Portland Trail Blazers vs Denver Nuggets Preview
At 10:00 ET, the Nuggets (-1221) will face the Trail Blazers (+715) at the Moda Center in Portland. Denver is favored by 14 points, and the over/under line is 210.5.
Denver is 2nd in the Western Conference and 2nd in the Northwest Division. They’ve won two straight games. Portland is 14th in the West and 5th in the Northwest, and they’ve lost five straight.
Check out BetCoco for Portland Trail Blazers – Denver Nuggets odds
Portland Trail Blazers vs Denver Nuggets Head-to-Head and Key Stats
In the last three games between Portland and Denver, the Nuggets have dominated the series, going 3-0. This includes a convincing margin of victory of 12 points per contest. Across the last three head-to-head matchups, Denver is averaging 119 points compared to Portland at 107.
- In their last ten games away from home, the Nuggets have a straight up record of 7-3 while going 6-4 vs. the spread. The team averaged 112 points per game in this stretch.
- In their last ten games at home, the Trail Blazers have a straight up record of 3-7 while going 8-2 vs. the spread. The team averaged 111 points per game in this stretch.
- Looking back on the team’s last five games as the underdog, the Trail Blazers have a straight up record of 0-5. Their record vs the spread in these games was 2-2-1.
- Against the spread, the Nuggets have put together 1-2 in their last three games as the betting favorite. In these same games, they went 2-1 straight up.
Portland Trail Blazers vs Denver Nuggets Prediction
The Nuggets have won two straight games as the favorite and are favored by 14 points today. Overall, they are 45-15 as the favorite this season and have a 27-31 ATS record when favored.
In the Western Conference, the Nuggets are in 2nd place with a record of 49-21. Against other Western Conference teams, they are 27-15 and 22-6 against non-conference opponents.
Denver’s ATS record for the season is 32-36, including a 15-20 mark on the road. Their straight-up road record is 21-15.
In their most recent game, the Nuggets beat the Knicks by a score of 113-100. The O/U line for that game was 208.5, and Denver covered the spread (-8.5).
This season, the Nuggets have an O/U record of 27-41-2, and their games have averaged 224.7 points per game. Today’s O/U line is set at 210.5, and their last two games have gone over the posted total.
When it comes to scoring, the Nuggets are averaging 114.7 points per game this season, which is 14th in the NBA. However, they have been much better at home, where they average 118.8 points compared to 110.8 on the road. In terms of pace, Denver is 28th in the league at 96.1 possessions per game.
One of the Nuggets’ strengths is their ability to get to the rim. They are 2nd in the NBA in two-point field goals made but are last in three-point attempts. Overall, Denver is shooting 49% from the field, which is 4th in the league.
When it comes to free throws, the Nuggets are 29th in both attempts and makes. In terms of offensive rebounds, they are 15th in the NBA.
Coming into the game, the Nuggets defense has held opposing team’s to fewer points than the league average in 28.6% of their games. Currently, they are 7th in the NBA at 110.1 points per game allowed. On two point field goal attempts, the Nuggets’ defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 52.6% and allowing 35.7% from beyond the arc.
Today’s game vs. the Nuggets will mark the 5th straight game that Portland has been the underdog. So far, they are 18-46 as the underdog this season, and their average scoring margin as the underdog is -8.4 points per game.
As for their O/U record, the Blazers are 34-35-1 for the season. In their last four games, the final score has gone over the O/U line, and today’s line is set at 210.5. On average, Portland’s games have finished with 223.7 points.
In their most recent game, the Blazers lost to the Clippers by a score of 125-117. They were 14.5-point underdogs going into the game, giving them a 33-36 ATS record for the season. The O/U line for that game was 216 points.
Overall, the Trail Blazers are 19-51 this season, which is 14th in the Western Conference. Against other Western Conference teams, they are 8-38 and 1-14 against division opponents. In non-conference play, they are 11-13.
Portland has an ATS record of 15-21 at home and 18-15 on the road. Currently, they are 18th in the Western Conference standings.
At home, the Trail Blazers are averaging 108.6 points per game, which is 28th in the NBA. Overall, they are 29th in field goal percentage at 44%. In terms of three-point shooting, Portland is making 11.7 threes per game, which is 24th in the league.
So far this season, the Blazers have outscored the NBA scoring average in just 27.1% of their games. They are also last in the league in assists at 23 per game. In terms of pace, Portland is 18th in the NBA at 97.6 possessions per game.
When it comes to free throw shooting, the Blazers are 19th in both free throws made and attempted per game. In terms of offensive rebounds, they are 5th in the league. Overall, Portland is 30th in true shooting percentage.
On defense, the Trail Blazers come into the game ranked 17th in the league in points allowed at 115.9 per game. Over their last three games, the team is allowing 117 points per contest (14th). When it comes to forced turnovers, the Trail Blazers are forcing 14.3 per game, which is 27th in the league. They also come into the game sitting 26th in blocked shots at 4.4 per game.
Coming in as 14 point favorites, our projections have the Nuggets picking up a 111-105 win.
Portland Trail Blazers vs Denver Nuggets Betting Tips
- Take the Nuggets on the moneyline
- On the spread, we like Trail Blazers (+14)
- Projecting a combined 216 points, we like the over
Portland Trail Blazers Injury Report
- Jerami Grant – Hamstring – Questionable
- Malcolm Brogdon – Illness – Questionable
- Deandre Ayton – Elbow – Questionable
- Anfernee Simons – Knee – Questionable
- Robert Williams III – Knee – Out
- Matisse Thybulle – Ankle – Questionable
- Shaedon Sharpe – Abdomen – Out
Denver Nuggets Injury Report
- Nikola Jokic – Back – Questionable
- Jamal Murray – Ankle – Questionable
- Vlatko Cancar – Knee – Out
- Zeke Nnaji – Adductor – Out
- Jalen Pickett – Personal – Out
