Miami Heat vs Portland Trail Blazers Preview
At 8:00 ET, the Miami Heat (-1318) will host the Portland Trail Blazers (+765) in a non-conference matchup. The over/under line for the game is currently set at 209.5 points.
Miami (-14.5) is favored and currently sits 7th in the Eastern Conference. Portland (-14.5) is 14th in the Western Conference and has lost eight straight games.
Check out BetCoco for Miami Heat – Portland Trail Blazers odds
Miami Heat vs Portland Trail Blazers Head-to-Head and Key Stats
The last ten head-to-head matchups between then Heat and Trail Blazers have gone in favor of the Heat, putting together a record of 7-3. When looking back over the last ten head to head meetings between the Heat and Trail Blazers, the Heat hold the edge with an ATS record of 7-3.
- In their last ten games away from home, the Trail Blazers have a straight up record of 2-8 while going 6-4 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 106 points per game in these contests.
- When looking at their past ten home matchups, Miami has an ATS record of 7-3 while averaging 104 per game. The team went 6-4 overall in these games.
- Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the underdog, the Trail Blazers have a straight up record of 1-9. Their record vs the spread in these games was 4-5-1.
- In their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Heat have a straight up record of 8-2 and an ATS mark of 5-5.
Miami Heat vs Portland Trail Blazers Prediction
In their games this season, the Trail Blazers have averaged a combined scoring total of 223.4 points per game. Today’s O/U line of 209.5 is lower than 70 of their previous games.
Portland is 36-36-1 on the over/under this season, and their games have averaged an O/U line of 223.6 points. In their last game against the Hawks, the teams combined for 226 points, going over the line of 219.5.
Portland is 8-27 straight-up on the road this season and 18-17 ATS. Their average scoring differential on the road is -10.3 points per game.
As the underdog, the Trail Blazers have lost eight straight games and are 18-49 overall as the underdog this season. Today, they are getting 14.5 points and are 33-33 ATS as the underdog.
In the Western Conference, the Trail Blazers are in 14th place with a record of 19-54. In non-conference games, they are 11-14 compared to 8-40 against Western Conference opponents.
In their most recent game, the Trail Blazers lost to the Hawks by a score of 120-106. They were 12-point underdogs going into the game and did not cover the spread.
So far this season, the Blazers are 28th in the NBA in scoring at 107.6 points per game. On the road, they are averaging 106.3 points per game.
When it comes to pace, Portland is 17th in the league at 97.6 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, they are 29th at 44%.
From beyond the arc, the Blazers are 23rd in three-point shooting at 35%. Overall, they are 30th in true shooting percentage.
Coming into today’s game, the Trail Blazers’ defense is giving up an average of 115.8 points per contest. When it comes to forced turnovers, the Trail Blazers are forcing 14.4 per game, which is 27th in the league. They also come into the game sitting 26th in blocked shots at 4.5 per game.
Miami is favored by 14.5 points in today’s game vs. Portland. So far this season, the Heat have been favored in 40 of their 72 games and have a record of 28-12 as the favorite.
In their games as the favorite, Miami has gone 17-20 against the spread, with an average scoring margin of +3 points per game. Overall, their ATS record is 33-36, going 13-22 ATS at home and 20-14 ATS on the road.
On the season, Miami has an O/U record of 26-46, and 66 of their games have had higher over/under lines than today’s line of 209.5. The average over/under line in their games this season is 221.4, and their games have averaged 218.2 points per game.
Miami’s last game was a 113-92 loss to the Warriors. The O/U line for that game was 216.5, and Miami was getting 5 points as the underdog. The Heat are 39-33 this season and are currently 7th in the Eastern Conference.
This season, the Heat have been below the NBA scoring average in 63.9% of their games. Overall, they are 27th in scoring at 109.3 points per game. At home, Miami is 23rd in scoring at 111.6 points per game.
When it comes to pace, the Heat are 29th in the NBA at 95.6 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, Miami is 25th in the league at 46%. From beyond the arc, they are 13th in three-point shooting at 36%.
So far this season, the Heat are 10th in free throws made per game at 18. In terms of assists, they are 22nd at 25.6 per game. When it comes to offensive rebounds, Miami is 27th in the NBA.
At this time, the Heat’s defense is positioned 4th in the NBA, permitting 108.9 points per game. Opponents are hitting 55.3% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 36.3% of their three-point attempts.
Coming in as 14.5 point favorites, our projections have the Heat picking up a 111-106 win.
Miami Heat vs Portland Trail Blazers Betting Tips
- Take the Heat on the moneyline
- On the spread, we like Trail Blazers (+14.5)
- Projecting a combined 217 points, we like the over
Miami Heat Injury Report
- Jimmy Butler – Illness – Probable
- Kevin Love – Heel – Probable
- Josh Richardson – Shoulder – Out
- Duncan Robinson – Back – Out
- Tyler Herro – Foot – Out
- Caleb Martin – Ankle – Probable
- Jaime Jaquez Jr. – Ankle – Probable
Portland Trail Blazers Injury Report
- Jerami Grant – Hamstring – Doubtful
- Malcolm Brogdon – Elbow – Out
- Deandre Ayton – Elbow – Questionable
- Anfernee Simons – Knee – Out
- Robert Williams III – Knee – Out
- Matisse Thybulle – Ankle – Questionable
- Shaedon Sharpe – Abdominal – Out
- Toumani Camara – Rib – Out
