the Heat coming out on top by a score of 113-109.
Miami Heat vs New York Knicks Betting Tips
- Take the Heat on the moneyline
- The Heat should also cover at -2.5
- Projecting a combined 222 points, we like the over
Miami Heat Injury Report
- Josh Richardson – Shoulder – Out
- Terry Rozier – Knee – Probable
- Duncan Robinson – Back – Probable
- Tyler Herro – Foot – Out
- Caleb Martin – Ankle – Probable
- Nikola Jovic – Knee – Probable
New York Knicks Injury Report
- Julius Randle – Shoulder – Out
- OG Anunoby – Elbow – Out
- Mitchell Robinson – Ankle – Questionable
